How to build a successful trading mindset?

A thread 🧵

There is a lot of talk about trading mindset or psychology. But what exactly is trading mindset?

#StockMarket #trading

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Common price action trading mistakes that cost me lakhs of rupees:

A thread 🧵

1. Front running the market based on my analysis:

Any analysis we do should be proved by market as correct before we jump into a trade.

How?

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Example:

Mr. X marked 1500 as a strong support in HDFC Bank. Next day, stock opened at 1510, came down and hit 1500.

ABC went long in the stock. A few minutes later, stop got triggered. What went wrong here?

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1500 is support for HDFC bank as per Mr. X but he did not wait to check if market validated his opinion.

At supports and resistances marked by a trader (you), wait for market to show the stock is actually taking support/resistance at those levels.

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For your analysis to be correct, market buying>selling at support, market selling>buying at resistance.

Essentially, on a lower TF, check for bullish price action at support, bearish price action at resistance before you enter the trade.

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Remember that no support is too low to be broken and no resistance is too high to be broken.

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Introduction to imbalance charts (orderflow trading):

A 🧵

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Orderflow charts essentially show the real time buying and selling happening in the markets.

In below chart, you can see how market sell orders are shown to the bid side and market buy orders are shown to the ask side.

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Using this, one can identify big buying and selling happening at various prices.

Imbalance charts takes this one step forward. How so? Read on to find out.

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Imbalance charts shows buying and selling imbalances at various price points. How does it matter?

Imbalance here implies to what extent is buying more than selling and vice versa.

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Why is that important? As a trader, if we know that buying at a particular level is x times more than selling or vice versa, it would help us understand the strength of supply or demand coming into the market.

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Improve your volume analysis using volume profile.

A thread on volume profile 🧵

Traditional volume indicator is widely used by almost every trader.

But it has a handicap: It shows volumes transacted from a time POV but not the price POV.

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This is what traditional volume analysis states. But in reality, how effective it is?

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It simply shows volume from a timeframe basis. 5 mins volumes on 5 mins TF and so on.

But, is there a different way to read volumes from a price basis? Like, where did largest buying or selling by big players come in?

Read to find more.

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This is where volume profile comes in. To put it in the simplest way, volume profile shows volume from a price perspective thus enabling a trader to identify where largest trading has occurred.

But how does this help a trader?

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If you can spot the areas where large volumes are being traded, you can spot areas of interest and effectively find areas of support and resistance.

Of course, it is volume that drives the price.

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Thread on fibs:

Part 1 - Fib extensions:

The way I use fibs and extensions differ from conventional textbook methods.

Fib extensions are ratios beyond 1 used to project targets for profit booking.

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The main purpose of fib extensions is to forecast probable (emphasis on both words) areas of profit booking/correction in a script trading in unchartered waters (ATHs and lifetime lows)

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Basically, they are used to find Ghost supports/resistances.

Fibonacci is a price based and a relative time based tool.

Meaning, the proper way to use this tool largely depends on the swing markers you use relative to the TF of your analysis and trading.

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The primary ratios I use as part of extensions are 1.382 and 1.618.

Example 1 for broader price range swing:

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Example for minor swing:
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Even the biggest handles with 100k+ followers get this simple thing wrong in charting!🤦‍♂️

This is the most important thing especially if you are analysing long term charts!🧐

So, let's get this right today!

USE LOG CHARTS 📈 FOR ANALYSING LONG TERM CHARTS!

Let’s go🧵...

1⃣ Wait, What's Log chart?

Before I define Log chart, let's look at the chart you are using daily - 'The Linear Chart'

- Linear chart is used by default in most platforms. This is probably why you never knew log charts

Wait, don't click on 'log' yet before you understand it...

2⃣ ok, so what does Linear chart mean?

Take a look at the image
- The y-axis is separated equally by 1000 points starting from 0 to 11000.
- So, any linear chart would have its y-axis equally separated by 'N' points always

And... that's where the problem lies...

3⃣ But, I don't see any problem?🤔

Ok ok.. let me explain...

- Can you look at this #TATAELXSI chart & tell me the price in '99 when it was listed? No!
- Can you draw a proper trendline in this chart? No!

Reason is because of the price congestion between '07 to '20...

4⃣ What else?🧐

- Whenever there is a price change in an instrument & it's drastic it'd be difficult to analyse on a linear chart

- Look at this example of #BTCUSD. What happened in 2021(refer to the red box)? 🤔

All this is because of the equally spaced Y-axis!

hmmm... ok🙄

A market wizard named Michael Marcus converted a $30,000 initial stake to $80 Million dollars over a period of 10 years.

Here are 28 lessons he considers very important for anyone venturing into trading, from his experience.

1/ The importance of not giving up:

In Fiddler on the Roof, there is a scene where the lead looks up and talks to God.

I'd look up and say, "Am I really that stupid?"

And I seemed to hear a clear answer saying, "No, you're not stupid. You just have to keep at it."

So I did.

2/ On key price levels:

There are key price levels like

- previous day/week/month highs or lows
- round number levels

where you can have 1:5 or more worth RR of trades if you place yourself right.

The key is to hit the crest of the wave, just at the right moment.

If it doesn't work out, you have to get out.

Doing this, you can make several hundred points, risking 1/3rd to 1/5th of what you make.

3/ The secret to getting efficient at trading:

Cut down the number of trades you make.

The best trades are those in which all 3 things check out:

- Fundamentals
- Technicals
- Market Tone

Insiders and operators can hide everything from you except VOLUME,
Yes, Volume is the most useful indicator in Price Action Trading.

A thread🧵 on Volume Analysis and Interpretation -

Price increases + Volume increases = Bulls have strength

Price decreases + Volume increases = Bears have strength

Price increases + volume decreases = Bulls don't have strength, won't sustain higher levels

Price decreases + volume decreases = Bears don't have strength.

Points to Remember -
1. Big breakouts start with big VOLUME always.

The Higher the volume + Higher the range = the bigger will be the move.

2. When the stock consolidates and rejects from the higher price, volume is always low.
And when it gives the decisive breakouts, The Volume is stronger than the whole consolidation..
See the attached chart.

3. When the trend changes from Positive to Negative, Or Negative to Positive, It is always supported by strong Volume..
See the volume when the stock was declining and going in a downtrend from the uptrend in the pic below.

Complete Guide to Swing Trading
A Mega Thread 🧵
With Live Charts and Examples

Comment " Yes " and Retweet if You want PDF version

Criteria for Swing Trading :

Uptrend HH HL Structure
Stage 2 Uptrend
Volume Expansion during Breakout
Pullbacks with Lower Volume
Base Formation ( Rectangle , Vcp Etc)
Relative Strength > 0
21 ema > 50 ema > 200 ema
Stocks near 52 week High
Stocks near All time High

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What is HH HL Structure ?

1. A stock Maintains Bullish Momentum till it holds the last Swing .
2. Swings is an area from where stock reverses
3. As it is widely known Trend is your Friend A structure of Higher High is good for buying as overall momentum is in buying side

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A structure of Lower Highs is good for selling side , as each bounces will be sold off
Previous Swings will now act as Resistance in Downtrend and Support in Uptrend

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Enter Stage 2 Uptrend
Stage 2: The Ideal Buy Point for Traders Traders should look for bases within an existing Stage 2 uptrend and focus on breakouts on volume. Intermediate term traders can also use investor buy points
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The best traders take advantage of alternate entries to build positions before a stock becomes obvious to the crowd.

Here are 7 lesser known Chart Patterns that are a MUST in any trader's tool box 🧵👇

#1: Alternate Pivots

Alternate pivots offer earlier entries when compared to regular pivots.

These pivots are important because:

▪️ They offer the same if not better R/R then regular pivots
▪️ Less volatility around these areas
▪️ Allow you to start positions EARLIER

#2: High Volume Close (HVC)

The HVC is created from a big volume gap up.

The close of this day is an important point for institutions to support.

If institutions are in supporting this point, price should be very responsive - making it a great, lower risk entry.

#3: Pivot Retest

The pivot retest setup happens when price retests the prior support/resistance point & then rallies back through.

This can be a powerful setup as it acts as a 'shakeout' and reverses higher with stronger hands holding the name.

#4: In The Wick Setup

We are looking for stocks that open in the wick of the prior session's bar.

The buy trigger is when price moves through the prior day's high.

The stop loss should be the low of the current day.