#HindCopper
10% more gains to 127.75 !! 🍻🔥🚀
Expecting it to consolidate now in coming days before a final move to 145-150 levels. #Copper RSI is overheated and needs to cool down.
Negative divergence building up on hourly charts. https://t.co/sBU4O6QZsq
#HindCopper
— Anchit Goel (@anchitsays) February 23, 2021
20% Upper Circuit at 118.05 now!! \U0001f389\U0001fa85\U0001f525\U0001f680\U0001f973\U0001f37b\U0001f60d
Conviction and patience has given excellent results. https://t.co/T5y2CBY9Lt pic.twitter.com/xvDeR91PkL
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Should you add more in Equity or redeem right now?
A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help
Market PE at 40 and yet the market is not falling, why? Getting asked this question multiple times. Here's a thread covering \u2018very basic\u2019 premier on valuation for my retail investor friends.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) January 14, 2021
Do hit the \u2018re-tweet\u2019 and help us educate more investors (1/n) pic.twitter.com/8oCkBmmOXY
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
4 factors to measure the performance of a trading system:
1 - Accuracy
There is no such thing as 90% Accuracy without compromising on other factors (like profit factor, etc)
Fact - A good trading system will have only 35-60% accuracy without compromising other factors.
(1/n)
2 - Profit Factor (PF)
It is similar to risk-reward. It is derived using the below formula:
Profit Factor = Total Profit by winning trades / Total loss by losing trades
Fact - A trading system above 1.2 PF is good if it scores well with other factors.
(2/n)
3 - Maximum Drawdown
The maximum drawdown also plays a vital role psychologically while picking a trading system.
Fact - Maximum Drawdown in any trading system should not exceed 20%. I suggest picking only the techniques which have less than 10% maximum drawdown.
(3/n)
4 - Maximum Consecutive Losers
We all feel bad even if we lose only Rs.1,000 in a trade. Because it is not only about the money, it is emotionally difficult to accept the failure.
Fact - A good trading system will have less than 15 consecutive losing trades.
(4/n)
TRADE LIKE CRAZY
10 Profitable Intraday Trading Systems, which are backtested against 10-years of Banknifty Historical Data!
(n/n)
https://t.co/BuUie17Ish
1 - Accuracy
There is no such thing as 90% Accuracy without compromising on other factors (like profit factor, etc)
Fact - A good trading system will have only 35-60% accuracy without compromising other factors.
(1/n)
2 - Profit Factor (PF)
It is similar to risk-reward. It is derived using the below formula:
Profit Factor = Total Profit by winning trades / Total loss by losing trades
Fact - A trading system above 1.2 PF is good if it scores well with other factors.
(2/n)
3 - Maximum Drawdown
The maximum drawdown also plays a vital role psychologically while picking a trading system.
Fact - Maximum Drawdown in any trading system should not exceed 20%. I suggest picking only the techniques which have less than 10% maximum drawdown.
(3/n)
4 - Maximum Consecutive Losers
We all feel bad even if we lose only Rs.1,000 in a trade. Because it is not only about the money, it is emotionally difficult to accept the failure.
Fact - A good trading system will have less than 15 consecutive losing trades.
(4/n)
TRADE LIKE CRAZY
10 Profitable Intraday Trading Systems, which are backtested against 10-years of Banknifty Historical Data!
(n/n)
https://t.co/BuUie17Ish
