Which I don’t think they will on everything. No packed court, no nuked filibuster.
So what happens now?
Let me try to peer into a crystal ball here in 2021 so we can drag this thread up & laugh at me and/or praise my vision in 2024
This is not what I WANT, it’s just what I think is likely to unfold over the next four years
Chime in if I forget your pet issue
Which I don’t think they will on everything. No packed court, no nuked filibuster.
Vaccine distribution will normalize & by the end of summer we’ll be in a rocky recovery.
There will be a big fight for a public option that the Dems will probably lose unless they win big in 2022 because again Manchin.
But more & more states will legalize until it doesn’t really matter.
The DOJ won’t either, but I think they may go after his kids. Ivanka & Jared at least.
SDNY will take Trump on, the cases will drag out for years & likely plead out with no jail time.
The civil lawsuits will bring the real hurt.
Election Day will be made a holiday through EO.
But mail in voting is here to stay, which will help a lot.
2024 will be super weird due to all the WFH migration.
All the GOP will learn from #Georgia is that they need the crazies to win & will pander to them exclusively until & unless they lose bigger than that margin.
Trump will play kingmaker.
His kids will likely sell some state secrets he didn’t bother to read
He’ll start his network but lose 10-15% of his base once the winner sheen is off
Putin will technically retire but actually still pull every string.
I expect one Big Bill, hopefully on voting
I don’t think there is any danger at all of the GOP actually splitting—they’re more practical than that. No civil war either, they cried real tears on camera when they couldn’t get haircuts.
But a lot more domestic terrorism.
I honestly don’t know if she can win with the kind of hate they can drum up in four years. Everything won’t be perfect so her record won’t be hot either
They won’t win, but not because we will be better then.
Because the ambition of Cruz, Hawley, Cotton, & the rest won’t take a back seat again.
Not big enough changes for the left, not enough capitulation for the right, everyone will be mad all the time.
Dems will keep the Senate in 2022 but lose the House unless Democratic voters realy have learned a lesson.
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1/OK, data mystery time.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.
4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.

4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.