1/ Trump should have been a release valve for the anger and frustration of ordinary Americans. That's what populism has historically been in America, a release valve.

But the Derp State and the media worked overtime thwarting Trump and his mostly middle-of-the-road policies.

2/ Trump is not a radical figure, historically, his policies are not out of the mainstream.

But the reaction to him was so over-the-top and the demonization of his followers so complete, that the populist sentiments of the American people continue to be bottled up.
3/Because Trump was thwarted, as bad as the anger and frustration were in 2016, it's now a thousand times worse.

The populist sentiment, which usually dissipates after a few years, is now stronger than ever.
4/ What this means is that Trump will win reelection, easily, probably with a slight popular majority.

My supposition, is that many people are simply not responding to polls, or are lying to the pollsters, who are seen as an extension of the corrupt media they've come to hate.
5/But, if Trump should happen to lose (he won't) the results for the establishment and the left will be disastrous.

The populist core of America will come together politically, especially as the useless Biden and the repulsive Harris try to take revenge on the Deplorables
6/ It seems likely that a Biden administration will allow the social media companies and big corps to institute a backdoor, Chinese-style social credit system, one that will ban Americans from social media and shut them out of services such as banking. (It's already started.)
7/This will force the right to become more politically active and aggressive. No more grilling for anyone. Now you've got to be more political than the left.

This is bad for them, because our side has mountains of untapped talent, in people who are normally apolitical.
8/ This newly awakened populist right will dominate at the polls in 2022 and 2024, ushering in someone who will make Trump seem tame.

And because the left allowed corps to aggressively police right wing speech, the newly triumphant populist right will clean house.
9/What cleaning house means, is outright destroying leftist institutions. Defunding colleges, busting social media monopolies, and demanding public adherence to patriotic American values.

An aggressive, populist, civic nationalist right will make them howl like never before.
10/Personally, I prefer a Trump victory.

But, recognize that the Derp Start, the left and the media are playing with fire.

If they succeed in getting rid of the Orange Man, and then go too hard to prevent another populist from rising, they'll unleash a cleansing hurricane.
11/ The anger is there, the pressure is high. I don't think we'll get a Civil War 2.0, but we can get a political movement that they'll regret forever.

And if they criminalize the right and try to throw Trump in prison, they'll get something even worse than politics.
12/
tl;dr: If you want to see helicopter rides for shitlibs, a Trump loss is the fastest way to get there.

/end

More from Trump

This is mostly right but strikes me as it needing said that I don't think the left or the intelligentsia have the slightest idea how low institutional trust in anything coming from a left mouthpiece is now. Except in-network, the best heuristic is "the opposite of what they said"


If you look at the situation from a predictive models perspective instead of the more rigorous and appropriate (under normal circumstances) "prove your case or gtfo" perspective, trusting the opposite of whatever the left side says has an AMAZING track record, as we know it.

Literally, the best heuristic most people have right now, in terms of how often it gets things right versus *completely* wrong, is "whatever CNN, the NYT, public health officials, and the Democrats said... yeah, the opposite." That is, they're wrong WAY outside of statistics.

They're also not just wrong. They're *completely* wrong, backwards, often transparently covering something up that they don't want known or refuse to believe. This isn't just a legitimation crisis because there's a heuristic: whatever the official left narrative is, is wrong.

There are a few reasons why such a heuristic would be more predictive than not. One of those is conspiracy, and another is mass hysteria with ideological capture. We know at least one of those is happening and have rather strong evidence both are. That makes conspiracy reasonable
Today's Twitter threads (a Twitter thread).

Inside: Stop saying "it's not censorship if it's not the government"; Trump's swamp gators find corporate refuge; and more!

Archived at: https://t.co/7JMcAbaULj

#Pluralistic

1/


Monday night, I'll be helping William Gibson launch the paperback edition of his novel AGENCY at a Strand Bookstore videoconference. Come say hi!

https://t.co/k3fvBdqOK0

2/


Stop saying "it's not censorship if it's not the government": I didn't expect the Spanish Inquisition.

https://t.co/7I0MpCTez5

3/


Trump's swamp gators find corporate refuge: The Swamped project.

https://t.co/MUJyIOr2iw

4/


#15yrsago A-Hole bill would make a secret technology into the law of the land https://t.co/57bJaM1Byr

#15yrsago Hollywood’s MP loses the election — hit the road, Sam! https://t.co/12ssYpV46B

#15yrsago How William Gibson discovered science fiction https://t.co/MYR0go37nW

5/

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