5 RULES TO IDENTIFY A STRATEGY THAT WORKS:

There are plenty of trading systems available on the internet and there are many trading systems providers.

But how do you know which ones are going to be potentially profitable?

1/ PREMISE OF THE STRATEGY:

The most important factor in any trading system is the premise or philosophy or logic on which it is built.

The systems must be able to identify certain repetitive behaviors which are inherent to any market.
An example could be #trend or #momentum or #mean reversion etc.

The magnitude of these behaviors could vary over time but they are natural to any markets.

Better yet, you should have multiple systems that attack these behaviors...

This is what I call the Hybrid Approach !!!
2./ SIMPLER, THE BETTER:

Once you have understood the logic behind the system, make sure it's based on simple rules.

If there are more rules, it’s a red flag that the systems are probably over-optimized or curve fit to past data which is unlikely to work in the future.
Most of my strategies have no more than 5-6 rules.

That’s it.

Keep it Simple, Stupid!
3./ VARIOUS MARKET CYCLES:

For any system to work in the future, it must have been applied to many different market cycles over a long period of time.

It must be able to hold up in bull markets, bear markets, high volatility markets, and low volatility markets.
4. DATA INTEGRITY:

The strategies must have been tested on good quality historical data.

This is a very important factor in the success of any strategy.

Most of the strategies are tested on data with "Survivorship Bias"
WHAT’S SURVIVORSHIP BIAS?

The data contains only the currently listed companies and does not include delisted companies.

What if you bought a stock just before it went out of business?

The data with only survivors will not show this trade and boost your results
Many strategies are backtested on, for example, on the current set of Nifty 50 stocks.

The inclusion & deletion of stocks keep on happening in Nifty 50 from time to time.

If you test on the current set of Nifty stocks, it will not be reflective of reality!
5./ SMALL SAMPLE:

If the strategy has too few trades, it probably is curve fit and unlikely to work in the future.

The strategy is simply relying on luck. The strategy must show consistency on a large number of trades to reduce the luck factor.
It’s very easy to get lured into get rich quick schemes.

These are not exhaustive but few very important guidelines in my experience to make a better decision at selecting a trading system.

All the best!
Do check out my e-book, The Hybrid Approach: The power of Momentum combined with Mean reversion.

https://t.co/RezNZIUaCo

More from Hardik

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Perhaps you have the idea that calling me " 1 lot Nandy" is somehow derogatory and a easy poke at me. Allow me to explain why I look at this moniker as a badge of honour


I have traded 1 lot continuously twice in my life. The first in 2003 after I blew up on my INFY trade. I traded 1 lot ACC fut consistently and made 50k in a month

The 2nd time in 2013. When I suffered continuous losses for 5-6 months due to a variety of psychological issues. Then I traded 1 lot Nifty options consistently for 3 months. After that 2 lots for next 1 month and slowly increased

I have shared these two incidents on my various interveiws and regularly share this in detail with my handholding students when I talk about trading psychology.

This logic of trading 1 lot to iron out trading issues I learnt from the interview of Anthony Saliba, who traded 1 lot in options for 6 months. BTW, Saliba was the only options trader to have been profiled on the original Market Wizards ( I read his interview and used his logic)

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Trading view scanner process -

1 - open trading view in your browser and select stock scanner in left corner down side .

2 - touch the percentage% gain change ( and u can see higest gainer of today)


3. Then, start with 6% gainer to 20% gainer and look charts of everyone in daily Timeframe . (For fno selection u can choose 1% to 4% )

4. Then manually select the stocks which are going to give all time high BO or 52 high BO or already given.

5. U can also select those stocks which are going to give range breakout or already given range BO

6 . If in 15 min chart📊 any stock sustaing near BO zone or after BO then select it on your watchlist

7 . Now next day if any stock show momentum u can take trade in it with RM

This looks very easy & simple but,

U will amazed to see it's result if you follow proper risk management.

I did 4x my capital by trading in only momentum stocks.

I will keep sharing such learning thread 🧵 for you 🙏💞🙏

Keep learning / keep sharing 🙏
@AdityaTodmal
Nano Course On Python For Trading
==========================
Module 1

Python makes it very easy to analyze and visualize time series data when you’re a beginner. It's easier when you don't have to install python on your PC (that's why it's a nano course, you'll learn python...

... on the go). You will not be required to install python in your PC but you will be using an amazing python editor, Google Colab Visit
https://t.co/EZt0agsdlV

This course is for anyone out there who is confused, frustrated, and just wants this python/finance thing to work!

In Module 1 of this Nano course, we will learn about :

# Using Google Colab
# Importing libraries
# Making a Random Time Series of Black Field Research Stock (fictional)

# Using Google Colab

Intro link is here on YT: https://t.co/MqMSDBaQri

Create a new Notebook at https://t.co/EZt0agsdlV and name it AnythingOfYourChoice.ipynb

You got your notebook ready and now the game is on!
You can add code in these cells and add as many cells as you want

# Importing Libraries

Imports are pretty standard, with a few exceptions.
For the most part, you can import your libraries by running the import.
Type this in the first cell you see. You need not worry about what each of these does, we will understand it later.
I think a plausible explanation is that whatever Corbyn says or does, his critics will denounce - no matter how much hypocrisy it necessitates.


Corbyn opposes the exploitation of foreign sweatshop-workers - Labour MPs complain he's like Nigel

He speaks up in defence of migrants - Labour MPs whinge that he's not listening to the public's very real concerns about immigration:

He's wrong to prioritise Labour Party members over the public:

He's wrong to prioritise the public over Labour Party