An educational #Thread on how 1 can identify "Freakout"(Fake Breakout) explained with practical e.g's so that every1 can understand.

Identifying Breakout is not a big challenge but exiting it at the right time if it "fails" with minor loss is imp. which 90% people don't do.

1/n

1st lets learn how to judge that the Breakout is not sustaining & time to exit the trade has come for once.

With digital content available identifying #Stocks breaking resistance is not a big task but exiting these trades timely if they go against us is the most imp. thing.

2/n
Let's understand the abv with recent e.g of USDINR. It gave a breakout abv 75.6 after 8 months. Though we saw a mild upmove after that but it drastically failed& cmp is 74.5.

Now if some1 bought on breakout then usually most will hold it till now or exit at cmp in distress.

3/n
If any of the following 2 criteria's match then 1 should exit the trade.

* Stock makes a LowerLow, LowerHigh consecutively for 2 days.
* It breaks the low of breakout candle & sustains for 1 day.

USDINR made a LL,LH for 2 days on 17th,20th Dec so exit was at 75.73 on 20th.

4/n
Similar e.g is Bharti which gave a ATH, consolidation breakout on 23rd nov abv 745. The Breakout couldn't sustain & cmp is 684.

Ideal exit was on 29th Nov at 739 when it broke the breakout candle low of 733 & sustained below it on 29th. So it fulfilled 2nd criteria of exit.

5/n
The same theory is valid even for breakdowns which can be seen in Cipla where it broke 8 months tight range on 17th Dec & on 18th broke the breakdown high.

Hence it met the 2nd criteria of sustaining abv Breakdown high & immediately 1 should have exited shorts, built longs.

6/n
The most recent e.g 1 can see is Dow jones which gave a breakout on 29th. However on friday it has made a LH, LL formation which isn't good & if it again makes it on Mon then 1 should exit longs taken on the basis of the breakout on thurs.

So let's watch next week closely.

7/n
"No Capital No Capital Markets" - The above thread is dedicated to same.

1 can always renter such trades but exiting them timely is very imp. & my personal experience says that deciding exiting trades criteria, time is where 90% fail.

THE END.

Feedbacks, views are appreciated.

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🌿𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒓𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒂 𝑺𝒕𝒂𝒓 : 𝑫𝒉𝒓𝒖𝒗𝒂 & 𝑽𝒊𝒔𝒉𝒏𝒖

Once upon a time there was a Raja named Uttānapāda born of Svayambhuva Manu,1st man on earth.He had 2 beautiful wives - Suniti & Suruchi & two sons were born of them Dhruva & Uttama respectively.
#talesofkrishna https://t.co/E85MTPkF9W


Now Suniti was the daughter of a tribal chief while Suruchi was the daughter of a rich king. Hence Suruchi was always favored the most by Raja while Suniti was ignored. But while Suniti was gentle & kind hearted by nature Suruchi was venomous inside.
#KrishnaLeela


The story is of a time when ideally the eldest son of the king becomes the heir to the throne. Hence the sinhasan of the Raja belonged to Dhruva.This is why Suruchi who was the 2nd wife nourished poison in her heart for Dhruva as she knew her son will never get the throne.


One day when Dhruva was just 5 years old he went on to sit on his father's lap. Suruchi, the jealous queen, got enraged and shoved him away from Raja as she never wanted Raja to shower Dhruva with his fatherly affection.


Dhruva protested questioning his step mother "why can't i sit on my own father's lap?" A furious Suruchi berated him saying "only God can allow him that privilege. Go ask him"