Peter Lynch's 8 principles for beating the market

(Why listen? He averaged 29% yearly returns running a mutual fund!!!)

1/12

1. Know what you own

This one frequently gets a "yeah, yeah" from me, but it's embarrassing how many "They do THAT?" moments I have.

Here's a test for every company you own...can you explain in detail how they make money AND how that's different than their competitors?

2/12
2. It's futile to predict the economy and interest rates (so don't waste time trying)

As I'm writing this, we're all wondering what the Fed's going to do.

You could read this a week, a month, or 10 years from now, and this would be true.

3/12
3. You have plenty of time to identify and recognize exceptional companies

Lynch mentions $WMT as an example...even way back when he wrote about it, it was a 10-bagger even if you waited 10 years AFTER its IPO.

Today, we can look at $AMZN or $NFLX.

4/12
4. Avoid long shots

LOVE this one.

It's so easy to get enamored with a stock's potential to 10-bag (e.g. hot industry, huge TAM, etc.), but we have to bump that against its chances for success.

5/12
Lynch claims he was 0-for-25 in investing in companies that had no revenue but a great story.

Combined with #3, that can mean waiting to see if the company can reach critical mass on execution and then buying at a higher future price with a greater chance of success.

6/12
5. Good management is very important; good businesses matter more

Of course, great management (especially founder leaders) can help build great businesses.

I know I didn't flinch when Jeff Bezos decided to step away from $AMZN's day-to-day.

7/12
6. Be flexible and humble, and learn from mistakes

This is different than constantly changing strategies.

Lynch: "In this business, if you're good, you're right six times out of 10. You're never going to be right nine times out of 10."

There are lessons in the losers!

8/12
7. Before you make a purchase, you should be able to explain why you're buying

...to an 11-year-old in three sentences.

Lynch: "Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon."

Personal e.g.: My Greenlight Framework forces me to organize my thoughts simply.

9/12
8. There's always something to worry about.

Lynch's e.g.: investors made a killing in the 1950s despite the very new threat of nuclear war.

Buffett started investing DURING WWII.

Lynch: "In the stock market, the most important organ is the stomach. It's not the brain."

10/12
These lessons sound SO simple and obvious

In a sentence, he's saying...

Focus on patiently, humbly, consistently vetting and buying great companies.

But executing them is SO hard.

Revisiting this list from time to time helps me.

11/12
More from me...

https://t.co/atO9nThDj1

https://t.co/cufyjakuTR

12/12

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I'm going to do two history threads on Ethiopia, one on its ancient history, one on its modern story (1800 to today). 🇪🇹

I'll begin with the ancient history ... and it goes way back. Because modern humans - and before that, the ancestors of humans - almost certainly originated in Ethiopia. 🇪🇹 (sub-thread):


The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC 🇪🇹


Ethiopians themselves believe that the Queen of Sheba, who visited Israel's King Solomon in the Bible (c 950 BC), came from Ethiopia (not Yemen, as others believe). Here she is meeting Solomon in a stain-glassed window in Addis Ababa's Holy Trinity Church. 🇪🇹


References to the Queen of Sheba are everywhere in Ethiopia. The national airline's frequent flier miles are even called "ShebaMiles". 🇪🇹