A year ago we left the EU, but the real impact of leaving will only be felt from tomorrow.

1/13

Although the ‘deal’ includes tariff free access to the single market and customs union – it still destroys friction free access to the EU markets, which will destroy many UK businesses and cost many UK jobs.

2/13
It of course fails to address the UK’s services industry – which represents 80% of trade with the EU.

3/13
But there are also other factors – lorry drivers will need to be paid more to wait in queues. Or they won’t come.

4/13
So there will be supply failures for product from the EU – impacting everything from supermarket shelves to car and aerospace manufacturing industries.

5/13
There are not the resources to certify food exports – eg vets for lamb. So expect farming businesses to suffer or go bankrupt.

6/13
We have avoided the catastrophe of no deal and are set to slowly negotiate better and more sensible access, without doubt paying dues if/as required.

7/13
We have lost much – freedom to study, work, live, and retire in the EU – being some of the biggest losses.

8/13
And we lost the fight for a second referendum – every attempt to stop the Brexit con was blocked by the deliberate and self-serving actions of politicians.

9/13
So we are now in a state where the majority support for EU membership has never been greater. Yet we are out.

10/13
It was never about the “will of the people”. It was about the self-serving interests of power-hungry politicians. They won. The UK lost. Badly.

11/13
The anxiety of what Brexit will do is over. Now we will just sadly watch the reality unfold.

12/13
Keep safe. Keep well. And wishing everyone the best, regardless, for 2021.

13/13

More from Brexit

1/ A challenge in parsing Brexit news is that businesses are facing overlapping types of challenges that can be difficult to separate.

The key questions are:
1⃣ Given the model of Brexit chosen, could this have been prevented, and by whom?
2⃣ Can it get better?


2/ To put those another way:

"If you knew everything you needed to know and did everything right, is your existing business and delivery model still viable and competitive?"

The answer to that question determines if for you the problem is Brexit, or how Brexit was delivered.

3/ Some of the challenges at borders could have been prevented while still having the exact same model of Brexit (No Single Market, No Customs Union, but an FTA).

That they're appearing is an implementation failure and you can fully support Brexit but still be pissed about them.

4/ Examples include:

1) Government guidance and IT systems being ready earlier and/or easier to navigate;

2) More support for businesses, and more affordable bespoke help;

3) More time to prepare and better government communication about what preparation actually requires.

5/ This thread you've all seen from Daniel Lambert the wine merchant (primarily) deals with problems in this category.

There's no policy reason he can't export his product, but the procedures are a nightmare to navigate and he's badly under-supported.

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