BC TRADING
Saved by @SeekerHari

The four stages of markets-

1. Accumulation
2. Markup
3. Distribution
4. Decline

Thread-

 1. Accumulation phase-

This phase starts after the completion of a downtrend.

In this phase the furious selling activity of downtrend comes to a rest.

During this phase there is a gradual shift from sellers to a more neutral environment .
Institutions starts to show interest in stock, Because they can not buy the stock in one time ;they buy it slowly over a long period of time.

Sometimes it takes years for a stock to come out of this phase.
The easiest way to recognize if a stock is in this phase is that the Longer term moving averages will start go decline even when the stock bounce higher.

This shows that there is indecision and there is no powerful force present In the stock at this time.
But, Its super risky to buy in this phase because it can also be a second distribution zone , and the stock may again go lower in many cases.

The first signs of an accumulation zone is the stock will try to make higher lows and try not to break the swing lows often .
2. Markup or Advance phase-

In this phase the stock breaks out of the accumulation zone and the volumes starts to go higher with the price.

The stock will make higher highs and higher lows and the longer term moving averages will again starts to go higher.
The fear of missing out makes people chase the stock at high prices and the stock inches even higher.

The short sellers in fear cut their positions and the stock moves with a higher pace this is also called short squeeze.
In this phase the up-moves come with high volumes and the down-moves come with low volumes.

3.Distribution phase-

In this phase the buyers are no longer motivated to chase the stock at higher prices and the down moves starts to come with more volumes.
In this phase the intermediate term moving averages cross down the longer term moving averages, this shows that there is indecision.

This is the gradual shift of control from buyers to sellers.

Volatility is highest in this phase, with down moves having higher volumes.
But not always this is a distribution phase, sometimes the stock breaks above this zone and again starts to move ,

So till the stock is above the longer term moving averages the benefit of doubt should continue to go to buyers.
Tops are formed a little faster then the bottoms , so the distributions happens faster then the accumulation.

It is said that The bigger the top the bigger the top, so the more time a technical formation takes the bigger is the move.

The stock starts to move in LH-LL formations
4. Decline phase-

For most people this is the hard part, because the traders are more reluctant to take short trades as compared to the buying trades.

That’s why you see the falls are typically bigger and faster then the
Rallies in a bull market.
This is an emotional period for most people and favourite time of pessimists.

Short selling adds fuel to the already over supply and the stocks fall with full pace.

But the most brutal bounces also comes in this phase,
even bigger then the bull markets, so we have to take shorts with care.

Positive news pullbacks will fade quickly during this phase.

During this phase people are hoping for the prices to move up and the fundamentals will not be as bad as the stock condition.
Some buyers come and say, Aur kitna girega , and trap themselves fueling the down-move even more.

And again this phase ends with higher volatility and stock will make higher lows but not higher highs, and will go in the accumulation phase.

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Pyramiding 2.0

A thread-


What is pyramiding?

It is simply adding to your winners.

Why use pyramiding?

1. It makes your winners bigger than your losers.

• Because you are adding positions when your trades are going your way, you are increasing your gains but your losers will be small comparatively.

2. You lose less during Draw-down time ( it saves you from losing big during whipsaws )

• Many times when the market is in sideways mode, Entering a trade with full risk might not be the best idea.

• So, you test the waters with a small position first, it could be ⅓ or ¼ of your total risk.

• So if the Breakout fails or whipsaws come, then you will only lose a small part of your overall risk.

• Then when position starts to go in your favor you can add to it.

3. It helps you to concentrate on a few trades,

They say that don’t put all your eggs in one basket, but don’t put them in too many either.

• See, Everyone can see charts and find breakouts, pullbacks etc.
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FEAR - It’s the re-experience of failure in advance.

Many traders face the issue of Not entering in trades because of fear.

A thread on How to pull the trigger when the opportunity knocks.


Lets First start from knowing the cause of this "FEAR" of pulling the trigger.

A traders goes through many phases before becoming Profitable.

The first phase is the " APUN HI BHAGWAN HAI" phase-

When we first begin Trading, we don’t know any concepts, we don’t know about the risks , the dangers.

So we start trading, and like most guys by beginners luck we start making good, we start to calculate how much money we will make in next 1yr, 5 yrs, Greed start to Hop in.


We get introduced to Various instruments, F&O, LEVERAGE.

We take big positions as we don’t have any FEAR cause we haven't seen those bad phases yet.

Now we get the Big blow, account down -50%, or in many cases wiped out.

The first phase ends here.


Now we know How the market can kick our ass, we now know the risk that comes with those big positions.

"THE LEARNING PHASE"-

Now we know that we were just lucky initially and now we have to learn why we get those losses, so we start learning concepts , fundamental, Technicals.
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@Traderknight007
Why It's Hard To Run Profits And Limit Your Losses-

A thread-


In trading one of the important things we learn is that we should cut our losses short and hold on to the profits.

Most of us plan to implement the same from the next trade.

BUT!

When we take the trade, If the trade goes in profit we panic more then we would have panicked if the trade would have gone wrong.

Strange right, why would someone panic if the trade is going in profit.


New traders may not go through this emotion as they may have not gone through the Fear which a little more experienced (still not profitable) trader goes through.

Let’s name this little experienced trader Rahul.

So, lets say Rahul takes a trade, he buys Reliance at 2000, with SL at 1980.

He is ready to “ FOLLOW THE PLAN” of holding the profit and exit if trade goes wrong.

Now, Reliance goes to 2010, Rahul is happy, panicked, Feared.
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How to use Moving averages like a Pro.👇

https://t.co/7VbuGovmee
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"The 200 EMA play."

As most of you may know, that 200 EMA is mostly used to find the Value zone at any time frame, many times we see reversals happening at this zone.

Thread on How to use 200 EMA as a trading setup.


I use this setup mostly on daily and weekly time frames.

So ,what to look for -

1. First check whether the index is in uptrend or not, simple way to know this is if the index is above 20 and 50 DEMA then its in uptrend.

2. So if the index is in uptrend we will try to find the stocks for buying and if the index is in downtrend , find stocks for selling.

3. Now the best setup would be if the stocks is getting close to 200 EMA after a long time, buying/selling would be more furious in that case.

4. The best condition will be if the stock first touches the 200 EMA and shows rejection from that , it would be the ideal condition.

5. We have to buy above above the high of the rejection candle.

6. Stop loss can be 2 ATR away from the entry, ATR will be based on previous candle of the entry.

7. And trail sl with every 1R move in our favor.

Example 1 - Canara bank
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So what will be the aftermath of this GME event?

These are simply my guesses, I don't actually know.

Wallstreet will likely push for licenses being necessary to trade, or put more limits on how many trades you can make, or some other way to screw the average person trading. 1/

FYI, you can only make 4 trades in a day, but if you have more than $25,000 in your account you can make as many as you want.

The system is rigged against the poor, and weighted heavily in favour of the rich. 2/

Will the government shut down the market?

It's possible, but I doubt it.
It would open up new precedents and the optics would be terrible- i.e. shutting down the market because greedy hedgefunds fucked up, and normal people are taking them to the cleaners. 3/

If the government gives in to Wallstreet, they lose all credibility, because this story is basically David vs Goliath, where the Reddit guys are the good guys, and the hedgefunds are the bad guys.

4/

Likely they will implement similar rules to Europe, that stops naked short selling.

Anything more than that, I'm not sure.
I think the media will push the threat of the government shutting down trading, in order to scare people into selling, to give short sellers a way out. 5/
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Trader knight
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FEAR - It’s the re-experience of failure in advance.

Many traders face the issue of Not entering in trades because of fear.

A thread on How to pull the trigger when the opportunity knocks.


Lets First start from knowing the cause of this "FEAR" of pulling the trigger.

A traders goes through many phases before becoming Profitable.

The first phase is the " APUN HI BHAGWAN HAI" phase-

When we first begin Trading, we don’t know any concepts, we don’t know about the risks , the dangers.

So we start trading, and like most guys by beginners luck we start making good, we start to calculate how much money we will make in next 1yr, 5 yrs, Greed start to Hop in.


We get introduced to Various instruments, F&O, LEVERAGE.

We take big positions as we don’t have any FEAR cause we haven't seen those bad phases yet.

Now we get the Big blow, account down -50%, or in many cases wiped out.

The first phase ends here.


Now we know How the market can kick our ass, we now know the risk that comes with those big positions.

"THE LEARNING PHASE"-

Now we know that we were just lucky initially and now we have to learn why we get those losses, so we start learning concepts , fundamental, Technicals.
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@Traderknight007
A thread on Risk and Returns


Trader X -

Net-worth - 5 Cr
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader Y -

Net-worth - 30 lakh
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader X take risk of 2% per trade and he makes about 30-40 % Return on trading capital per month,

Whereas Trader Y only risk 0.25% per trade and he makes about 3-4 % on Trading capital per month.

Trader Y saw how much trader X is making with the same amount of capital that he has.

He is frustrated with his mediocre results as compared to Trader X, though he don’t know the fact that Trader X Is only trading with 5 % of his total net worth.

Trader X has much more risk taking ability in Rupee terms as compared to the Trader Y because he has higher net-worth.

Trader X will not have much impact when he goes into deep Drawdowns , 40-50% where as if the Trader Y goes below 15% DD , it will have deep psychological impact on him.

Even if the Trader X makes 100% return on his trading capital , turns 25 lakh into 50 lakhs ,
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Trader knight
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How position sizing can affect your trading performance-

Assuming that you are trading a Trend-following system with Big RR and low win-rate.

For example, assume that you risk one percent per trade on a 100,000 account
and you have 20 straight losses.

That one percent is of your remaining equity and at the end of 20 losses, you would be down to 81,790.60.

Now if you got a 30R winner and you are risking one percent of your balance of 81,790.60, your new equity would be 106,327.9,


You’ve had 20 losses and one winner though you are still up 10Rplus your equity is up by 6.3R percent.

Now, let’s say you risk five percent per trade on your balance. At the end of 20 straight losses, you would be down to 35,772.89 or down 64 percent.


If you risk five percent on this amount and get a 30R winner, you would be up to 89,621.48. You are up 10R, but because of your position sizing, your equity is still down over 10 percent.

#positionsizing
#Trading
#nifty50

This is why position sizing is the most important factor in trading if you get it right and you have an edge, you will do good.

Thanks for reading till here.
@AnandableAnand @jitendrajain @quatltd @sohamtweet
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How to save tax when income is above 50 lakhs?

Here are 9 benefits of trading in a corporate account: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

1. Make a Pvt Ltd Company.

Form a company with family members and trade under it. The family members should be directors of the company. Will explain why later.

Why form a company?
You will only need to pay 25% flat tax. Individuals have to pay 30% tax above 10 lakh profits.

2. Surcharge Benefits:

You will be charged a lower surcharge in a corporate account.

Check the picture below:


Total Tax Outlay:

The total tax outlay for individuals is 30% plus surcharge. If you really earn a lot (10 cr +) then you will be paying 42% tax.

Whereas in a company you'll be paying a maximum of 28% tax.

This is how rich people save a lot of their money by paying low taxes.

3. Expenses can be deducted.

All expenses can be deducted from a company account.

Companies:
1. First make a profit.
2. then deduct the expenses
3. & Pay tax on the remaining income

Individuals:
1. First Profit
2. Then Pay tax
3. Expenses with whatever is left.
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