BC TRADING
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

Good Morning! You asked what is happening to #Gold and #Silver. This is my take - a summary of the governing Thesis on https://t.co/1Cy03QuMgb for a long time! Hope you can use the input! 🙋‍♂️🙂

 Since ~2000 we have been in Kondratiev's Winter. A period where GLOBAL DEBT causes low and falling growth rates. Central banks try to counter this by printing money (Monetary Stimulus). However, Deflationary forces from debt causes deflations to unfold - despite extreme measures
To the frustration of Central Banks, they cannot create inflation despite extreme money printing. They stimulate by infusing money into the system but cannot make the money circulate. Velocity drops dramatically. What they miss...You cannot solve a solvency problem with Liquidity
Despite Central banks efforts (especially since 2008), the above creates a DEFLATIONARY ENVIRONMENT! This can be observed across #COMMODITIES. Declining despite Money Printing...?! Now - nothing lasts forever.... and suddenly we will see the KETHCUP effect of their rogue actions
#Commodities give the major picture of where we are in the INFLATION-DEFLATION cycle! We are close to bottom (of Ending Diagonal) but not there yet! ONE MORE DEFLATIONARY BUST before MAJOR SECULAR BOTTOM! Why BUST....? Because of #Covid19 2nd wave!
The "Inflation" which QE has caused has been in #Equities. Asset Inflation! Here we are so close to a major top - which is exactly what we would expect if we are to see DEFLATION unfold. DEFLATION - where we have had INFLATION
Another indication of coming Deflation, is the #USD #DXY. Major picture gives us the BULL market since 2008. Bull Market since Money Printing started! The decline we have seen since March 2020 has been final wave C in wave 4. Major BULL RUN ahead of us.
And it seems like #DXY has just broken up - on short term charts!
Despite what we hear, #Gold does not like #Deflation - it is an INFLATION hedge. It does not like strong #USD. If we are to see strong USD and Deflation - our expectations must be, that Gold (and Silver) will perform badly!
How bad will #Gold and #Silver perform? This is where EW helps us. First we must understand, that break higher than 2011-level (for Gold) does not mean new major Bull. It is an EXPANDED FLAT correction for Gold. The CORRECTION of the CORRECTION moves higher than TOP
Applying this to Monthly chart for #Gold. Wave top B is likely in at ~2070 in August. We are now in the first phase of major decline - due to STRENGTHENING #USD and #DEFLATION ahead! EW gives us 1.27% to 1.61% of A which takes final wave C to 650-965 area during Deflationary Bust
Do we see other indications, that #Gold has been wrong - and that we have only been in BEAR MARKET RALLY? Yes - look to #Silver, #Platinum, #Miners etc. None have been supporting. In fact, they have been telling us, that it has only been bounce since 2015 -a wave B as EW tells us
So - back to your question... What is happening to #Gold? It has entered the "Bull Capitulation Phase" in final Wave C lower during #Deflationary Bust in final part of #Kondratiev Winter - while #USD is about to soar. Take care! All the best! Stay tuned on https://t.co/1Cy03QuMgb

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I have to wear shoes? ...
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A thread about GameStop:

Big hedge funds made big bets that GameStop’s stock was overvalued. The way these bets work is the hedge fund borrows shares of the stock and sells those borrowed shares.

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The hedge funds were so sure that GameStop was going down, that GameStop was the most shorted stock on the market. 140% of the shares in existence were “borrowed.” Imagine Bob borrows from Jane who borrows from Sue who borrows from John.

Shorting is risky, but the hedge funds were so sure that they just didn’t even care. People on Reddit realized this and basically thought “what if we all just bought shares and refused to sell them when the hedge funds need to give their borrowed shares back.”

The price goes up, the hedge funds are forced to buy back the expensive shares and lose money. Except the hedge funds kept doubling down as the price rode up, expecting that it would eventually fall. The Redditors weren't scared off and with "diamond hands" refused to sell.
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Jig's Patel
Jig's Patel
@jigspatel1988
Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:

Short straddle is non-directional strategy

Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.

Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.

(1/n)

*RETWEET for max response

Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.

Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.

You can sell straddle as per your market view.

If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.

(2/n)

Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.

In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%

(3/n)


If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.

Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.

(4/n)

Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.

(5/n)
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Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
How position sizing can affect your trading performance-

Assuming that you are trading a Trend-following system with Big RR and low win-rate.

For example, assume that you risk one percent per trade on a 100,000 account
and you have 20 straight losses.

That one percent is of your remaining equity and at the end of 20 losses, you would be down to 81,790.60.

Now if you got a 30R winner and you are risking one percent of your balance of 81,790.60, your new equity would be 106,327.9,


You’ve had 20 losses and one winner though you are still up 10Rplus your equity is up by 6.3R percent.

Now, let’s say you risk five percent per trade on your balance. At the end of 20 straight losses, you would be down to 35,772.89 or down 64 percent.


If you risk five percent on this amount and get a 30R winner, you would be up to 89,621.48. You are up 10R, but because of your position sizing, your equity is still down over 10 percent.

#positionsizing
#Trading
#nifty50

This is why position sizing is the most important factor in trading if you get it right and you have an edge, you will do good.

Thanks for reading till here.
@AnandableAnand @jitendrajain @quatltd @sohamtweet
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The Chartians
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@chartians
There are more than 5,000 YouTube channel related to stock market learning.

These are Top 5 underrated YouTube channel that will definitely help you in trading and investment.

1st one is our favorite, and you shouldn't miss subscribing to it.

A Thread 🧵:

1/ KA Charts:

This channel belongs to our mentor @KA_charts who has helped us immensely in the stock market, haven't seen anyone yet who understands and read PRICE ACTION.

He handles a fund size of more than 300CR.
One of the best YouTube

2/ Strategic Stocks:

This channel is highly underrated, this channel backtests all the popular strategies of all the top twitter traders for eg 5EMA of Subhashish Sir, Ghanshyam sir 9:20AM option strategy, every top free strategy out there is

3/ Power of Stocks - Subasish Pani

Do we even need to tell you guys anything about this man. We have all seen his journey from making 2000-4000 a day to now making 1 CR a day. Genuine skin in the game guy.

4/ TastyTrade:

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Anon
Anon
@AnonTrader21
A thread on getting intraday (any timeframe) data to excel without any coding. Limited to only last 60 days. Fetches from zerodha chart.

👇

1. Open the chart on zerodha web in chrome. Right click and select 'Inspect'. Click 'Network' as shown in this pic.


2. Right click on the last entry on the table you see and click 'copy as cURL (bash)'


3. Go to website https://t.co/f8rhwoGLUc and paste on the left box and click 'Run'

4. The output below candles written on right of box is the ohlc, volume and oi data. Copy and paste to excel.
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View the resolutions and voting results here:

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@VIBHU_Tweet
Surkanda devi mandir is a famous shrine of Hindus located near Kaddukhal distt of Uttarakhand, 11 Km from the town of Dhanaulti and 35 Km from Mussoorie.
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Devastated by the death of Sati Shiva wandered all over the cosmos performing Tandava-The Dance of Cosmic Destruction.Fearing the total annihilation of cosmos, Gods requested Bhagwan Vishnu to pacify Shiva.Bhagwan Vishnu then used his discuss to destroy the burning corps of Sati.


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[1]

Sheikh Abdul Qadir Jilani was born on the eve of the 2nd of Ramadan 470 AH. His birth was a great blessing for the Ummah. It was the arrival of the Sultan al-Awliya (King of the Awliya) of that era, which had been foretold for centuries before his birth.

[2]

When Hazrat Abdul Qadir Jillani was asked by someone what brought him to his high spiritual level, he said, The truthfulness which I promised to my mother. He related the following story:
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[3]

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4. A Physician, Doctor, or hospital consultant.

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