10 Powerful Lessons of the book “The Art of Thinking Clearly”
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It is a tendency to interpret new information so that it becomes compatible with our existing theories.
Dis-confirming evidence must be seeked out to beat this theory.
He or she will not be the most popular member of the team, but definitely the most important.
Send an email to 10,000 people with stock market prediction by dividing them into 2 groups - telling reverse prediction to each group. Prediction for one of the groups will come true.
The fear of losing something motivates people more than the prospect of gaining something of equal value.
When it comes to compounding, dont trust your intuition - you have no idea how powerful it is.
99% Fat Free product seems more healthy than a product with 1% Fat.
There is no 3rd category of passive onlookers.
A Bill Gates monthly income in a group of 50 ordinary citizens can give an extremely misleading average.
And retweet the first tweet to share with others:
https://t.co/QYlZjIAGMD
10 Powerful Lessons of the book \u201cThe Art of Thinking Clearly\u201d
— Andrew Duggan (@ajdduggan) March 9, 2022
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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
The story doesn\u2019t say you were told not to... it says you did so without approval and they tried to obfuscate what you found. Is that true?
— Sarah Frier (@sarahfrier) November 15, 2018
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
