🧵 After much deliberation concerning the events of last week concerning homophobia, biphobia, and transphobia in our Catholic schools, Toronto—St. Paul’s New Democrats have decided to act.

Members of the @TCDSB and other publicly-funded Catholic institutions and boards have repeatedly attacked members of the 2SLGBTQIA+ community. The 2SLGBTQIA+ community is an at-risk community; the COVID-19 pandemic has negatively affected many at-risk 2SLGBTQIA+ youth.
Many Catholic publicly-funded school boards neglect or intentionally omit 2SLGBTQIA+ resources, which may affect the availability of life-saving information and/or resources.
However, we recognize with sadness that there is a culture of homophobia, biphobia, and transphobia in the @TCDSB and in publicly-funded Catholic education based on recent events.
We welcome the 14 January 2021 action wherein the @TCDSB passed a motion to establish 2SLGBTQIA+ resources and to create an advisory committee to deal with issues thereof.
We demand from the @TCDSB that the aforementioned 2SLGBTQIA+ ā€˜advisory committee’ be a respectful and progressive space.
We demand that individuals or organizations with a recorded homophobic, biphobic, and/or transphobic agenda like Michael Del Grande and the @archtoronto be excluded and barred from being on this committee funded with taxpayer dollars.
We invite other riding associations to join in demanding that @fordnation and the Government of Ontario denounce all forms of everyday and systemic transphobia and homophobia and create a transparent and fully-resourced Provincial Strategy to support 2SLGBTQIA+ Ontarians.
We, the members of the Electoral District Association of the @NDP and of the @OntarioNDP in Toronto—St. Paul’s, condemn the aforementioned attacks on 2SLGBTQIA+ youth, recognize their inherent right to existence and value.
Our riding association will be sharing our deep concern with @TCDSB and will lead in the push to purge bigotry from our public schools, whether secular or Catholic.
@JILLSLASTWORD @maritstiles @beyrima @SuzeMorrison @Peter_Tabuns @BhutilaKarpoche @DolyBegum @FaisalHassanNDP @ChrisGloverMPP @RakocevicT @JessicaBellTO

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I've seen many news articles cite that "the UK variant could be the dominant strain by March". This is emphasized by @CDCDirector.

While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.

Here's how: 🧵

One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.

Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:

https://t.co/tDce0MwO61


Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.

Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):


Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.

If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.

Simple example:

Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant

1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%

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