following a discussion at @yak_collective this morning, I came up with this chart to capture a hypothesis I have that the difficulty of creating communities scales exponentially with the the "depth" of what you're trying to do

thanks @grigorimilov for leading the discussion that sparked this.

The way to read the graph is: each line is a time history of difficulty. It starts dotted, goes through a criticality inflection point, and then crests in difficulty before coming down to a stable plateau.

The inflection points have different names depending on context, but are all topologically similar. They are the make or break moment when a network-effect either kicks in, or fails to. "Product-market fit" in the case of market is the best known such point.

Level 1 is a basic social community, such as a FB group, meetup etc. There are millions of successful ones, and 100s of millions of failures. The "fit point" is what I call a meme-mind fit, when some social object catalyzes a sustainable long-term conversation of growing richness

Almost everything I've helped instigate is Level 1. My contributions to the social-object soup have been things like the vocabulary around sociopaths/clueless/losers, legibility, 2x2s etc.

Jesus. I just watched the Ashli Babbitt video that the Washington Post has, and if I'm following the conversation happening, the people at the front of the mob trying to break into the room told the police to leave, offering to "make a path" and saying...

1. From convo on @Morning_Joe today about @DrIbram's new article which asks that progressive policy not be blamed for D losses/underperformance.

One of my main concerns is intraparty factionalism/fighting. Everything a "moderate" & "progressive"

2. D fights- a R gets a vote. Certainly radical (and yes, defunding police departments IS radical) policy proposals that fall on the outside bands of the distribution are less attractive to this idealized "swing" voter who is, in our minds eye" always a high info, high reasoning.

3. I guess you'd call them a "fine dining" type voter. But we KNOW that actually, most swing voters are NOT like this. Don't believe me- check out @axios Swing Voter Project, which ran focus groups with Obama to Trump voters through the whole cycle.

4. Indeed, what @richthau learned about America's "deciders" is likely to haunt his sleep for ever as it personified a sticker I keep in my office which is a quote from George Carlin: "Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups." (K.I.M. when we talk "stupid"

5. on my threads about people, we're not talking IQ, or overall stupid. We're talking civics. We're talking about political literacy. Very smart, successful people can't name their senators or their governor & are thus, civically stupid. And I'm sorry, not sorry for labeling them

Thread – A New Year’s Eve Retrospective on 2020 America

1. A good pal of mine emailed me this commentary written by a third party who has allowed for it to be shared with the condition no attribution be given.

2. Recommend taking the time to carefully read this through (twice!) and then ponder the questions asked and the actions evinced in America over the past year. It is a fabulous commentary.

3.

"A year ago today, at the close of a retrospective on the ending decade, I wrote this: "We step into a decade that will likely be more terrible than we grasp. For the nation, for the world, many bills will come due & the survivors will be the quiet and the unseen.”

4. Finishing from a year ago: “My fear — which I expect to be vindicated, even as I hope it is not — is that the decade just ended will be remembered with one word: prewar.”

5. There is no reward in prophecy. Here is the opening passage of Stefan Zweig’s 1941 “The World of Yesterday”:

Democrats have a lot of good ideas to help people fast, and visibly. They have good ideas for deepening democracy, like the "For The People Act." But if they let Senate Republicans filibuster everything, they will lose in 2022, and they will deserve it.

A lot of them understand this. “I’m going to do everything I can to bring people together,” Senator @RonWyden, who will chair the powerful Senate Finance Committee, told me. “but I’m not just going to stand around and do nothing while Mitch McConnell ties everyone up in knots.”

“This is a fight not just for the future of the Democratic Party or good policy,” Senator @BernieSanders told me. “It is literally a fight to restore faith in small-d democratic government.”

“I’ve said to the president-elect, ‘reach out across the aisle...But don’t let them stymie your program,’” @WhipClyburn told me. “You can’t allow the search for bipartisanship to ruin the mandate the American people gave you.’”

“It’s not a question of if the filibuster will be gone, but when it’ll be gone,” former Majority Leader Harry Reid said. “You cannot have a democratic body where it takes 60 percent of the vote to get anything done.”

#ubuloyiJourney😈😈👺👺👹👺

Many people are surprised how their lives got messed up but the reality is, it's started right where you don't suspect

#pilotsoftwitter
First, pilots are black spiritual diviners who can travel at the speed of light using astral frequency to locate

a patient or fight evil

2nd. Best pilots are witches who mostly learn & master flying whereas diviners mostly don't need to learn, they just scream (password)& fly

3rd. Best flyers are whites with their aeroplanes but they are still regarded as amateurs in flight intelligence

since they have to learn from blacks how to ride the sky.

#witchUbuloyiScience

Did you know your suffering was created by your blood family with the aid of outsiders🤔🤔🤔

100% of ubuloyi starts at home

100% of curses on children starts at home

,,100% of struggles by children starts at home

,,100% of infertility is created at home

,,100% of inability to get work & prosper is masterminded at home

#didYouKnow
,,Parents & aunts are some of the causes of your sufferings

,,Uncles are some of the causes of your struggles

Yur sisters & brothers are some of the jelas witches fighting yur progress

🤔🤔🤔🤔Very true,,,it starts at home

,,,,Then it's those who came into the family by social arrangements like marriage or adoption,,,,,,abomakoti & adopted people in yur family.

Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 01/14/2021

Part 1 of 2
“The 67th Bilderberg Meeting is taking place in Montreux, Switzerland from 30 May – 2 June 2019, where the about 130 invitees – so far confirmed – from 23 countries, are staying at one of Switzerland’s most luxurious venues, the Montreux Palace hotel. About a quarter

It is #BellLetsTalk ...so let’s talk. Have you ever responded to the question “how are you doing?” with a “fine” or “good” even though you really weren’t fine or good?! I know I certainly have.

While every time you are asked it may not be a great time to delve into what is going on I challenge you and myself to be courageous enough to answer how you are really doing. Especially when talking with those people that you have around you that are your support system.

As a nurse I find that I am constantly observing and assessing my patients and residents. How are they doing (both physically and mentally)? Trying my hardest to notice the big and small changes that could mean they aren’t doing as well or hopefully doing better.

I challenge you healthcare workers to turn that observation and assessment on yourself and coworkers. Did you notice the subtle and sometimes glaringly obvious signs of chronic stress and burnout? I certainly didn’t.

So now it’s time to talk....talk to your family, talk to your friends, talk to your coworkers, talk to your children. Check in with them, don’t settle for “fine” “good”. Make a safe space for people to open up to you and for you to them.

Mitten Thread 🥊
#BerniesMittens And Why It Is Such A Sensation.

Do you know those moments at a funeral, or after a person dies, when you start sharing memories and the grief briefly turns to laughter and joy? Well that’s a little bit of what’s happening now.
1/

🥊🧡
#BerniesMittens is a collective expression of our love for a man and a movement. It is our expression of deep-seated hope that we are all willing to #FightForSomeoneWeDontKnow.
Bernie could have been president. Bernie should have been president.
2/

3/ 🥊🧡🔥
So many of us are grieving that. There have been so many events that put the nail in the coffin of Bernie‘s presidency. Twice. Our grief has come in punches since 2016. Our dreams and hopes smashed, over and over.
This time, ....

4/ 🥊🔥
when Barack Obama intervened as he promised. When all the candidates suddenly dropped out. When Jim Clyburn exerted his influence. When somehow the lagging mule won South Carolina. When Covid hit. When Bernie dropped out so he could serve.

5/ 🥊
When Bernie did the right thing because he needed to exert his influence on the Senate to try to help people get what they need. Our grief has been suppressed.
How many times have you bitten your lip or your tongue or banged your head against the wall when ...

Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 01/31/2021