Quick recap of Zillow’s Q4 earnings report/call $ZG $Z

The Premier Agent business is prob as strong as it has ever been.

Normalized for some accounting nuances, QoQ growth was 20% in Q3 and 27% in Q4.

YoY growth was 13% in 2020 despite a 17% decline in Q2 related to the pandemic.
Reading the tea leaves, it sure sounds like Flex is one of the main drivers of PA revenue acceleration. This is something we talked about in Q3, 2019 when the stock had sold off by 20%+ and was trading in the low 30s https://t.co/yfNk89Uwuj
Not gonna claim iBuying is inevitable nor a “good” biz but even skeptics must admit the segment looks more viable today.

And we can all agree iBuying is clearly the superior customer experience compared to the tradition home selling process.
Maybe the most interesting comment made on the call?

The Zestimate will be a live initial offer in some iBuying markets this year 👀
Zillow’s challenge is now to convert its unrivaled top of funnel traffic into transactions.

“...our customers arrive at Zillow simply trying to move. It is our job to deliver for them in any way that we can, be it through our own services or w/ our best-in-class partners.”
👆That means multiple paths to success as long as Zillow remains the first place consumers go when looking to buy or sell a house.
This remains my (overly simplified) thesis:
Don’t ask me about valuation, I thought it was rich at a $30B EV 😂

/fin

More from Finance

As the DeFi bull market continues, some brutally honest tips for new founders fundraising in crypto.

👇


1/ The discount you offer to strategic investors is both to account for the risk of an unlaunched product, but also as compensation for continued value add and support.

So make sure you know the investor will support you and not leave you on read once the docs are signed!

2/ Having someone on your cap table/ token allocation is as important as hiring.

You wouldn't hire someone just because they are influencers on Twitter- you do your reference checks and find evidence of value add from other companies the investor has invested in.

3/ Don't trust, verify.

Many investors will promise you the world when they're trying to get on your cap table.

Talk to founders they backed to see how much of it is bullshit. Ask them about how the investor was there for them during hard times.

4/ Don't just go for "name brand" funds because you want the brand.

Sure, it's great validation, but optimize for fit, not vanity.

However, I do think many well-known VCs are good actors, especially those with roots in successful trad VCs. They have a rep for a reason!
Having made over 1000 boxes for vulnerable families in Cambridge via @RedHenCambridge (thanks to our customers 🙏🏽) My thoughts on the £30 box thing. Lots of factors at play here. 1/

If the pics in this @BootstrapCook thread are true and correct then the Govt/taxpayers & families in need are getting absolutely SHAFTED 👇🏽 2/


There are some mitigating circumstances. A £30 box won’t ever contain £30 (retail) worth of food - people aren’t factoring in
-the cost of the box
-paying someone to fill it
-rent & rates
-& most expensive the *transport/distribution*

3/

If you’re doing the above at scale. Delivering *across the UK* it’s not cheap BUT IMHO there should be at LEAST £20 worth of groceries in a £30 box. To get more value they need more fresh produce. Just carrots & apples is terrible. 4/

I’m gonna put my rep on the line here & say something about these big national catering companies whose names I’ve seen mentioned. They are an ASSHOLE to deal with & completely shaft small businesses like mine with their terms which is why I won’t deal with them. 5/
THREAD: Who are the rising stars of Chinese elite politics in the central Party-State bureaucracy?

For @MacroPoloChina I analyzed last year's ministerial-level promotions to posts in Beijing

TLDR: Ties to Xi Jinping—or a Xi ally—are very helpful! (1/14)

https://t.co/kO2A0Efyq2


Seven politicians were promoted to ministerial-level positions in central Party agencies last year

All are likely to feature on the next Central Committee selected at the 2022 Party Congress

Some could make the CCP's elite 25-person Politburo (2/14)

https://t.co/kO2A0Efyq2


Likeliest for the Politburo is Meng Xiangfeng, new Executive Deputy Director of the CCP General Office

He would replace Xi ally Ding Xuexiang as CCP chief-of-staff if Ding is promoted further in 2022

Meng worked under Xi allies Cai Qi in Hangzhou and Chen Xi in Liaoning (3/14)


Less likely for the Politburo but still important is Jiang Jinquan, new Director of the CCP Policy Research Office

He replaces 5th-ranked leader Wang Huning who led the Party's brains trust for 18 years

Wang remains prominent and will be <68 in 2022, so he'll stay around (4/14)


Other notable central Party promotions include Li Shulei and Liang Yanshun, who both assisted Xi when he led the Central Party School from 2007-2012

Li is a political conservative who is said to be quite close with Xi, even drafting his 2014 speech on culture and art (5/14)

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