BC TRADING
Saved by @vsamk

A 17 point summary on my 2000+ days as a trader:

Wont take more than 10 minutes ! 🧵

 1. Market cycles
Market Always moves in a cyclical way, supply and demand is basic principle for any cycle that involves money. Crack it you’ll be way ahead of the curve.
2. History rhymes
Always remember that history wont repeat but will surely rhyme - go and see all major falls and all major rises. Core principles are same, triggers are variable.
3. Time > Timing
Many people say that timing the mkt is very essential but according to me the more time you spend the more you get to know about mkt that jo course will teach you.
4. Survival
If you manage to survive for the next 3650 days in the market - trust me for the fact that you will definitely be a part of one commodity one bull and bear mkt. Its more valuable than any 1L INR course.
5. Essentiality of Money
Essentiality of Money is the vital point that no one talks about. Many talk about struggles in life but not many talk that in market only money will make you money
6. Life traits
Life traits are another aspect that is unheard. If you are a disciplined and sorted out in life you are better to succeed here as your thoughts are neutral and you accept your mistakes with humility.
7. Temperament
One here needs to have a crazy amount of composure and temperament. Without these 2 you will not make money - it won’t matter if you have 5000 or 5000 crore, if you don’t know how to handle DD you’re dead.
8. Risk management
Risk management is a very talked about subject hence not emphasizing here but with this you aren’t trading - youre just gambling.
9. View on Algos
Over the time market participants become fan of algos - in my 6 years Of little experience I’ve seen that over a period of time over exploitation or a strategy getting too crowded loses it’s edge. I’m a discretionary trader hence i can be biased.
10. Neutral vs Directional
Doesn’t matter whether the strategy is neutral or directional. Many asked me what is your style - i always reply i dont have a style, i trade what i see.
11. Beginners luck
In your initial months of trading and making money make sure that you give this aspect an overlook as someone market can be irrational for years and your couple of months success will make sure you’re kicked out easily.
12. Scalability
Always remember making 1cr to 10cr can be easy but making 100cr to 1000cr is pretty difficult as it’s all about scalability. Always remember less returns but more scalable model will always work in longer run than high return less scalable.
13. Glamour
In the Era of twitter you might see 20Yo claiming to make lacs per month, don’t worry it’s all about staying in the game for long. 8 year’s down the line you will see these getting out of the mkt and new set of kids coming in sharing their MTM journey.
14.Validation
As a trader you dont need social validation. If you are making 10k and someone else is making 20L that doesn’t imply that youre not a better trader. Its just about time and tested patience. Everybody starts from some where - stay there youll be there one day.
15. Training
Webinars are the most dissed about thing in India. Ask yourself- the one trolling people for taking webinar - are they actually teaching you anything ? Did you learn anything ?
Yes majority of this industry is fraud but if you don’t try you wont get your mentor
16. A good trader can be a good trainer, and vice versa. Keep aside the bias and one day you’ll end up getting the best and the last mentor.
17. Finally as a trader all i will say is no matter how much ever you scale through trading - you practically will not be able to beat returns of an ace investment thesis.
Keep both hand in hand - trader and systematically invest and stay in the market.
Happy trading happy learning ♥️

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More from The Chartians

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To be a Successful Trader you need Edge.

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But 90% of Retail don’t have access to authentic educational data.

This compilation is surely a 50,000₹ Technical Analysis’s course in itself 🧵

https://t.co/PTeE1Hms9Y


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As promised, We are sharing Top 5 Mutual Funds where we do our SIPs. We handpicked these after thorough research and many have an SIP limit of as low as 100rs-500rs.

If you appreciate this, a Like & Retweet will go a long way in maximizing the reach of this tweet♥️

Let's go⚡️

1⃣ Kotak Equity Opportunities Fund [20%]
⚡️Fund is well-diversified as compared to its peers.
⚡️The companies have minimal debt, good ROCE.
⚡️Fund's PE: 25.77 shows that fund manager isn't buying overvalued stocks much.

Fund's Returns in 5 Years: 16.38% ⚡️Beating Benchmarks.

Holding Bias !
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⚡️3% in SMALLCAP

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Fund Manager :
Mr.Harsha Upadhyaya has been managing this scheme since 2021 August. Has 23 years of experience in Equity Research. A reputed manager known for his complex stock picking and investing in companies with good management & generating consistent Cash Flows.

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#Darvas #Box is a simple and interesting strategy used by the trader. It is a momentum strategy with no technical indicators.

This learning thread would be on "Darvas Box Strategy"

Like and Retweet for wider reach and for more learning thread in the future.

@AmitabhJha3

1/11


Darvas Box is named after Nicolas Darvas, who was a dancer and self-taught investor.

He discovered "Box Theory" after gaining experience from the market and he believed that the shares which move up and down the chart move in a specific box pattern.

2/11


There are some condition to use Darvas Box and we will discuss only buy strategy:

1. Stock should be trading near all time high levels
2. Fundamentals of the company should be good
3. Volumes play a crucial role

Prefer to use it daily time frame and above.

3/11

When the price is near all time high levels, if price consolidates then there is a range or box formed having a upside ceiling and downside floor. Price consolidates in this range before breakout.

Volumes during breakout is very important and it should be high.

4/11

Let's see some example now.

Dmart was trading in a range of 1955-2438 for six months.
After breaking this range upside, DMart price rallied from 2500 to 3200+ (Rally of 28% in 3 months).

During breakout volumes should rise and it should spike up.

5/11
DARVASBOX
The Chartians
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You could earn a Dividend every month if you invest in these 12 companies!

Comment down 👇 if you own any of these
DIVIDEND STOCKS
The Chartians
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You just need one trade to siphon off all your bad trades - and that one trade is #tataelxsi for me - i have never seen a stock after #srf move like this ⚡️

I will book gains at 9000 with nearly 1800+ points net offed.
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FEAR - It’s the re-experience of failure in advance.

Many traders face the issue of Not entering in trades because of fear.

A thread on How to pull the trigger when the opportunity knocks.


Lets First start from knowing the cause of this "FEAR" of pulling the trigger.

A traders goes through many phases before becoming Profitable.

The first phase is the " APUN HI BHAGWAN HAI" phase-

When we first begin Trading, we don’t know any concepts, we don’t know about the risks , the dangers.

So we start trading, and like most guys by beginners luck we start making good, we start to calculate how much money we will make in next 1yr, 5 yrs, Greed start to Hop in.


We get introduced to Various instruments, F&O, LEVERAGE.

We take big positions as we don’t have any FEAR cause we haven't seen those bad phases yet.

Now we get the Big blow, account down -50%, or in many cases wiped out.

The first phase ends here.


Now we know How the market can kick our ass, we now know the risk that comes with those big positions.

"THE LEARNING PHASE"-

Now we know that we were just lucky initially and now we have to learn why we get those losses, so we start learning concepts , fundamental, Technicals.
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Indian Investing Conclave Day 1 @IIC_2020

:Route Mobile
:Philip Carbon Black
:Borosil Ltd
:Arvind Ltd
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:Repco Homes
:Shaily Engineering Plastics

Route Mobile @ravidharamshi77

Investment Hypothesis in CPaaS companies

:Crossed the technology adoption chasm
:Huge addressable opportunity - Industry growth estimates 30-50%
:Profitable Unit Economics, Cash Generating, Incremental Cost Low

CPaaS growing at 40%


Route Mobile

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Route Mobile Key points

:Scaled upto 1200cr of revenue from internal accruals
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Philips Carbon Black @sarkaraniruddha

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Aneesh Philomina Antony
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If u are looking to enter a scrip just before the breakout
what would u look for?
How would u identify scrips just before breakout?

Here are a few pointers
Carefully understand the them and use at ur own discretion
(All comments r compiled from a question i posed)

1/23

Price is testing the same resistance repeatedly since long.
But now in recent times it's forming multiple candles near the same resistance with low volume.
Observe it and see for opposite move.
As soon as u get a positive candle, get in to it.

2/23

1. Volume buildup (vol > when resistance point created) along with, increase in OI, increase in delivery % on HTF
2. On LTF, price stalling around breakout area for at least 1-2hr.
3. No major events.

3/23

Stock reaching breakout LVL with HL-HH
Contraction of price and volume near it especially near 20 days ma.
If there is any breach of the latest HL it should be followed by a bullish candle with good volume.
Left side of the chart has a rally with a very steep slope of ma.

4/23

Number of wide range green bars with high volumes.
If stock is at its ATH then it adds more conviction bcz there wont b supply after that point

Consolidation below the resistance, volume of the candles & strong bullish candle closing at near highs just below the resistance

5/23
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Gurjot Ahluwalia
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@gurjota
I analyzed 25+ years of #Nifty data to better understand bear markets 🐻

Why?

Given the recent market sell-off and bearish stance of market participants, history and data is your best guide to prepare if we're headed for a bear market.

Thread with findings below 🧵👇
1/n


But first, do you know the definition of a bear market?

When any index falls 20% or more from it's all time high, it is termed to be in a #bearmarket 🐻

How do you calculate length of a bear market? The time duration in days from previous all-time high to market bottom.

2/n


🇮🇳 Nifty last 25 years (1997-2022*)

Number of Bear Markets = 8

Average drawdown % = -38.5%

Average bear market duration = 246 days (8 m)

Key takeaway - Bear markets occur every ~3 years and take on average 8 months to bottom

3/n


1997 and 2006 saw the fastest bear markets with Nifty correcting 20-30% in just ~1 month.

Unbelievably, 1997 had 2 bear markets! Just imagine suffering 20% drawdowns twice in a few months!

Mar 2020 Covid crash was the 3rd fastest and 3rd worst bear market.

4/n


Okay, how should we define Bear Market Recovery?

The no of days from market bottom to a new all-time high.

Sadly, bear markets take time to recover.

Almost double the time to recover to a new ATH compared to the time to form a bottom.

Avg recovery duration – 495 days

5/n
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Investment Books
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@InvestmentBook1
Knowledge sharing initiative Book 1 : "Mastering the market cycle" by @HowardMarksBook

This incredible book focuses on understanding why periods of recessions & growth occur frequently wearing lenses of all mkt participants-the economists, the investors & the regulators.

(1/n)


The book tries to explain the human tendency of extrapolating the recent past and the imbalance in defining risk at the time of bear & bull markets. It is this tendency that drives booms & busts.

Here are the Important learnings from the book: 👇

(2/n)

1. Every Asset class goes through a cycle - Up & Down this book teaches why such Up & down occur how to spot them & how investors can improve their returns.

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3. In down cycle as prices fall odds are in favor of investors & hence we should invest more & Vice Versa
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