I think we are probably sliding towards a very messy and confusing low grade civil war, in which the citizenry and government is fighting itself, no matter what happens. This could play out several different ways.

The second wave of the coup attempt is in the next 10 days and will involve armed attacks on state capitols and the inauguration. If these succeed, Trump remains in office. If they fail, there is a long term terrorist threat. If they stall, a prolonged conflict starts.
Let's assume the best case scenario, which is that Biden gets into office. This will be met with heightened militia activity and retaliatory terrorist attacks in the short, medium, and long term.
If there is enough chaos, Trump will try to exploit it to remain in power under the guise of an emergency. This may be the goal of wave 2. If this happens, you will see left wing insurgency against the Trump coup government play out over a sustained period of time.
In all of these scenarios, it ends with Americans killing each other and competing factions within the government, which is not a monolith, fighting each other. The only exit from these outcomes is if the military decisively squashes the coup attempt and restores order.
I don't really see a conflict of standing armies taking place, Blue vs Grey style. I think there are going to very blurred lines in every dimension of the conflict. No one will know exactly what is going on most of the time. Let us hope for peace and prepare for the worst.

You May Also Like

The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.


In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.

In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.

This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.

In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
Ivor Cummins has been wrong (or lying) almost entirely throughout this pandemic and got paid handsomly for it.

He has been wrong (or lying) so often that it will be nearly impossible for me to track every grift, lie, deceit, manipulation he has pulled. I will use...


... other sources who have been trying to shine on light on this grifter (as I have tried to do, time and again:


Example #1: "Still not seeing Sweden signal versus Denmark really"... There it was (Images attached).
19 to 80 is an over 300% difference.

Tweet: https://t.co/36FnYnsRT9


Example #2 - "Yes, I'm comparing the Noridcs / No, you cannot compare the Nordics."

I wonder why...

Tweets: https://t.co/XLfoX4rpck / https://t.co/vjE1ctLU5x


Example #3 - "I'm only looking at what makes the data fit in my favour" a.k.a moving the goalposts.

Tweets: https://t.co/vcDpTu3qyj / https://t.co/CA3N6hC2Lq