#SPX approaching very important turnaround zone

3 Yrs SMA which is repetitive support & AVWAP from Pre-pandemic High / Pandemic low

This could be final selling around 3700-3800 zone for this leg of sell-off before counter trend rally for 4-8 weeks

More from Zafar Shaikh

#INDIAVIX print above 35 has been good time for investment in last 10 yrs of Market

Feb VIX printed 30 . If it spikes further in March, can be good time for catching falling knives in Stocks.

Zafar Shaikh
@InvesysCapital

#TrendFollowing
#StockFutures
The Complete #Trading #Process

1) Stock Selection - Buy Strongest, Sell Weakest. Combine Higher TimeFrame to Identify Strength/ Weakness

2) Entry SetUp - Enough FirePower for Sustainable Trend Going Forward (1/n)

3)Trend Confirmation - That Point from which chances of Reversal are Low so as to achieve Higher Win Rate

4) Low Risk Entry - Costs Saved in Execution are added back to profit. Use Mkt Fluctuations in Our Favour (2/n)

5) Initial SL- Uncle Point. Not Too Tight, Not Too Loose, Just About Perfect. Let the trade breath before leaping forward

6) Trailing SL - Reduce Open Risk in Trade Continuously Simultaneously allowing Trend to Develop (3/n)

7) Profit Booking - Don't Look for Top/ Bottom. Catch 70-80% of Max Profit. Most Difficult Decision. No Perfect Exit. Break in Multiple Exits. Be happy with Whatever We Get (n/n)

Zafar Shaikh
@InvesysCapital

VWAP starting with day open candle is quite popular

Try #VWAP with period for change where period equal to number of bars in trading day. Acts as magnet for Intraday Mean Reversion moves

Exibit- Banknifty of last 2 days

Zafar Shaikh
@InvesysCapital

33900 gone on #Banknifty

System says don't buy the dip

Wait for dip of dip of dip at 30500 #Banknifty & 15000 #Nifty

#Banknifty 33900-34100 zone has provided Support & bounce multiple times in last 12 months.

Watch this level carefully in current week. If 33900 goes, would open up big downside towards 30500 in May series ( Which is confluence of multiple support & AVWAP from Mar20 lows) pic.twitter.com/B7KUNkVVSE
— Zafar Shaikh (@InvesysCapital) May 8, 2022

Zafar Shaikh
@InvesysCapital

#TrendFollowing
#SystemTrading
#StopLoss

In TrendFollwoing, We Look To Enter Trade & Keep Holding as Long as It is in Our Favour. Initial Stop Loss Is Important Part of System Trading.
How To Decide What Should Be Initial StopLoss? (1/n)

Too Tight StopLoss Will get Stopped Out Frequently.
Too Loose Will Cause Bigger Loss & LessRR.
What Is Optimum StopLoss?

We Need To Generate Data on What is Called Minimum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE Is The Max Amount By Which Trade Goes Against Us From Entry Point (2/n)

MAE Can Be Measure in Amount Or Percentage Or ATR. We calculate MAE In ATR so as to adjust for Different Volatility of Different Scrips. Here You Can See The Data for MAE in ATR For Our #Stock #Futures #Swing #Trading System For Long & Short Trades For December (3/n)

Visual Look Tells That Price Doesn't Go Against Us By More Than 2 ATR in More Than 95% Of Trades. So We Can Safely Take 2 ATR StopLoss For Our Trades From Entry Point. Also, More Than 90% Of The Trade Show Loss After Entry Which Can Be Used To Decide Level Of PullBack Entry (4/4)

This System is Based on 25Min TimeFrame & 75 Candle ATR. Every System Uses Different Entry Method, Different TimeFrame For Signal Generation & Different No Of Candles For ATR. So Don't Assume 2 ATR is Universal Stoploss. See What Suits Your System & Then Develop Own StopLoss (5)

Among the many applications of fire, one is Yajna (यज्ञ, yajña); also called as Havana (हवन) or Agnihotra (अग्निहोत्र).
Yajna is elaborately described in Yajurveda. In Yajurveda, Yajna is the greatest among all works (Karman). One can purify his /her soul by performing Yajna.

In Vedic culture, it is thought that the holy fire is the mediator between Gods and us; when the offerings are made to Yajna with chanting mantras, it directly reaches the Gods, who bless the people with rains, food, health, and good luck.

According to Apastamba Sutra, the definition of Yajna is Vedic sacrifice; an act by which we surrender something for gods e.g. grains (Anna), pulse, milk and milk product (ghee, butter, curd) fruits, plant juice (soma), etc.

As we said; Yajna is the contact medium for gods and

to seek their blessings.

There are many types of Yajna performed by Hindus for e.g.,

1. Rajsuya Yajna
2. Ashwamedha Yajna
3. Chaaturmasya Yajna
4. Vaajpey Yajna
5. Purushmedha Yajna
6. Sarvamedha Yajna

Invest Like the Best
@InvestLikeBest

In 1937, a trucker got frustrated waiting for his cargo to be unloaded. He later sold his company for $1.1 billion.

Here’s the story of how Malcom McLean made a billion dollars and which startup could be following in his footsteps. (Inspired by our episode with @laurabehrenswu)

In the early 1950s, the shipping industry was a dying business.

New York’s docks were handling half as much domestic cargo in the early 1950s as they had been in the depressed 1930s.

In thirty years, no one had invested significant money in coastal shipping.

Why?

As McLean found out, loading ships was difficult and slow.

A truck or train would deliver items to the port. Each item was unloaded separately, recorded, and carried to storage.

When a ship was ready, each item was taken from storage, counted again, and hauled on-board.

The cost of this labor was significant. As one expert at the time explained:

“A four-thousand-mile voyage for a shipment might consume 50 percent of its costs in covering just the two ten-mile movements through two ports.”

Yet, despite the industry’s issues, it felt little pressure to change.

Foreigners were barred from operating domestically. Cartels ran international routes. And gov. subsidies eased the pain of labor costs.

Reshaping the industry needed an outsider.

Enter Malcolm McLean.

Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal

A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.

I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019

2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.

Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019

3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.

This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019

4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.

There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020