Second Thread: The incurable SPD

Looking at the coming split of the GOP, next up is the era right up to Trump announcing his run in 2015. What happened in the decades right up to that moment. We get SPD, Sarah Palin's Disease. Alas, there is no cure

I like to joke that the GOP got infected by SPD Sarah Palin's Disease but many have pointed out that no, the GOP became sick well before Sarah. And the root cause is Newt Gingrich.

The first corruption of GOP as a politically viable party came via Newt
When the GOP came off its immense power era (2 terms of Reagan, record-national support, leading to rare 3rd term by one-term Daddy Bush) - then came suddenly the populist Bill Clinton - who stole the Republican thunder and stole the MIDDLE GROUND of politics
Newt Gingrich poisoned the GOP political minds that instead of contesting for the middle of the nation - the GOP should instead fight for the base. Poison the middle, enrage the base, and win that way.

Since Bill Clinton won in 1992, GOP has only once won 50% of the election
That once exception was 2004 - when W Bush got the benefit of the 9/11 terrorist attack good will. He was NOT a popular President. It was a sympathy vote. Apart from that, GOP has not gotten over 50% of popular vote once, since Newt Gingrich's mad political 'strategy'
Daddy Bush lost to Bill Clinton
Bob Dole lost to Bill Clinton
W lost popular vote to Al Gore
McCain lost to Obama
Romney lost to Obama
Trump lost popular vote to Hillary
Trump lost to Biden

THIS IS A SUICIDAL POLITICAL STRATEGY
The MAIN reason GOP has held the House about half the time, is GERRYMANDERING (=cheating)

The MAIN reason GOP has half of POTUS victories (W vs Al Gore, Trump vs Hillary) is the archaic non-democratic Electoral College
Because Gerrymandering is political cheating - at some point it will be outlawed or forbidden by a fair SCOTUS. Sooner or later, Gerrymandering will be gone

At that point GOP becomes PERMANENT MINORITY PARTY in USA
Because Electoral College is UNDEMOCRATIC and archaic, a relic of history, it will be ended. Sooner or later. When the Electoral College is removed, the chances of freak Republican 'victories' like W over Al Gore or Trump over Hillary - will end.
From 'winning elections' by popular vote count - basis, the GOP has already ended their ability to contest on an equal basis with DEMs

That is because of Newt Gingrich. Sarah Palin only compounded that mess that Newt created
We do not 'see' how weak the GOP is, because they have nearly half of House and 50/50 in senate, and exactly HALF of all US presidents since Bill Clinton.

That is because of election technical obsolesccence or mistakes like gerrymandering and the Electoral College
It is important to understand, Newt Gingrich understood that a type of 'cheating' can get you SHORT TERM victory at the cost of LONG TERM DAMAGE. And the bastard asshole that Newt is, he took that calculation.

Newt was Trump's FIRST POLITICAL ADVISOR for Trump's 2015 run.
Like Newt Gingrich, Trump never for one second cared about the PARTY of the Republicans, and what harm he does to them. They are political opportunists.

Parasites.

And willing to sacrifice that party for their own BOOK SALES

Trump's 2015 campaign was modeled on Newt's 2012
When Trump entered crowded 2015 race, Trump NEVER THOUGHT he had a CHANCE to win (but he pretended of course that he was going to win). That is why he took ridiculous positions, hired no competent staff, was contibnously hogging free TV air time. It was a BOOK TOUR (like Newt's)

More from Tomi Ahonen, Croupier at Pardon Roulette

More from Trump

1. Yes, Trump will claim to intend to target GOP senators up for reelection in '22 (like he did to Thune with Kristi Noem) if they don't join in @HawleyMO's sedition on Jan. 6, but the fact is, it's not clear whether Trump will be successful in ANY of those efforts & voting yes


2. to hedge off these threats will also create fissures & fractures for these incumbents among other elements of their party that could complicate their renominations. Indeed, what worries me the most about the potential for the country to slip into @anneapplebaum territory is

3. that what should be robust and intense push back from the party establishment against actually ending democracy- bc that's what Trump's request would do, if it was granted, is fairly muted. What we SHOULD be seeing from the mainstream of the party is threats to strip committee

4. assignments, chairs, privileges, even reelection funds, if anyone gets involved in this bullshit- in the House & the Senate, and the fact that you don't see it is more than a story of McConnell & McCarthy being afraid of Trump & his base. Its a story of receptivity, of the

5. level of receptivity the congressional and party leadership is dealing with both within the rank and file membership of the party and within its donor class, and THAT, my friends, is why you find me so concerned. That, and my decision to finally pull @anneapplebaum's book
To those who want to actually help Claudia Conway after her mom (Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s former aide) posted her underage daughter’s nudes to Fleets, fill out a report on the NCMEC CyberTipline.
CPS refused to help her.
#HelpClaudia


Kellyanne Conway has a well-documented history of verbally abusing, gaslighting, and threatening her daughter. It gets worse when highly public things go viral (such as exposing the truth about Trump and Conway catching COVID-19 last October). Kellyanne coerces false statements.

Insider did a thorough chronological background of the history of exposing her parents abuse and control of her here:
https://t.co/ncjaEyLOSC

We all know that “statement” last year was coerced. She talks constantly about being abused by them.


Personally? I suspect Kellyanne is a narcissist. From my own experience being sexually and emotionally abused by a narcissist, they are obsessed with controlling the narrative (coerced typed statement), discrediting their victim (posting her nudes) & gaslighting

If you haven’t experienced gaslighting or aren’t familiar with it, it’s when someone causing you harm (physical, emotional, sexual, financial, etc) twists the facts and asserts that reality is just you being delusional and you don’t actually understand what happened.

You May Also Like

Following @BAUDEGS I have experienced hateful and propagandist tweets time after time. I have been shocked that an academic community would be so reckless with their publications. So I did some research.
The question is:
Is this an official account for Bahcesehir Uni (Bau)?


Bahcesehir Uni, BAU has an official website
https://t.co/ztzX6uj34V which links to their social media, leading to their Twitter account @Bahcesehir

BAU’s official Twitter account


BAU has many departments, which all have separate accounts. Nowhere among them did I find @BAUDEGS
@BAUOrganization @ApplyBAU @adayBAU @BAUAlumniCenter @bahcesehirfbe @baufens @CyprusBau @bauiisbf @bauglobal @bahcesehirebe @BAUintBatumi @BAUiletisim @BAUSaglik @bauebf @TIPBAU

Nowhere among them was @BAUDEGS to find