⚠️TWO DIFFERENT #COVID19 PANDEMICS—Many think with cases dropping that pandemic is nearly over. But truth is, there are now 2 different #SARSCoV2 pandemics diverging—old strain is waning, while the more contagious #B117 strain is dominating. We will be soon slammed very hard. 🧵
https://t.co/gOq0put4H5
https://t.co/gOq0put4H5
https://t.co/EWqtBZpsuh
\u26a0\ufe0fCRUSH VIRUS NOW OR ELSE WE ARE SCREWED: Denmark\u2019s CDC thinks new B117 #SARSCoV2 variant is so much more contagious (R +0.4 to +0.7) & inevitable that **if any country does not crush the R<0.7 now**, we will be completely #COVID19 screwed by Feb/March.\U0001f9f5
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 6, 2021
https://t.co/CG1iZNx6uI pic.twitter.com/W7v1iAsgw3
➡️But w/ added contagiousness of B117 variant that has ~60% higher R, in 2 weeks, 3000 new cases/day instead.
➡️6x difference in 2 wks
HT @GosiaGasperoPhD
7) Now how does the new B117 variant change public health measures? What used to work for Australia and Canada will no longer work anymore. Only aggressive New Zealand and Austria 1st wave restrictions would now be able to stop the more transmissible B117 strain. pic.twitter.com/S2FKXF8g1n
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 6, 2021

2.4%

4.0%

7.4%

12.1%
Denmark\U0001f1e9\U0001f1f0 even more worried than ever about new #B117 variant\u2014B117 cases increasing 70% a week **despite strict lockdown**, says Denmark\u2019s CDC genome sequencing *every single case in the country* for mutation. By contrast, \U0001f1fa\U0001f1f8 sequencing 0.3%. #COVID19 \U0001f9f5https://t.co/SPTy0cDkEH pic.twitter.com/8fCCyPwxPW
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 24, 2021
“If you just look at the reproduction number, you just wouldn’t see that it was in growth underneath at all,”
BREAKING\u2014Good & bad news\u2014The Moderna #COVID19 vaccine fully protected against the UK \U0001f1ec\U0001f1e7 #B117 variant... but was 6x less efficient at neutralizing the South African #B1351 variant in lab test. Moderna is testing a newly synthesized booster for it\u20143rd shot. https://t.co/4s4Ysr5cSp pic.twitter.com/CrCTrgNsre
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 25, 2021
NOT GOOD\u2014so it seems \U0001f1ec\U0001f1e7 government researchers have discovered that the already more contagious #B117 has further acquired the other troublesome E484K mutation seen in \U0001f1ff\U0001f1e6#B1351 & \U0001f1e7\U0001f1f7#P1 variants\u2014in 11 patients. E484k is blamed for partial vaccine-evasion.\U0001f9f5https://t.co/VwjT1WxVL8 pic.twitter.com/HAOahtFqcN
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) February 1, 2021
Holy cow: 10% of the village of Corzano \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f9 has the #B117 variant\u201410% of all residents! 60% of cases are kids from kindergarten and primary school, other 40% are their parents, says the mayor. Schools in the village now closed. https://t.co/LhfmnuPdUP pic.twitter.com/htN5s0dbCU
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) February 5, 2021
💡No virus = No mutation.
#ZeroCovid #COVID19 #COVIDzero
SWITCH TO PREMIUM MASKS\u2014I\u2019ve been saying it for months. We need to switch to KN95, KF94, or European FFP2 masks ASAP. The new #b117 #COVID19 is just too contagious. Cloth isn\u2019t enough anymore folks. Germany \U0001f1e9\U0001f1ea & Austria \U0001f1e6\U0001f1f9 mandating on all public transits. https://t.co/MfZhK4Uacg pic.twitter.com/iKQB4yNQrA
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 24, 2021
https://t.co/Dz6NYYEdaX
📌Becomes dominant (B117 🇬🇧)
📌More transmissible (B117), deadlier, or modifies immunity. #COVID19
https://t.co/nBnmm6gdV4
More from Eric Feigl-Ding
HHS @SecBecerra has tested positive for COVID-19 again, the agency just announced. Last time he tested positive was May 18, after attending the G-7 Summit.
— Ariel Cohen (@ArielCohen37) June 13, 2022
2) #BA5 and #BA4 are worrisome. They are surging and they have high reinfection potential. Your past BA1/BA2 doesn’t substantially protect you from #Ba5/4
\U0001f4c8Surging #BA5 & #BA4 variants in both US & England. It\u2019s looking like #Ba5 is the new fastest strain\u2014which has ~10x increased in England in 1 month. Also notice that older #Omicron #B11529/#BA1 are already near *extinct*. I worry the \u201cnew\u201d Omicron BA1 bivalent vaccine is behind. pic.twitter.com/kLNH0gzPk3
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) June 9, 2022
3) Excess deaths—the new #BA4 & #BA5 variants of the coronavirus are currently the **fastest growing** strains in the US & UK. ➡️They are exponentially replacing all other past strains. Learn from South Africa’s early warning signs and their excess deaths. #CovidIsNotOver #COVID
To anyone pointing to South Africa to suggest the impact of the omicron wave has been 'mild' or that the BA.4/5 haven't had much impact, I'd urge you to look at excess deaths. 29,500 excess deaths since Jan (omicron wave) & a peak of 1,844 excess deaths/wk during BA.4/5 wave.\U0001f9f5 pic.twitter.com/r7kLzmD5dG
— Dr. Deepti Gurdasani (@dgurdasani1) June 11, 2022
4) Is it a Paxlovid rebound for Becerra, as some are asking? Unclear—Paxlovid rebound usually only happens at day 10-14 that we know of and have data. The FDA says it’s 1-2% rebound but I counted 12% from this Pfizer graph submitted to FDA.
4) Look at these 97 Paxlovid patients here with viral RNA load data over time. Of 97, i conservatively counted at least 12 of 97 (12%) with viral load rebound after day 10. Even more if you count rebound after day 5. Thus, FDA\u2019s 1-2% doesn\u2019t match up here. https://t.co/bNoqj5W3Sk pic.twitter.com/B3Kh0Lc1A4
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) May 5, 2022
5) and yes, #ba5 / #BA4 are very problematic. they are 2x more resistant than even BA2 for neutralizing the virus compared to those who had breakthrough reinfections from older Omicron.
Unfortunately neutralization experiments found that BA.4/5 is 2x more resistant than BA.2 to the blood obtained from vaccinated individuals who had a breakthrough infection with BA.1 or BA.2. 4/ pic.twitter.com/MEOPXuqTgg
— Dr. Jeff Gilchrist (@jeffgilchrist) June 13, 2022
Great animated lecture on #LongCovid by @Dr2NisreenAlwan, animated by @VickiGSP using info from UK @IndependentSage experts.
2) Furthermore, 1 in 8 of those who were discharged subsequently die. And many suffer long term ailments like heart disease, liver, kidney, diabetes, and more. This doesn’t even include less clinical critical cognitive effects. #LongCovid is real.
3) How common is #LongCovid overall? UK estimates 1 in 5 at 5 weeks and 1 in 10 have symptoms have even 12 weeks after initial #COVID19 diagnosis.
Lecture again by @Dr2NisreenAlwan
4) Let these numbers sink in... 1 in 10 at 12 weeks still have symptoms!
5) Here is the original study of the above lecture from few weeks ago. We need to prepare our healthcare system long term for the impact of millions with #LongCovid. This is gonna be larger than Gulf War Syndrome or long term health of 9/11 first responders.
LONG COVID\u201430% of hospital recovered #COVID19 patients end up back in hospital in <5 months; up to 12% die of complications. \u201cwe really need to prepare for #LongCovid. It\u2019s a mammoth task to follow up w/ these patients, but monitoring needs to be arranged\u201dhttps://t.co/h0y8WUn8sQ pic.twitter.com/Pk8GhQc9J5
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 18, 2021
2) Now, the Oregon Health Authority says that at least 74 people associated with the church have tested positive for the coronavirus — one of the state’s largest workplace outbreaks.
3) “In a statement, the church’s leaders attributed the outbreak to a recent rise in covid-19 cases in Marion County, Ore.
Murray said the church, which has held in-person services throughout the pandemic, intends to continue with in-person ceremonies on Sunday.
4) Who saw this coming? Countless scientists. If only airborne-denialists didn’t muzzle the airborne aerosols science.
\u26a0\ufe0fAIRBORNE >6 FEET / 2 METERS! The CDC finally acknowledged #SARSCoV2 has major transmission via airborne aerosols beyond 6 feet / 2 meters, not just close contact. The CDC/WHO & airborne deniers are a year late\u2014and negligently endangered many. #COVID19 \U0001f9f5https://t.co/1YMqDGbD0v pic.twitter.com/DUm5FA3V90
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) May 8, 2021
2) The leading hypothesis is that the new variant evolved within just one person, chronically infected with the virus for so long it was able to evolve into a new, more infectious form.
same thing happened in Boston in another immunocompromised person that was sick for 155 days.
3) What happened in Boston with one 45 year old man who was highly infectious for 155 days straight before he died... is exactly what scientists think happened in Kent, England that gave rise to #B117.
Immunocompromised 45 year old suffered from #COVID19 for 155 days before he died. The virus was changing very quickly inside the man's body\u2014it acquired a big cluster of >20 mutations\u2014resembled the same ones seen in #B117 & #B1351. (NPR audio Part 1 of 2)\U0001f9f5https://t.co/7kWiBZ1xGk pic.twitter.com/ZJ7AExB78Y
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) February 8, 2021
4) Doctors were shocked to find virus has evolved many different forms inside of this one immunocompromised man. 20 new mutations in one virus, akin to the #B117. This is possibly how #B1351 in South Africa 🇿🇦 and #P1 in Brazil 🇧🇷 also evolved.
2) NPR report audio part 2 of 2:
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) February 8, 2021
Dr. Li couldn't believe what they found. "I was shocked," he says. "When I saw the virus sequences, I knew that we were dealing with something completely different and potentially very important." pic.twitter.com/HT3Yt6djFd
5) “On its own, the appearance of a new variant in genomic databases doesn’t tell us much. “That’s just one genome amongst thousands every week. It wouldn’t necessarily stick out,” says Oliver Pybus, a professor of evolution and infectious disease at Oxford.
2) this guy was just arrested.
3) We cannot have a repeat of the fascism from WW2. This is @Schwarzenegger’s speech was so powerful.
This speech will go down as one of the greatest speeches. @Schwarzenegger is right\u2014Jan 6th 2021 was our Kristallnacht. Austria \U0001f1e6\U0001f1f9 tried to resist Hilter takeover for years but succumbed because Hitler\u2019s lies went unchallenged. We must #impeach now. pic.twitter.com/gOChiGLuHK
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 10, 2021
4) My wife @andreafeigl1’s 🇦🇹 great grandfather secretly fought Hilter’s Nazi regime & smuggled many Jews to safety as an aircraft engineer. He was thrown into a concentration camp, and escaped.
She knows a few things about Nazi history—Jan 6th was downright fascist. Read 👇
Some saw clearly what MAGAism is - pure fascism - in 2016.
— Dr. Andrea Feigl (@andreafeigl1) January 6, 2021
More see it 2day
Some saw this playbook b4: WW2
Americans r too unaware of history since it didn't happen on home soil
But we MUST heed these lessons, lest it b 2 late 4 democracy & consequences are unfathomable
\U0001f9f5 pic.twitter.com/QdoVG3LsrB
5) So this cover is from a semi-tabloid magazine in Germany, according to @andreafeigl1. But even so, how did such a magazine still get it so damn right?! Maybe Germany 🇩🇪 has seen this kinda fascism before...
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Covering one of the most unique set ups: Extended moves & Reversal plays
Time for a 🧵 to learn the above from @iManasArora
What qualifies for an extended move?
30-40% move in just 5-6 days is one example of extended move
How Manas used this info to book
The stock exploded & went up as much as 63% from my price.
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) June 22, 2020
Closed my position entirely today!#BroTip pic.twitter.com/CRbQh3kvMM
Post that the plight of the
What an extended (away from averages) move looks like!!
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) June 24, 2020
If you don't learn to sell into strength, be ready to give away the majority of your gains.#GLENMARK pic.twitter.com/5DsRTUaGO2
Example 2: Booking profits when the stock is extended from 10WMA
10WMA =
#HIKAL
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) July 2, 2021
Closed remaining at 560
Reason: It is 40+% from 10wma. Super extended
Total revenue: 11R * 0.25 (size) = 2.75% on portfolio
Trade closed pic.twitter.com/YDDvhz8swT
Another hack to identify extended move in a stock:
Too many green days!
Read
When you see 15 green weeks in a row, that's the end of the move. *Extended*
— Manas Arora (@iManasArora) August 26, 2019
Simple price action analysis.#Seamecltd https://t.co/gR9xzgeb9K