Gaps and Probabilities.
A 2019 Tweet.
#GapTheory - Do the Gaps get filled?
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) March 12, 2019
As per Thomas Bulkowski's 2005 study Odds for filling of the following Gaps -
Common Gaps: >70%
However,
Breakaway Gaps: <5%
Runaway Gaps: <20%
Exhaustion Gaps: >70%
Categorize the Gaps correctly and Look for Counter Signals.
More from Piyush Chaudhry
New All Time High.
#HINDUNILVR

EW
Long Term Chart of the Month. #HINDUNILVR
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) December 9, 2020
Sometime in the next decade I see a fair possibility of stock reaching 7000 odd.
Invalidation below Blue Trendline. #ElliottWave pic.twitter.com/uxQrzt1mbj
as per relative strength
One question that I often get is which of the two: #HINDUNILVR or #ITC would be a better Investment bet. While their individual charts are clear themselves, another approach is ratio chart. IMHO Lever should outperform ITC for several years going forward.https://t.co/3AFqm6FJ1Q pic.twitter.com/rLuIm8xyVw
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) December 30, 2020
On the last two instances, when #Brent #CrudeOil crossed 90, NIFTY (in Blue - Left scale) underwent Correction both the times. This is the third such instance.
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) February 12, 2022
Below 90, NIFTY & Brent have had positive correlation, with 90 acting as an inflection point & causing the Divergence. pic.twitter.com/Q9dj8YFpuV
More from Stocklearnings
Found awesome content: ⏬
1. Moneycontrol
2. Bank nifty Strangles/Straddles
3. Learnings
4. Expiry Trading
5. Directional trading
6. Long Term Investing
7. Pivot system
8. DHS pattern
9. Multiple trade management threads/ways.
Moneycontrol article on @sourabhsiso19
@moneycontrolcom did a detailed story on my trading journey.
— Sourabh Sisodiya, CFA (@sourabhsiso19) May 26, 2020
But many couldn\u2019t read it as it needed a pro-subscription.
So here\u2019s a blog on the same :https://t.co/dwN2xieUKd#trading #journey #quant #options #algotrading #markets #OptionsTrading
What Sourabh does and how to trade like him?
Getting many DM\u2019s on how I can learn and trade like you.
— Sourabh Sisodiya, CFA (@sourabhsiso19) January 10, 2020
To be a succesful trader one needs an edge
My edge:
1)focus on selected instruments (Banknifty majorly and few stocks)
2) backtested my strategies historically (for past 10years)
(1)
Why trade multiple systems? ⏬
1. Keeps drawdown at minimum.
2. Strong money management can be applied.
3. Better psychology.
Do I trade only BNF ?
— Sourabh Sisodiya, CFA (@sourabhsiso19) March 4, 2020
Other than BNF intraday , I run few other systems too.
1) Intraday Momentum
2) Positional systems
3) Vol Crush Trade etc
Goal of system trading is to run few non-correlated strategies together so that system drawdown is at the minimum.#trading #systems pic.twitter.com/mS8jFEaLUW
Thread on how options allow you to change your positions in a dynamic manner.
Options Thread
— Sourabh Sisodiya, CFA (@sourabhsiso19) December 7, 2019
How options allows to change and adjust view dynamically.
Let\u2019s understand with a live example.
Example : Nifty is at 11921 and you are bullish on Nifty.
1) Buy Naked 11900 CE(call) at 167
Breakeven : 12068
Max Loss : Rs 12555
Max Profit : Unlimited pic.twitter.com/TXMhh5HWsd