BC TRADING
Saved by @Alex1Powell

"Pets are family". Been tracking 13 stocks but only own $CHWY. I will add BarkBox, $STIC when it lists. The company has a valuation of $1.6B with $350M in revenue, profitable
Others: #PetsAreFamily
$CHD
$CHWY
$ELAN
$FRPT
$HSKA
$IDXX
$PAWZ
$PETQ
$PETS
$SPB
$TRUP
$TSCO
$ZTS

 BarkBox is a monthly subscription box filled with dog toys and treats. Co. has 1 million + subscribers to its monthly box. Its sells its products on $TGT and $AMZN as well.
Founded in Dec 2011, by Matt Meeker, Carly Strife, Henrik Werdelin in New York.
One month your dog might receive a collection of treats and toys. BarkBox might send him on a journey through Chewrassic Bark. Each box contains two innovative toys, two bags of all-natural treats, a chew, and a specially curated item from the month's themed collection.
Every toy is designed by in-house industrial designers, made for the way dogs play and approved by the company's own test dogs. You can choose a one-month subscription ($29), six months ($25/box), or 12 months ($22/box).
BarkBox is very allergy friendly. Every BarkBox is free from corn, wheat, and soy, which greatly reduces the risk for triggering allergies and food sensitivities.
You can reorder certain items or purchase items from other collections online.

There is a money-back guarantee
Moats: 1 Million subscribers, 95% retention, + Smart use of AI / ML The team developed a ML algorithm that can predict 60-65% of future product scores of any toy they make. They are crediting the tool with selling out collections and driving substantial revenue growth.
They use an atomic design approach. Created a massive data set of 100s of toy attributes (size, color, materials, construction, expression) from the company’s 4,000 toys. Attributes are linked to a product score determined by how well the toy sold, how it was rated by customers
Despite the pandemic, during the first and second quarter of this year retail store sales were nearly double what they were a year ago and its Halloween 2020 Tails of the Boneyard collection at Target is performing 2x better than last year's collection.
The company’s 400-person team have grown the company to $375 million in annual revenue and recently closed its most profitable quarter in the company's history.
Revenue growth:
2016: $100M
2017: $150M, 350K subscribers
2019: $250M + profit, 500K subs
2020: $350M + 1M subs
Total funding $81.7M, 17 investors

Convertible debt: Jan 9th, 2012, $25K
Seed: Jul 9th, 2012, $1.7M valuation $6M
Series A: April 9 2013, $5M – valuation $20M
Series B: July 11th, 2014, $15M, valuation $80M
Series C: May 17, 2016, $60M – valuation $200M
Investors: August Capital
RRE Ventures
Resolute Ventures
Slow Ventures
Vast Ventures
Columbia Partners
Daher Capital
BDMI
Founded in Dec 2011, by Matt Meeker (founder of Meetup) , Carly Strife, Henrik Werdelin in New York.
Competition: Petco's PupBox,
Bullymake,
RescueBox for dogs, and
Chewy Goodybox.

Cat Lady Box and KitNipBox for Cats.

Fresh food delivery services like The Farmer's Dog, Nom Nom, PetPlate, Ollie, and Spot & Tango.
Risks:
1. Small revenue, slower growth compared to big eCommerce players such as $SHOP and $ETSY
2. Toys and treats for dogs is a small market compared to health & food
3. There are 100's of subscription box competitors - what if the pet gets "bored" - but 95% retention
Verdict. I have known of the CEO (Manish Joneja) from my days at $AMZN and know him to be a strong operator, just like Sumit Singh from $AMZN
I am going to take a small lot (< 1% of portfolio) but this wont be my top pick for 2021
Consumers Affairs has 4.5/5 from 288 ratings.
MySubscriptionAddiction has 112 rating 3.7/5

https://t.co/ej4LS9usNg
The company https://t.co/EmOwgqGcWd has multiple "brands" for BarkBox, Chewy toys, treats, etc. so they can branch into "omni channel" via partnerships with $TGT or online partnerships at the https://t.co/uOm4Roy7Ge BARK store
You can read more :
https://t.co/9aE5GE5cJZ

https://t.co/BqYwhSAdXu

https://t.co/T5Wl3OOeRd

https://t.co/YiV3qIAmp7

https://t.co/ZavtMQZNpW
https://t.co/NSnE8vysWf

https://t.co/61RZzDBZkL

https://t.co/hwSXES3X5P

https://t.co/CuVYcDe9f6
Total funding $81.7M, 17 investors

Convertible debt: Jan 9th, 2012, $25K

Seed: Jul 9th, 2012, $1.7M valuation $6M

Series A: April 9 2013, $5M – valuation $20M

Series B: July 11th, 2014, $15M, valuation $80M

Series C: May 17, 2016, $60M – valuation $200M
Update: Revenues of ~$365M and GM ~60% for fiscal year ending March 31, 2021. Net revenue CAGR FY2020-FY2023 of over 40%
Transaction values BARK at an EV of approximately $1.6 billion and is expected to provide up to $454 million of gross cash proceeds
Investor Presentation: https://t.co/yK2nE8P6v6

More from Trading

M Lebon
M Lebon
@LongTplexTrader
So..had a great conversation last night with older investment types, old friends whom I traded with/against and managed money against or for. Age diff from me is > 10+ years so the takes were interesting but the common theme was a little disturbing (depends on your view)

Was looking at the landscape of the world & quite concerned where we are (I do not share your optimism for a shinny happy future). I am a Bond guy + Cycles & my view approach is ALWAYS what is the worst that can happen (that is how I was taught to trade & manage money) As a Bond

Money manager you never every want to apologize for a negative year, most people don't understand bonds can lose lots and lots and lots of money. So my view on life is always negative & fuck you approach.

The others are similar but have more equity exposure and FX, one other is really good via commodities so the conversation was from a top down look with some bottom up approaches. So.....after looking at the notes of the great conversation this is how it looked:

basically the world changed 2007/2008 especially North America. The GFC set in motion financial engineering games and here we are. The issues pre this (2000 to 2007) set ALL this up so lots of blame to go around but to pin point certain things the real problems started with QE &
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Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
How position sizing can affect your trading performance-

Assuming that you are trading a Trend-following system with Big RR and low win-rate.

For example, assume that you risk one percent per trade on a 100,000 account
and you have 20 straight losses.

That one percent is of your remaining equity and at the end of 20 losses, you would be down to 81,790.60.

Now if you got a 30R winner and you are risking one percent of your balance of 81,790.60, your new equity would be 106,327.9,


You’ve had 20 losses and one winner though you are still up 10Rplus your equity is up by 6.3R percent.

Now, let’s say you risk five percent per trade on your balance. At the end of 20 straight losses, you would be down to 35,772.89 or down 64 percent.


If you risk five percent on this amount and get a 30R winner, you would be up to 89,621.48. You are up 10R, but because of your position sizing, your equity is still down over 10 percent.

#positionsizing
#Trading
#nifty50

This is why position sizing is the most important factor in trading if you get it right and you have an edge, you will do good.

Thanks for reading till here.
@AnandableAnand @jitendrajain @quatltd @sohamtweet
TRADING
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Abhishek Kar
Abhishek Kar
@Abhishekkar_
𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐎𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬
The entire thread will have some quick pointers on options trading. These bullet points are based on experience and learning and even if you are completely new,will help you to build some perspective. So,lets go :

-When new,prefer trading monthly options over weekly options to reduce risk
-Set up your trades with greater than 50% Probability Of Profit
- Use implied volatility in your decision making process
-Book some trades at 50% of max profit i.e. locking of profit incase u are buyer

-Don’t adjust losing defined risk strategies. A lot of people get into the bad habit of averaging and run the risk of losing a lot
-Diversify your portfolio across product, direction, and time,this has to be considered while you are planning to put in multiple strikes in folio

-Short Strangles are one of our go-to strategies because of their high probability of profit and increased profit potential.A little effort with understanding of volatility would help
-Allocate no more than 5% of your account to any one trade

-Trade small, trade often to increase your number of occurrences. Some might deny but this works
-In options you might have heard of spreads.Multiple options legs create an options spread. For example, a short strangle consists of selling a call and selling a put simultaneously.
TRADING
Robot James
Robot James
@therobotjames
In my 20 years of trading I have noticed this cycle play out again and again with traders that "make it":

1. Overconfidently reach for returns
2. Get humbled by the market
3. Simplify + concentrate on clear, high probability edges.

1/n

Nearly everyone starts with a lack of respect for how hard it is to consistently make money trading.

That leads them to pass over high-probability sources of returns in favor of more marginal ideas.

Or they overcomplicate the trading of a good edge.

2/n

Here's an example...

It is 2015. You look at a simple strategy.

You hold an equal dollar exposure to:
- Cap Weighted US Stocks (VTI)
- 20+ Yr US Treasury Bonds (TLT)
- Gold (GLD)

And rebalance each month.

(I've extended back a bit with mutual fund prices.)

3/n


It made money consistently with a few blips.

You'd have 4x your money from 1997 to 2015.

It makes sense. It's harnessing two big sources of risk premia (equity + duration).

It diversifies across 3 macro assets that tend to outperform in different econ environments

4/n

But, naturally, you turn your mind to how you could do better...

And here is where it gets dangerous!

There are good ways to try to "do better", and there are bad ways to try to "do better".

5/n
TRADING
Sohaib Albadawee
Sohaib Albadawee
@albadawee
Everyone should own a digital asset that earns $2,000 per month.

Here are 10 dead-simple ways you can make your First $1 online (from people who actually did it):

🐦 Analyze viral Tweets

1. Get Twemex (free chrome extension)
2. Find influencers with viral tweets
3. Identify why they went viral
4. Put your analysis on a document.
5. Upload it to Gumroad
6. Sell it

H/t @BrianFOConnor

🔢 Extract data from yellow pages into excel

1. Find a B2B/B2C niche that needs offline data
2. Choose a digital platform (Excel, Airtable ..)
3. Move the data to the digital platform
4. Hire someone on Fiverr to do it
4. Sell it on gumroad

H/t @SachinRamje

🎨 Design flyers and graphics

If you are good at designs:

1. Find a niche (ex: Vegan resturants)
2. Create a profile on Upwork
3. Upload a portfolio
4. Start with a low charge per hour/design
5. Steadly increase your charge

H/t @abdussalampopsy

🏋️ Become a coach

1. Decide on a target persona
2. List down your achievements
3. Update your social profiles
4. Create a calendar account
5. Create content with CTA to book a call

H/t @OllieEmberson
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Vibhu Vashisth
Vibhu Vashisth
@VIBHU_Tweet
ARE WE FAMILIAR WITH THE MEANING & POWER OF MANTRAS WE CHANT?

Whenever we chant a Mantra in Sanskrit, it starts with 'Om' and mostly ends with 'Swaha' or 'Namaha'. This specific alignment of words has a specific meaning to it which is explained in Dharma Shastra.


Mantra is a Sanskrit word meaning sacred syllable or sacred word. But Mantras r not just words put together,they r also vibrations.The whole Universe is a cosmic energy in different states of vibration &this energy in different states of vibration forms the objects of Universe.

According to Scriptures,Om is considered to be ekaakshar Brahman,which means Om is the ruler of 3 properties of creator,preserver&destroyer which make the https://t.co/lyhkWeCdtv is also seen as a symbol of Lord Ganesha, as when starting the prayer,it's him who is worshipped 1st.


'Om' is the sound of the Universe. It's the first original vibration of the nothingness through which manifested the whole Cosmos. It represents the birth, death and rebirth process. Chanting 'Om' brings us into harmonic resonance with the Universe. It is a scientific fact.

Therefore, Mantras are described as vibrational words that are recited, spoken or sung and are invoked towards attaining some very specific results. They make very specific sounds at a frequency that conveys a directive into our subconcious.
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Tej Dosa \U0001f602\U0001f9e0
Tej Dosa 😂🧠...
@ComedicBizman
(A THREAD)

18 Things I Would Do At 18:

I was a dumb 18-year-old. I thought I had the world figured out. I didn't.

I stayed up till the wee hours. Drank every liquor invented.

Partied non-stop. Woke up after noon.

Surfed the web aimlessly.

Read BS self-help.

Repeat.

If I could do it all over again, here's 18 things I would do...

PHASE ONE: GET MY MIND RIGHT

ACTION #1: Break the chains - I wish I made the decision earlier. I didn't. I was scared. Anxious. Nervous. I knew once I made the decision, there was no going back.

Don't be like me.

Make the decision at 18. The decision to pave your own path in life. To go against the herd. To choose your own adventure. To commit to whatever sets your heart on fire.

ACTION #2: Cut off every negative person in your life.

Scroll through the contacts in your phone...

Notice how the names make you feel.

Delete any and all names that fill you with doubt and negativity.

ACTION #3: Condition your mind to embrace the producer mindset instead of the consumer mindset.

Consume 20% of the time. Produce 80% of the time.

Case closed.

ACTION #4: Set an intention to make $10k a month and write it out every MORNING and NIGHT as if you already achieved it (in the past tense).

Visualize yourself already having the money as you write.

Cheesy?

Yes.

Does it work?

Yes.

PHASE TWO: EDUCATION
LIFE
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Robin Berjon
Robin Berjon
@robinberjon
Recently, the @CNIL issued a decision regarding the GDPR compliance of an unknown French adtech company named "Vectaury". It may seem like small fry, but the decision has potential wide-ranging impacts for Google, the IAB framework, and today's adtech. It's thread time! 👇

It's all in French, but if you're up for it you can read:
• Their blog post (lacks the most interesting details): https://t.co/PHkDcOT1hy
• Their high-level legal decision: https://t.co/hwpiEvjodt
• The full notification: https://t.co/QQB7rfynha

I've read it so you needn't!

Vectaury was collecting geolocation data in order to create profiles (eg. people who often go to this or that type of shop) so as to power ad targeting. They operate through embedded SDKs and ad bidding, making them invisible to users.

The @CNIL notes that profiling based off of geolocation presents particular risks since it reveals people's movements and habits. As risky, the processing requires consent — this will be the heart of their assessment.

Interesting point: they justify the decision in part because of how many people COULD be targeted in this way (rather than how many have — though they note that too). Because it's on a phone, and many have phones, it is considered large-scale processing no matter what.
TECH
Jaya_Upadhyaya
Jaya_Upadhyaya
@Jayalko1
HORANADU ANNAPOORNESHWARI, CHIKMAGALUR (KAR)
#bharatmandir

Annapoorneshwari is the Devi of nutrition and food. The literal meaning of Annapoorneshwari is “Feeding one and all”. Anyone who comes here is offered meals and shelter within the premises.
@LostTemple7


Maharshi Agastya is believed to have done pratishtha here.

Once, Shiva and Parvati had an argument. Shiva declared everything in the world including food to be Maya or illusion. To prove him wrong, Devi Parvati disappeared resulting in entire Earth becoming still.


Taking pity, Devi appeared as Annapoorna and relieved everyone.
Another belief is that once Shiva beheaded Brahma and his skull got stuck in Shiva’s hand. He was cursed that till the skull is not full of food or grains, it will remain stuck to his hands.


Shiva went everywhere and asked for food but the skull was never full. He finally came here and Maa Annapoorna filled the skull with grains and reversed Shiva’s curse.

It is believed that who ever visits Devi Annapoorna here will never be without food in their lives.
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Brian Cates
Brian Cates
@drawandstrike
A lot of people don't understand that Trump & his incoming team didn't face a normal transition period, like it was over a in a matter of a few weeks or months.

The DOJ transition period JUST ENDED when Sessions left. Almost 2 exact years to get it there.

Pompeo at the CIA took over a year before he was done and ready to shift over to the State Department.

All kinds of stuff has been going on behind the scenes nobody leaks or talks about.

We only had the barest mention of the fact the Clinton Email investigation restarted

Nobody leaked in a year that Huber was deep diving into the Clinton Foundation.
Keep that in mind as all the usual suspects continue to INSIST nothing is happening/going to happen.
POLITICS


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