The problem that the ‘lets-shut-schools-for-a-couple-of-weeks-crowd’ ignore is that its much easier to shut schools than to open them. Therefore, the probability is that once schools are shut, they will be shut for months on end, just like last time.
https://t.co/A4RlbYAOul
https://t.co/o8VrFgaxn3
\u27a1\ufe0f NEW WORKING PAPERS ALERT \u2b05\ufe0f
— Santiago PEREZ VINCENT (@santipvincent) July 17, 2020
We have just released two studies on the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on domestic violence using data from Argentina. Both studies show significant increases of domestic violence due to the lockdown.
Find the papers here:https://t.co/ta67OJMhUA pic.twitter.com/y6ZTbqFB8W
https://t.co/alrDwmR12z
Calls to "honour" abuse charities in #Britain have doubled since lockdown on 23 March. "Cases include a young mother whose husband attempted to strangle her and threatened to throw acid in her face, and another who was hospitalised after being stabbed." https://t.co/r98Eaxu1fO
— Kyle Orton (@KyleWOrton) June 3, 2020
https://t.co/imUfStnXuE
\U0001f4c8 The number of elderly abused by relatives or carers has risen by as much as 37 per cent during lockdown https://t.co/ckssERVyHr
— The Telegraph (@Telegraph) May 17, 2020
https://t.co/wuScFDt8vS
\u201cIn the first month of quarantine, Ukraine\u2019s domestic violence hotline saw a 38% increase in calls compared to previous months. They went from 1,200 calls a month on average to over 2,000 calls between March 12 to April 12.\u201d https://t.co/jtSpAcWqVn
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) May 2, 2020
https://t.co/ePsJUTT5Ay
Is the lockdown leading to a rise in domestic abuse? In a six-week period to April 19, calls to the Met were up a-third and incidents increased by 9% compared with same period last year. Probably too early to make a clear link, but worrying signs: https://t.co/GU8VfwafNM
— Danny Shaw (@DannyShawNews) April 24, 2020
https://t.co/SKHSvOuQEm
\u2018Using up-to-date police data from 36 cities in 22 states in the U.S. and mobile device tracking data, we find that the increase in efforts to stay at home in the U.S. increased domestic violence by over 5% from March 13 to May 24, 2020.\u2019https://t.co/uBW92TNye1
— Post-Liberal Pete (@post_liberal) December 16, 2020
https://t.co/pmIAXCFRcE
https://t.co/5X3ywjaAqv
https://t.co/J0cAFHITVo
"One in 10 adult drinkers in Scotland drank more alcohol than normal during lockdown, according to new figures [from an alcohol industry charity]... \u2018Higher risk drinkers\u2019 were most likely to have drunk more than normal throughout lockdown." @Drinkaware https://t.co/r7cyrrn0Lw
— Phil Cain (@philcaincom) November 2, 2020
https://t.co/gYBA3xFva8
"The WSTA has crowned rum the \u2018drink of lockdown\u2019, as their latest figures show that rum enjoyed the biggest growth across all spirits during lockdown. In the 3 months from April to June 2020 38% more rum was sold than in the same period in 2019." @wstauk https://t.co/1qp1ClfEEB
— Phil Cain (@philcaincom) October 27, 2020
https://t.co/RSkwRtyZSr
The Royal College of Psychiatrists published a report this week that found\xa0the number of people drinking at \u2018high risk\u2019 levels has doubled to almost 8.5 million since February pic.twitter.com/IGuPNbvTCv
— The Telegraph (@Telegraph) September 16, 2020
https://t.co/qxGYTsXJp8
Increased substance use due to covid. Source: https://t.co/2DGhFvsWHu pic.twitter.com/RSkctg5HfE
— (((Jake Borodovsky))) (@PotResearch) August 17, 2020
https://t.co/0a96SM45I0
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We used contact survey data collected by CoMix (https://t.co/ezbCIOgRa1) to quantify differences in contact patterns during November (Schools open) and January (Schools closed) 'Lockdown periods'. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 2/
We combined this analysis with estimates of susceptibility and infectiousness of children relative to adults from literature. We also inferred relative susceptibility by fitting R estimates from CoMix to EpiForecasts estimates(https://t.co/6lUM2wK0bn). NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 3/
We estimated that reopening all schools would increase R by between 20% to 90% whereas reopening primary or secondary schools alone would increase R by 10% to 40%, depending on the infectiousness/susceptibility profile we used. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 4/
Assuming a current R of 0.8 (in line with Govt. estimates: https://t.co/ZZhCe79zC4). Reopening all schools would increase R to between 1.0 and 1.5 and reopening either primary or secondary schools would increase R to between 0.9 and 1.2. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 5/
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View the resolutions and voting results here:
The resolution titled "The occupied Syrian Golan," which condemns Israel for "repressive measures" against Syrian citizens in the Golan Heights, was adopted by a vote of 151 - 2 - 14.
Israel and the U.S. voted 'No' https://t.co/HoO7oz0dwr
The resolution titled "Israeli practices affecting the human rights of the Palestinian people..." was adopted by a vote of 153 - 6 - 9.
Australia, Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No' https://t.co/1Ntpi7Vqab
The resolution titled "Israeli settlements in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and the occupied Syrian Golan" was adopted by a vote of 153 – 5 – 10.
Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No'
https://t.co/REumYgyRuF
The resolution titled "Applicability of the Geneva Convention... to the
Occupied Palestinian Territory..." was adopted by a vote of 154 - 5 - 8.
Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No'
https://t.co/xDAeS9K1kW
Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020