BC CRYPTO
Saved by @Jacobtldr

Big #Altcoin thread for $ALTS: Where are we at in the cycle, how long do we have, is this #ALTSEASON, what are the relationships like, all of that. $BTC #Bitcoin $ETH $LINK #Altcoins

 First: What is #Altseason? The true altszn was seen in 2017/2018, where $BTC fell off a cliff and $ALTS were the 'safe haven' from btc dumping. ALTS went literally 1000%+ (many much higher). Since that time we have seen many #Altcoin pumps, starting primarily in late Q4 each year
These Altcoin pumps are usually 20-1000% gains on nearly the ENTIRE #Altcoin market. This is awesome to see and genius season- you can't lose. Dips are bought up quickly and both ALT/USD and ALT/BTC pairs pump HUGE. Are we currently in that environment? I'm not quite sure tbh.
I think that $BTC still has a little more gas in the tank, which would result in ALT/BTC pairs suffering IMO. You can see more of my thoughts on #Bitcoin below, but I think that we could see 1 more shakeout + then we could see a big run starting in December 2020 for $ALTS
As an #Altcoin trader, you need to understand several things for the environment in which to trade $ALTS successfully:
- $BTC PA
- $BTC.D
-Seasonality
- $ETH
- and much more
IMO, the easiest way to figure out what the altcoin environment is like is by looking at $BTC.D, aka #Bitcoin dominance. Many notes on the charts, please read them. In short: BTC.D going up = altcoins down. This is mostly in referral to ALT/BTC pairs for the most part.
As you can see, $BTC.D goes down in Q4s each yr, starting in December. The last 3 Decembers have been quite nice for #Altcoins and I don't expect this to change personally. We see pump in Dec-January, cooling off in February, and then a springtime pump for $ALTS.
Another important thing to note is altszn is also characterized by ALT/BTC pairs doing extremely well (more than ALT/USD pairs). Generally, ALT/USD will go up with BTC/USD.

BTC up= ALTBTC -/ ALTUSD +
BTC down= ALTBTC -/ALTUSD-
BTC range = ALTBTC+/ALTUSD+

Always exceptions ofc
Right now we're seeing ALT/USD go up more than ALTBTC (for the most part) when BTC is going up. If BTC starts to range, I expect ALTBTC pairs to catch up personally. More on $BTC thoughts below:
What are the drivers for #Crypto? $BTC and $ETH are the biggest market caps. Here is #Bitcoin first and the price action and what I expect. Check out this thread that I wrote before:

https://t.co/v9pvOOEWsK
$BTC has had 3 different types of price action in the winter the last 3 years. I think that this one will look mostly like 2018 winter (heading into 2019).
$ETH: #Ethereum has a stronger pump than $BTC in December generally (in terms of %) the last few years. December sparks off a strong $ETHUSD run and I wouldn't be surprised to see this hit $800 in the next few months.
#Ethereum is also a leader in the #Altcoin market generally and $ETHBTC is also an important pair to watch. This one has been consolidating and you can argue it's been in the same range since 2018! This 1 also has strong gains in December (not as much as USD pair).
What does the total #crypto market cap look like? It looks pretty good IMO, higher today than any point since early 2018. I think that means that we should see some good gains in terms of ALT/USD pairs. These are good for macro views of the market IMO.
What are the #Altcoins that I expect to pump? As I've said many times before, I think that you should think about $ALTS in terms of groups or classes. These groups will typically pump together due to FA relationship or similar market cycles.
Some examples are: #IEO coins, #DeFi coins, majors ( $LTC $XRP $BCH), old ERC-20 coins ( $REP $GNT $ICX), new shiny coins ( $INJ $AXS), and many more. For the most part, I expect all of these to pump in both alt/usd and alt/btc pairs.
Which #altcoins should do best? I think that the newest coins will do the best.

-No old bag holders (resistance)
-New technology and new hype
-Price discovery easily attainable and not -90% price history
-Lots of new hype
I think that stuff like $DOT $INJ, many of the #DeFi coins, and new coins will do better than older coins like $ICX or $STRAT personally. $LINK should also do very well.
Ok, so I think that $ALTs are going to pump big in the coming months. What is the timeline on our altcoin pump? I think that we see a strong December/January, price to go down in Feb and then pump again in March/April, followed by Alt destruction after that.
This is a thread that highlights more of that timeline. Summers have been painful for $ALTS in 2018 and 2019 (2020 was an exception due to DeFi IMO).

https://t.co/HY5g8HFrW5
What are some reasons why this all might be wrong? If $BTC keeps going to all time high levels in the coming months I think that this entire thread will be wrong and ALT/BTC pairs will get smashed. This is entirely possible given the market structure IMO.
Furthermore, given the #DeFi summer, alts might need to cool longer and maybe March is when they start the run. Some of these coins might need longer accumulation periods.
Tl;dr: I think that #Altcoins are going to pump solidly in December. I am not sure if we are currently in altszn right now, I am waiting for $BTC to finish its current run. I am scaling into several that I like ( $LINK $YFI $AAVE $ETH $DOT) and I plan on swing trading these ones.
Always remember to: Take profits, keep your stop losses, never FOMO, always DYOR, never go all in. I am expecting a very nice end of 2020 for all of us. Good luck and stay safe!

More from Crypto

\U0001f42e Mikko Ohtamaa
🐮 Mikko Ohtamaa...
@moo9000
1/ ERC-20 token standard approve() has caused an unnecessary cost of $53.8M for #Ethereum and #DeFi users

This is bad. Continue reading why and how to avoid this in the future.

👇👇👇


2/ Before you go all rage on the flaws of my analysis, please read the whole Twitter thread for disclaimers and caveats.


3/ approve() is an unnecessary step of ERC-20 tokens when they interact with smart contracts.

You know this because when you do a Uniswap trade you need press two transaction buttons instead of one.


4/ Why there is approve() - you can read the history in this Twitter


5/ I queried all approve() transactions on Google BigQuery public dataset and calculated their ETH cost and then converted this to the USD with the current ETH price.
CRYPTO
Ryan Watkins
Ryan Watkins
@RyanWatkins_
Excited to share our 2020 #Bitcoin review.

2020 will be remembered as the year the long fabled institutions finally arrived and #Bitcoin became a bonafide macroeconomic asset.

Below are the top highlights of each month for Bitcoin’s historic year.

1/


Bitcoin is now at all-time highs capping off an extremely successful year.

But it was by no means stable ride up.

2020 was a historically volatile year.

@YoungCryptoPM and I provided a detailed overview of every month of 2020 in all its

Jan.

3 days into the new year the US assassinated Iran’s top general Soleimani.

BTC surprisingly reacted to the events behaving like a safe haven as the risk of war increased.

The events provided the first hints of BTC potentially having graduated to a legitimate macro asset.


Feb.

COVID-19 reached a tipping point causing markets to crash.

BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 reached an ATH in the following weeks.

This is when everyone learned BTC was not a recession hedge, it was a hedge against inflation and loss of confidence in fiat currencies. https://t.co/JB7dJ3qp6M


Mar.

Financial markets in free fall.

The liquidity crisis was so severe BTC experienced one of it’s worst days ever.

Now known as Black Thursday, on March 12, BTC plummeted as much as 50% to below $4,000 at its lowest point on the day.

BTC closed the day down 40%
CRYPTO
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Sahil Bloom
Sahil Bloom
@SahilBloom
Lindy Effect 101

With Bitcoin's return to the spotlight, debates on its long-term viability are raging. Its proponents contend @nntaleb's Lindy Effect says the technology is here to stay.

But what is the "Lindy Effect" and how does it work?

Here's Lindy Effect 101!

👇👇👇


1/ First, a few definitions.

The Lindy Effect is a theory that the future life expectancy of specific non-perishable items, like a technology or idea, is proportional to their age.

Put simply, the longer it has already lasted, the higher the likelihood it will continue to last.

2/ The term "Lindy effect" is a reference to Lindy's, a New York deli frequented by comedians in the 1960s.

While author Albert Goldman used the term "Lindy's Law" in a 1964 article, it was mathematician Benoit Mandlebrot who moved the dialogue towards the current definition.


3/ In his book, entitled The Fractal Geometry of Nature, Mandlebrot commented that the more stage appearances a Lindy's comedian made, the more future appearances he could be predicted to make.

The longer he lasted, the longer he would continue to last.

4/ @nntaleb built upon Mandelbrot's work, formally coining the term "Lindy Effect" in his book, Antifragile.

He noted the Lindy Effect with books - the longer a book has been in print, the longer it is likely to survive.

With no natural upper bound, power laws come into play.
CRYPTO
Vitor Const\xe2ncio
Vitor Constâncio
@VMRConstancio
Tesla just announced that it had bought 1.5 billion dollars of bitcoin and could in the future sell cars in bitcoins. Since this morning both Bitcoin and Tesla are going up in the market. Maybe there is afterall something in the saying that“Bitcoin is Tesla without the cars”1/ 20

Musk is seen as a genius, a true Midas, by many investors and millennials. For them he can never go wrong. He became recently the richest man in the world dur to Tesla stock valuation (+353% yoy). He moves markets and today´s announcement is “kind of legitimise “ bitcoin 2/

Tesla shares attained $870 which represents a Price/ Earnings ratio of 1.747 (!) on the basis of last year´s profits. Apple is at 37 and the S&P firms average is 23 (against a historical average ≈16). Future profits would have to increase a lot to justify a more normal ratio 3/


Tesla has a good product but the question is if it will sell enough cars to get such profits in face of coming fierce competition. However, this is not the question I want to comment upon. It is also not about what may interest the SEC and market conduct…4/

It was not disclosed when Tesla had made this investment. In December, Musk said that Tesla could buy bitcoin, and this was followed by many statements that he supported bitcoin. Bitcoin kept going up & Tesla investment has appreciated. The SEC will look into this 5/
CRYPTO
Value DeFi Protocol
Value DeFi Protocol
@value_defi
We are actively working to launch on @binance Smart Chain #BSC .

To make this transition easy & understandable for everyone, we are answering most frequently asked questions here.

Ready? Go! 🔥

1/24

#DeFi #YieldFarming


Q1 - What are the benefits of holding the $VALUE token on the Ethereum Mainnet network? Give me reasons not to sell. Some are assuming that the VALUE token will be abandoned now that vBSWAP is being created. Can you clarify the use case for VALUE?

👉 $VALUE will always be a governance & profit receiving token of the whole ecosystem if staked in #vGov. With the new farming token on #BSC , gvVALUE holders will get extra rewards at BSC if they choose to bridge their gvVALUE to BSC & stake in gvVALUE-B/BUSD 98/2 pool.

Q2 - What do I need to do with my VALUE tokens that are staked in vGov? Is it OK to leave them in the vGov?

👉If you have VALUE but aren't staking in the vGov & you would like to participate in the BSC expansion, you will need to stake your VALUE in the vGov to receive gvVALUE.

If you are staking in vGov but don't see the correct gvVALUE amount in your wallet, go to vGov (https://t.co/udXn5IJtVx) to unlock your gvVALUE from the old contract. There will be a bridge from ETH to BSC to move gvVALUE and vUSD over.
ALL , CRYPTO

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A brief thread on Jovan Hutton Pulitzer, the crazy con man who is now claiming to have hacked into the Georgia voting machines in Fulton County. 90s kids and tech aficionados might remember Jovan as the inventor of the CueCat, the dumbest gadget of all time.

Also, for anyone who wants to claim that Jovan Hutton Pulitzer (not his given name, but one he changed legally after the CueCat debacle) invented QR Codes: he did not. Like that other right-wing crazy man who claimed to have invented email, Jovan didn’t invent QR Codes.

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Oh, that’s another thing. When CueCat was a thing, its systems were hacked. I guess that’s what makes Jovan a security expert. His bankrupt company from 20 years ago was hacked and widely mocked. He’s a genius.

In recent years, Jovan pivoted to being a treasure hunter who was featured on and widely mocked on Curse of Oak Island, because the man is insane.
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The 2018 State of JavaScript survey is out. They got 20,000 responses and have some delicious, delicious data. I'mma thread in some highlights:

First up: JavaScript flavors. There's TypeScript at 47% adoption, a tad higher than npm's own survey results (which said 46%). npm's survey is coming up again soon and will ask about TypeScript in a lot more detail.


I really, *really* like SoJ's "would not use again" question, which lets people who've abandoned a tech self-identify. This is noticeable in the graph above with Flow users -- 41% of people who've used Flow say they wouldn't use it again.

Now JavaScript frameworks. It's been a full year since npm's survey, so these numbers differ from ours in the directions I expected:
React 65% (vs. 60%)
Vue 29% (vs. 24%)
Ember 5% (vs 4%, I was expecting a bigger rise)

But there's a shocker in here: Angular.


npm's survey had Angular at 40% last year and SoJ has it at either:
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Jaya_Upadhyaya
Jaya_Upadhyaya
@Jayalko1
HORANADU ANNAPOORNESHWARI, CHIKMAGALUR (KAR)
#bharatmandir

Annapoorneshwari is the Devi of nutrition and food. The literal meaning of Annapoorneshwari is “Feeding one and all”. Anyone who comes here is offered meals and shelter within the premises.
@LostTemple7


Maharshi Agastya is believed to have done pratishtha here.

Once, Shiva and Parvati had an argument. Shiva declared everything in the world including food to be Maya or illusion. To prove him wrong, Devi Parvati disappeared resulting in entire Earth becoming still.


Taking pity, Devi appeared as Annapoorna and relieved everyone.
Another belief is that once Shiva beheaded Brahma and his skull got stuck in Shiva’s hand. He was cursed that till the skull is not full of food or grains, it will remain stuck to his hands.


Shiva went everywhere and asked for food but the skull was never full. He finally came here and Maa Annapoorna filled the skull with grains and reversed Shiva’s curse.

It is believed that who ever visits Devi Annapoorna here will never be without food in their lives.
ALL
Damodar Hegde
Damodar Hegde
@DamodarHegde4
MUST READ TILL END:
FB POST BY MR PRABEER BASU,
IAS-1976(BIHAR)
" Received a hurtful post from an old friend and colleague. He was on my daily Broadcast list of WhatsApp. He requested that I do not send him any of my posts on 'political' issues. I gave him a long explaination
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on why I write and what I write. But he was not convinced.

Being alerted by him thus, I felt I should clarify to all who read my posts on what exactly I think and do.

The charge against me is that I wrongly support our current Prime Minister, Shri Narendra Modi..
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Similarly, I have no views whether BJP is a better party than Congress or vice versa.
Even after 36 years in the IAS I have no MLA, MP or anyone involved in politics whom I can classify as my friend or even acquaintance.
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Now, why I speak in favour of Shri Modi:

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Anshul Pandey
Anshul Pandey
@Anshulspiritual
TYPES OF SINS(PAAP) AS PER SKAND PURAN.

There are three types of Adharma- Sthool, Sukshma and Ati Sukshma. The group of Sins in the Sthul section carries you to Narak. These sins are committed through your thoughts, words and deeds.


It is of four types.

1)First is the sin committed by your mental state-
Thinking about woman other then your spouse.

A)Resolution to amass wealth from others.

B)Thinking ill about others.

C)Thinking of doing a forbidden or unworthy deed.

2)Second is the sin that you commit through your words :-

A)Talking irrelevant things.

B)Telling a lie.

C)Speaking harshly.

D)Talking ill about others.

3)Third type of sin is committed through your body actions-

A)Eating food not prescribed to you or forbidden.

B)Violence.

C)Eating fancier food.

D)Acquiring other's wealth.

So these twelve types of sins.

There are six types of sinners or Mahapatak

1)One not bowing his head in front of a temple.

2)Never praise Shiva.

3)People who behave untowardly way in front of Ishwar.

4)People who do not show respect to Ishwar, guru or one who are undignified.

5)One who do not behave properly.

6)One who is jealous of other bhakts.

Below is the list of sins which people may commit.

1)One who does not help a needy person or a person in pain,
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