Amazing news. Our team @JennerInstitute are so pleased to see this!

A few quick responses to some pointing out it could be even better (more/cheaper/single-dose) 1/

The Ox/AZ/SerumInst deal is incredibly radical- Ox opted out of £££ to make a brand new product available around the world not-for-profit. Please judge imperfections by comparison to Pfizer/Moderna, not vs an imaginary ideal or a company which hasn’t yet delivered any doses.
Quibble #1: ‘It needs 2 doses’. Ox/AZ haven’t done as good a PR job on this as J&J, but the vaccines are similar. Published Ox data shows substantial single dose efficacy if you read tables carefully. Further analysis will be done soon. 2/
And I think all vaccines incl J&J will need boost for optimal long-term effect. 3/
Quibble #2: ‘But Serum Inst are charging more to SA than AZ are charging others’. Firstly, the product remains cheaper, I think, than anything else in market, or many older vaccines which haven’t had the recent R&D costs. 4/
Second, Serum have done an amazing job setting up what may be the best manufacturing operation in the AZ network. Serum have invested aggressively to go really big, really fast. Their start-up costs have been substantial. Materials imported to India may cost more than in EU/US 5/
Quibble #3: ‘it’s not enough’. We know this. We knew there was going to be scarcity. We’ve worked flat out all year to make as much as poss as quick as poss. More is coming, to SA & elsewhere, as quick as humanly & technically possible. 6/
I don’t think any other vaccine development programme has strategically prioritised low/middle income supply as we have. (Yes, I know there are gaps, but it’s the best we could possibly manage) https://t.co/eKOFWiDHZ9
Can’t say how proud I am of our team @JennerInstitute without whom set up of manufacturing in India wouldn’t have happened- especially Adrian Hill, @adamjohnritchie & Carina Joe. Probably the most important thing any of us will do in our lives.

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global health policy in 2020 has centered around NPI's (non-pharmaceutical interventions) like distancing, masks, school closures

these have been sold as a way to stop infection as though this were science.

this was never true and that fact was known and knowable.

let's look.


above is the plot of social restriction and NPI vs total death per million. there is 0 R2. this means that the variables play no role in explaining one another.

we can see this same relationship between NPI and all cause deaths.

this is devastating to the case for NPI.


clearly, correlation is not proof of causality, but a total lack of correlation IS proof that there was no material causality.

barring massive and implausible coincidence, it's essentially impossible to cause something and not correlate to it, especially 51 times.

this would seem to pose some very serious questions for those claiming that lockdowns work, those basing policy upon them, and those claiming this is the side of science.

there is no science here nor any data. this is the febrile imaginings of discredited modelers.

this has been clear and obvious from all over the world since the beginning and had been proven so clearly by may that it's hard to imagine anyone who is actually conversant with the data still believing in these responses.

everyone got the same R

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