It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is a Dividend Discount Model?
2. What are its main components?
3. How to use it to value a business?

Lets dive right in.

Before I explain what a Dividend Discount Mode is, lets understand what is the main crux of valuations?

The entire reason behind valuing something is to determine, how much return your investment will generate within a specified period of time.

Return here stands for the cash flow generated by the asset.

Every asset by its nature, will generate returns.

For Fixed Deposits = Returns are Interest Payments

For Real Estate = Returns are Rent Payments

For Debt Securities = Returns are coupon payments

For Stocks = Returns are Dividends + Any Appreciation in Stock Price

To perform the exercise of valuation means to determine what these returns are worth today.

Why?

Cause Rs 100 today is worth more than Rs 100, 10 years later.

Syngene Annual Report

https://t.co/U9pP85grhC

Corrected my mistake today, bought #Mastek

First identified it at 1100, by the time I finished researching it went to 1800 Thought will wait and invest at pull back. Soon it was at 2800+

Bought today at 2375
15% of PF

#IEX
This is a cash cow in my portfolio, expect it to create wealth in the form of dividends and share buybacks.

I view this a technology company that happens to be in the business of energy exchange.

Want to invest in #Nykaa but don't want to read the 590 page long DRHP?

My latest publication on @SubstackInc takes a deep dive into The Business of Nykaa 👇 and the future of ecommerce in India

@Rohan_Se Trendlyne has all the research reports available for free for most stocks.

@Trendlyne

Here are all for Laurus

EPC companies have razor thin margins, they aren't the places to bet on.

It's the commodity makers who make real money and within commodity makers it's the ones with least disruption to their price and limited competition.

In solar chain, these are the solar glass players ☀️👓

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is a Yield Curve?
2. Why is it an important indicator of Recession?
3. Is an Economic Recession around the corner?

Lets dive right in!

Before we understand a Yield Curve, lets get some of the basic terminology out of the way

1. What is a Bond?

A bond is a fixed income financial instrument which represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower

The investor typically receives payment in the form of interest and a lumpsum (principal) on maturity

The interest rate on a bond is known as coupon rate.

There are many types of bonds like

1. Zero Coupon : Pays both interest and principal at maturity
2. Sovereign Bonds : Issued by a Government or a Quasi Government Institution
3. Corporate Bonds : Issued by corporate like banks, established companies etc.

Coupon (Interest Rates) on a bond are decided based on the issuer's credit rating

The higher the credit worthiness of the issuer, the lower the coupon rate

Credit Rating on a Bond is usually assigned by credit rating agencies like Moody's or Standard & Poor's (S&P)

Amid the ongoing war, you would have heard Nickel rising by over 200%, Wheat by 80% and Oil by 50%

But did you know there is another asset class that rose by over 2000% since Dec

Todays thread is about Credit Default Swaps, an asset class only accessible to the ultra rich 🧵👇

This thread is divided into the following parts

1. Basics & History of Credit Default Swaps
2. How Russian CDS rose over 2000%?
3. Why these instruments are limited to the ultra wealthy?
4. Can you profit indirectly from CDS?

Credit Default Swaps belong to a category of derivative products called Swaps.

Derivative products are usually of two kinds

1. Standardized Derivative Products like Futures and Option Contracts that are traded over the exchange

2. Non Standardized Over the Counter Products like Forwards and Swaps

Swap at its simplest is an agreement between two parties to exchange a series of cash flows for a set period of time

Swaps were basically invented to help large banks and companies manage their interest rate and currency exposures

#BankNifty breaks importance resistance of 34800
Expect Banks to do well in June, similar to recent rallies in global banking names (Citi, JPM, Wells Fargo etc)

Possible targets

Prof. Damodaran is the OG.

Here is a playlist of his valuation class he teaches at NYU Stern.
The same lectures are recorded and uploaded for free for anyone to learn.

https://t.co/fraTT0gUUM

Education and Knowledge is freely available, just need to know how & where to look.

Whenever I am bored, I just go watch Alpha Series on @IIC_Conference
Learn something new everytime.

Watching @tusharbohra present on API industry
https://t.co/WYr2DIpVfD

Highly recommended.

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is index investing?
2. Why S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and DIJA are different?
3. How to create your own indexes?

Let's dive right in.

You may have noticed at the start of every book, there is a page which lists out various chapters and the page number for each chapter.

This is called the index of contents of the book.

It helps you understand what is where and give you a general idea how to read the book.

Similarly in the world of finance, we have financial indexes that are used to indicate where the overall market is trading.

Is it high or is it low?
Is it cheap or is it expensive?

These questions can be answered by looking at the index.

Fun Fact: The first ever financial index created was the Dow Jones Industrial Average in year 1896

The world created a financial index before cars, airplanes and electricity were the norm!

Stocks in 1896 used to look like this, an index was helpful to understand economy levels

If you want to read more about the history of stock market, you can go through this

“I work on what product we should go after because that will ultimately decide how well we are doing,” says Chava, who has brought more than 50 products to market in the last 15 years.

Forbes Profile on Dr.Chava

@Jaydeep_25 Thank you!

All of your questions are answered here.
You will find these addressed at length by the

This is pretty much all there is to valuations 👇🏼 I personally follow this same process.

(Excuse the handwriting, rough notes from CFA L2 Equity Valuations)