Better late than never. Here we go. What does this deal mea…

Borders
When compared to no deal the deal changes very little in terms of border procedures. All formalities and checks will still be required.

Reminder - we're not starting from 0 here – both our container ports and our ro-ro ports are already congested

/2

On top of that, all the issues related to border readiness: lack of capacity and space, IT systems not ready, shortages of customs agents, treader readiness – have not been solved.

The deal doesn’t help with that.

/3

Here is where we are:
☑️The UK will phase-in border formalities over 6 months (customs and SPS)
☑️The EU will introduce full formalities in 3 days (customs + SPS)
☑️Irish Sea border also fully operational in 3 days with some short-term SPS easements

/4

Pre-notifications (safety & security declarations) not initially required on the UK side, needed for imports into the EU.

So what's in the deal?

/5

Anti-smuggling and safety&security checks according to each side’s criteria but signs of cooperation and data exchange.

Not much of that going on on the UK's side anyway in the first 6 months.

/6

Customs cooperation
The text is actually very good. Covers standard provisions plus elements from the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement. It’s comprehensive and encouraging.

Plus we have a Protocol on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Customs Matters

/7

(Side note - further case in point that a Mutual Administrative Assistance agreement is not the same as a trade deal and can be signed with or without one)

/8

https://t.co/QRsegE8Zm9

This is a Customs Mutual Assistance Agreement, nothing to do with a tread deal. The EU and other countries have these agreements with many partners whether or not there is an FTA (trade deal) in place.

This doesn't make the UK-US deal any more or less likely

/1 https://t.co/555Ku48r5d
— Dr Anna Jerzewska (@AnnaJerzewska) December 16, 2020

Non-committal language of the chapter in practice means that there is potential for deeper cooperation e.g. “consider developing joint initiatives” but no obligation.

This is in line with what we normally see in such chapters.

/9

For example 👇 from the UK’s initial proposal - a pilot for joint customs offices.

Again, plenty of scope for deeper cooperation but not initially.

/10

Ro-ro ports

Helpful language but less than in the UK's initial proposal. The EU did not commit to the proposed 2h time-limit for clearance.

/11

Pre-lodgement, advanced processing and exchange of information.

/12

Customs procedures
Full or simplified (deferred - UK). The key difference here vs no deal - no tariffs, provided that rules of origin are met. A quick explainer on how this will work below.

/13

https://t.co/Z4FJHbIebO

So on origin, it\u2019s getting a bit hard to keep up with all the rumours so here is where I think we are with this (correct me if I missed something)

/1 https://t.co/N5dDcbH7u7 pic.twitter.com/ff77fdV1Mx
— Dr Anna Jerzewska (@AnnaJerzewska) December 28, 2020

Simplified procedures
Interesting provision. Both parties already have simplified procedures and have previously committed to introducing the ones they don't currently have. So this is not technically new. But perhaps there is scope here for something more. Eventually.

/14

AEO and mutual recognition.
This is good. Still not that many benefits of having AEO but mutual recognition is helpful.
Commitment to allow SMEs to qualify but not many SMEs are able to given the current criteria.

/15

The only thing is, as I have often pointed out - to get mutual recognition our AEO programme needs to be compatible with EU's AEO.

Meaning total revamping of UK's AEO programme isn't happening. We can't diverge that much

/16

SPS
Little if any changes vs no deal in terms of what needs to happen at the border.
Not much on SPS in general. Read more 👇 from SPS expert.

/17

https://t.co/tWsjD2gHeF

Some thoughts on the skinny Sanitary & Phytosanitary terms of the \U0001f1ea\U0001f1fa\U0001f1ec\U0001f1e7TCA Agreement that will result in significant barriers to trade.

While the Chapter introduces world-first language on the \u2018softer\u2019 issues, it goes little beyond the WTO SPS Agreement on the rest \U0001f9f5\U0001f447
— Emily Rees (@emilyrees_eu) December 27, 2020

Northern Ireland
Nothing in the deal but having a deal, in theory, means managing of the Irish Sea Border will be easier. With the new trusted trader programme and more than a light-touch approach to RoOs it should be easier.

/18

To sum it all up – in 3 days border procedures will look pretty much the same as they would under no deal. In terms of customs – obviously no tariffs (hello origin).

In the future, who knows, plenty of scope for deepening customs cooperation.

/19

Better late than never. Here we go. What does this deal mean for borders, border formalities, customs & trade facilitation?

Long one. TL:DR very little at the moment but has potential

/1

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Better late than never. Here we go. What does this deal mean for borders, border formalities, customs & trade facilitation? Long one. TL:DR very little at the moment but has potential /1

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Better late than never. Here we go. What does this deal mean for borders, border formalities, customs & trade facilitation?

Long one. TL:DR very little at the moment but has potential

/1