A product which provides a fixed income which is better than FD & an upside like equity.

Should you invest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)?
A Thread 🧵👇

1/ REITs are a vehicle to invest in income-producing real estate properties managed by professionals.
2/ In India, we have REITs primarily focused on commercial real estate properties having 7-9% rental yields.

In listed REITs, Most of the completed properties are pre-leased to big companies.

Why no residential? As yields of 1-3% make them unattractive to investors.
3/ How do you get the benefit of such yield?

REITs have to distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to their shareholders.

Both listed REITs trade at 6-7% dividend yield (which is also tax-free)
4/ Moreover, 80% of their total value must come from completed & income-generating properties + it must avoid speculative land acquisitions.

What about debt then? There's a restriction there too.
Not more than 49% of the total equity.
5/ Looking interesting, right?

REITs are traded on the exchange (like stocks). Yes, Instant liquidity in a very illiquid product (Bulky Commercial Real Estate)

An investor can take part by buying 200 units at a time (60-70k rupees)
6/ let’s talk tax.

Under the current structure, Dividends remain tax-free (6-7% yields vs pre-tax FD yield of 5%)

On capital gains, while selling your units:

STCG of 15% on gains (if sold in less than 3 years)
LTCG of 10% on gains (if sold after 3 years)
7/ what makes us optimistic?

US REITs have 5 decades of history behind them & they have continued to outperform the broader equity markets

Interesting fact: US has 194 listed REITs with a combined market cap of $1.3Trillion
8/ Interestingly, Rents of both the listed REITs are at a 30-40% discount compared to the current market rents.

This leaves an upside potential once contracts expire.

Moreover, REITs have contractual escalations of 10-15% every 3-5 years.
9/ This is getting a bit complex, Let's talk about an alternative?

Directly buying RE? Get ready for 👇

- Huge Ticket Size (vs limited capital)
- Hassle of managing operational cost
- No valid data source
- Illiquid investment with high transaction costs
10/ Convinced already, things that must be tracked:

- Committed Occupancy & collections efficiency (higher the better)
- Weighted Average Lease Expiry (WALE)
- Sector Concentration (lesser the better) & Quality of tenants
- Healthy Balance Sheet
- Upcoming portfolio
11/ Will WFH kill the Commercial Real Estate business?

No (in the context of India)

- Rents are a fraction of global rents
- Indian Outsourcing is a big opportunity given the resilience & performance in COVID
- Young Population needs direction via physical interactions.
12/ Due to the hits from Demonetisation, RERA, GST, IL&FS crisis & COVID-19

Commercial RE supply is hit, especially for Single Building Projects, Speculative construction, Strata Title assets

Most are facing a cash crunch

Great for future rent scenario, if demand increases
13/ Risks with Investing in REITs

- Slowdown in Commercial RE (follow vacancies)
- Oversupply: Renegotiation at lower rates
- Concentration risks (tenant & location wise)
- Difference b/w REIT yield & FD rate
- Broader stock market movements will have an impact on unit price
14/ 2 REITs are already listed & 3-4 lakh crore worth more REITs could be listed.

REITs allow developers to

- Raise money & deleverage
- Provide liquidity to shareholders
- Increases market value due to increased transparency

As an investor, you are ready🙂

More from JST Investments

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On Jan 6, 2021, the always stellar Mr @deepakshenoy tweeted, this:

https://t.co/fa3GX9VnW0

Innocuous 1 sentence, but its a full economic theory at play.
Let me break it down for you. (1/n)


On September 30, 2020, I wrote an article for @CFASocietyIndia where I explained that RBI is all set to lose its ability to set interest rates if it continues to fiddle with the exchange rate (2/n)

What do I mean, "fiddle with the exchange rate"?

In essence, if RBI opts and continues to manage exchange rate, then that is "fiddling with the exchange rate"

RBI has done that in the past and has restarted it in 2020 - very explicitly. (3/n)

First in March 2020, it opened a Dollar/INR swap of $2B with far leg to be unwound in September 2020.

Implying INR will be bought from the open markets in order to prevent INR from falling vis a vis USD (4/n)

The Second aspect is now, that dollar inflow is happening, and the forex reserves swelled -> implying the rupee is appreciating, RBI again intervened from September, by selling INR in spot markets. (5/n)
https://t.co/9kpWP7ovyM
Interesting thread, but I don't think ecosocialists or degrowthers are arguing that if German socialists had come to power the world would be green by now. Socialism is not automatically green. Eco-socialism is what it says - a green version of socialism - to be tested /1


The historical counterfactual also in not totally convincing. So let's assume Germany and Europe went socialist. The world economy would have evolved exactly the same way it did? 🤔 I doubt it, this is too deterministic. Examples: /2

We do not know if the transition from coal to oil would have taken place when it took place, the way it did. From Timothy Mitchell we know that oil was a fix for capitalism to bypass the labour strikes of coal workers. One would think that socialists would treat workers better /3

We also do not know if socialist governments would strong arm the Middle East the way capitalists did, starting wars to secure cheap oil, and setting up puppet governments. One would want to think that Rosa Luxembourg would not go down that path..../4

We also do not know if they would have continued colonial unequal exchange, extracting raw materials as cheap as possible from the rest of the world. Without cheap oil and cheap materials, it is anyone's guess if GDP and CO2 would be where it is now. /5

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