#Bitcoin is in a supply and liquidity crisis.

This is extremely bullish! And highly underrated.

I believe we will see this significantly reflected in Bitcoin's price in the upcoming months.

Let's take a look at the data.

A thread 👇👇👇

1/ Accumulation Balance

The amount of bitcoins held in accumulation addresses is 2.7M BTC.

Those are addresses that have only received bitcoins, and never spent funds.

True HODLers, hoarding 14.5 % of the circulating supply.

#Bitcoin

Chart: https://t.co/IgKgCpz3Vi
2/ Lost Coins

21 milltion bitcoins? You wish.

That's just the hard cap – considering lost coins, the real number is much less.

No one knows for sure how many, but estimations point to at least 3M.

That's 16% less circulating BTC available.

#Bitcoin

https://t.co/3WtnLBF4P1
3/ Institutional #BTC Demand

@Grayscale (573M BTC), @MicroStrategy ($475M), @sqcrypto ($50M), Ruffer ($745M), @massmutual ($100M) – all buying up supply.

Do you really think they're alone? Of course not.

Expect many more on the move. They're coming – gradually, then suddenly.
4/ Speaking of @Grayscale:

Bitcoins added to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust in the past 6 months: ~210,000 BTC

Bitcoins mined in the past 6 months: ~185.000 BTC

That's right, Grayscale has been buying up more bitcoins than the amount issued.

Talk about a supply crisis!

#Bitcoin
5/ Exchange Balances

Liquidity is vanishing from exchanges.

We're seeing the longest depletion of exchange funds.

Since January, the BTC supply on exchanges dropped a staggering 20%.

#BTC is being pulled to long-term storage, custodian wallets, etc.

https://t.co/ayRUUL3nqY
6/ Liquid #Bitcoin Supply

14.4M BTC is held by illiquid entities – that is 78% (!) of the current supply.

Illiquid entities spend less than 25% of the BTC they receive, acting as supply sinks in the network.

Yes, only 12% of the BTC supply is liquid, according to this metric.
7/ #Bitcoin Miner Supply

Are miners cashing out at these prices? I don't think so.

The amount of miner unspent supply (BTC that has never left the miner address) has been increasing since the last halving.

Current miner balance: 1.7M $BTC

Chart: https://t.co/pXcLqwr5QD

More from Finance

I'm lucky to attain financial freedom before 30.

I credit Fintwit for my learnings.

Here's 10 key concepts every investor must know:

1. $$ needed to retire
2. Researching a business
3. Reading annual reports
4. Reading earnings calls
5. Criteria of a multi bagger

(Read on...)

6. Holding a multi bagger
7. Economic moats
8. When to buy a stock
9. Earnings vs cashflow
10. Traits of quality companies

Here's my 10 favourite threads on these concepts:

1. How much $$ do you need to retire

Before you start, you must know the end game.

To meet your retirement goals...

How much $$ do you need in your portfolio?

10-K Diver does a good job explaining what's a safe withdrawl rate.

Hint: It's NOT


2. Research a business

Your investment returns are a lagging indicator.

Instead, your research skills are the leading predictor of your results.

Conclusion?

To be a good investor, you must be a great business researcher.

Start with


3. Reading annual reports

This is the bread and butter of a good business analyst.

You cannot just listen to opinions from others.

You must learn to deep dive a business and make your own judgments.

Start with the 10k.

Ming Zhao explains it

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