Reminded me of my Borosil renewables chart of last year in July.

AWL - look at the ranges of contraction on the chart https://t.co/2XMhqZQu8X

In this thread, I will explain to you the psychology behind the cup & handle pattern. The attached chart is of Balaji Amines.

Point 1 = Profit booking by many traders and fresh short positions opened taking the stock down till level 2 where there is no more selling

Point 2 - a level wherein the stock becomes attractive again for fresh buyers and short positions will be covered adding strength to the stock.

It moves back till point 3 which is now the psychological resistance level and would again see profit booking by weak hands.

But, this time the stock fell till point 4 wherein the buyers (smart hands) are willing to pay a higher price and further push out the weak hands absorbing all their selling. This is the ideal entry point for a risk-loving trader as this is the closest to the stop-loss point.

Finally, you see - in the whole process - the stock has shifted hands from uninformed retail investors to "smart hands". And finally followed by a cup and handle breakout. The target will be the depth of the cup projected upwards from the breakout level.

When to take entry for a conservative investor? At candle no 5 - the breakout candle and stop-loss a few % below breakout level.

In the next thread - I will explain to you how the same principle works for most of the patterns (No need to mug up the pattern names)

Syngene - a long route opened. 1%*3 PnF

Praj Industries - keep on the radar. Price is telling something. Smart money most probably pushing out. Strict SL needed. Volatility contracted.

HDFC Bank - price bouncing back from the support must knock off the previous highs else it becomes weaker. Not a healthy sign till now. Need a strong follow-through. The zone of 1290-1300 is still to be tracked carefully.

Must observe this chart very carefully for the reason that the price is at the confluence zone of 40 weeks MA, a bearish H&S top that has not been activated yet, and the lower boundary of the channel formation.

I call these zones critical areas.

Bank of Baroda