BC TRADINGTHREAD
Saved by @TraderYogi999

Mini thread of my strategy.

Disclaimer: I truly don’t feel qualified to share “my strategy”. There are other better experienced traders you should listen to. But here’s what I trade: MOMENTUM, FLOW & CNBC pump 😃

 Every night I manually go through 50-60 tickers and find high probability setup based on previous day/week’s action. I chose to manually go through tickers as it helps me continue to learn my frequently traded tickers, their “personality” etc.
I set alerts based on levels I identify. Pivot levels such as previous days high, low, close etc. I tend to set my alerts few $$ below where I’d actually want to enter a trade. This way I can have time to pull the chart up, find the right contract without rushing into any trade
I’ve studied candle sticks and have particular candlesticks I tend to keep an eye out for when I go through my watchlist. Inside days, morning/evening star, spinning tops, hammer, harami, marubozu are some faves. Also note stocks with high volume and strong trend day.
I’m not big on TA as I find it to be too subjective. However, certain patterns that are obvious and that I can identify without squinting too hard, I take note of- bear flags, bulls flags, range breaks, obvious trend lines. I don’t force trends and patterns that don’t exist 😂
Every morning before market open, I go through news, upgrade, downgrade etc for the main tickers I’m watching. I also check out premarket alerts with @BlackBoxStocks as well as any significant flow from previous day.
When any of my alerts trigger, and there’s volume, I do not second guess my trade. I enter it. If it fails the intended setup and goes against me, I exit or let SL do what it does.

That’s it. Don’t want this thread too long.
I’m still a noob so take this like a grain of salt

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1. How/When to enter:

This is NOT an exact science, there is no way to avoid fakeouts. These are KEY levels, and for that reason, provide strong moves. However, they can be hard to break due to their significance. You must manage risk.

There are two strategies I follow.
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b) Risky: Playing the first sign of follow through. Ex: $AMD closes 5m candle at 10:45AM at 100.15 - No trigger. At 10:47AM, $AMD fails 100 support and closes 10:47 1m candle at 99.80. I would likely take a position off of key support failure.

2. Fakeouts/Stop losses

Taking losses is inevitable in trading. Our job is to minimize them. My rule here is -10% hard stop loss because you can always re-add the position.

Suppose you take a position from Ex a) $AMD immediately reverses and closes 10:50 5m candle at 110.15…

Your position is red, likely down ~10%. Cut the loser and reassess. Your reason for playing was the 100 breakdown, it is now INVALID. As soon as your thesis becomes invalid, cut, take a deep breath, reassess, watch.
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Like this:


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[THREAD]

A process is just a set of rituals you complete consistently every single day to achieve a certain outcome (profit).

A process requires an edge which is simply a statistical advantage you have over other players. A strong psychological state can be considered a bonus edge.

I believe that trading can be split into three elements:

1) Knowledge and idea generation
2) Method and trade execution
3) Risk management and mindset

Each element is necessary and it builds a solid foundation in your trading process.

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Well, it's a mathematical fact that implementing this will improve your trading profits

The math behind leaving runners on and cutting losers early 👇👇👇

When trading, you have a 50/50 chance of being right. No matter which side of a trade you take, the stock can either go up or down.

There are certain indicators, levels, or other ways you can increase your odds of being right >50%, but you'll never get significantly higher

So, if our trading record is going to be ~50% right and ~50% wrong, how do we make money?

You HAVE to let your winners run and cut your losers early.

If your losers and winners are the same size (eg losers are -10% and winners are 10%), then you have to win 51% of your trades to make money

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HOWEVER, if you let your winners run and cut your losers early, the # of trades you have to get right decreases

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