When a consumer company advertises only on biz channels and not on GEC and mainstream channels, you should be alert about the management's intentions.

#investing

More from Jiten Parmar

@Sanjay__Bakshi @katalystwealth Yes Sir. Extremely difficult to predict the top. Often top comes much before the best results. One needs to have some kind of strategy to exit. Maybe something like a multiple of replacement cost, P/B, historical upcycle margins, etc. But there is no exact science to predict top.

Jiten Parmar
@jitenkparmar

There is no doubt that many new age businesses will do fantastically well for quiet a while.

But, will they turn out to be good stocks, is up for debate.

One needs to see how much of the growth has already been built up in the current price.

Risk-reward 🤔

Jiten Parmar
@jitenkparmar

A thread on my experience and observations of the grocery delivery apps in India.

@Grofers @bigbasket_com @JioMart @flipkart supermart, @amazonIN and DMart Ready.

Live in Pune. So my experience is of this city. User experience may vary according to location.

1/11

1)@Grofers - good app, good delivery timelines, decent prices, limited selection, delivery free above a certain threshold is a negative, point and Grofer cash not very good. Offers on checkout not proper and visible . Limited vegetables.
2/11

Private label selection, prices decent. Overall decent experience.

With advent of others may face stiff competition. Maybe acquired or merged with someone.

3/11

2) @bigbasket_com - good app, good delivery, timelines, decent prices, decent selection, delivery free over a threshold is a negative. Overall decent. Will face stiff competition. Will be acquired by someone.
4/11

3) @JioMart - started poorly. But improving by the day. Each experience better than prev one. First delivery was 4 days, then 2 days, then 1 day. Last delivery on same day. Not intimating delivery schedule is an irritant and needs improvement.
5/11

Jiten Parmar
@jitenkparmar

EV/tonne of the mentioned companies currently

Anjani - 100
Deccan Cem - 40
KCP - 44 (will be lower if value to other biz given)
NCL - 61 (has boards biz too)
Sagar - 59

EV/tonne of the companies in that region.

Anjani Portland - 42
Deccan Cem - 20
KCP - conglomerate (has Vietnam sugar, hotel, engg too) - 43 (on mcap)
NCL - 31 (has boards biz too)
Sagar - 47

No recommendations. Just data.
— Jiten Parmar (@jitenkparmar) July 8, 2020

Jiten Parmar
@jitenkparmar

Sugar Industry Insights (Feb 25, 2020)
Last few years sugar industry has been a beneficiary of government largesse. Sugar cycle turned in 2015. Post that there has been surplus production.

Government has helped the industry by various incentives like export subsidy, ethanol blending, allowing cane juice to ethanol conversion, msp, etc. UP and Maharashtra are the 2 major states in sugarcane plantations.

The 2 largest players in the world are Brazil and India. In Brazil sugarcane is used for ethanol a lot lot more than in India. Brazil is way ahead of any country in ethanol from cane.

US is the largest producer of ethanol in the world followed by Brazil. US uses mainly corn for making ethanol.

Indian sugar scenario: Sugar still constitutes 85% of revenue in sugar companies. So, essentially it has to do well for sugar companies to be profitable. We have had record production in last couple of years. Sugar opening stock at end of last sugar year was 14.5 mt.

More from Pump dump

Ashish
@Ashishp_1

@nid_rockz So called popular handle

$Trung Phan \U0001f1e8\U0001f1e6$

Trung Phan 🇨🇦...
@TrungTPhan

The Wall Street Bets due diligence on Wendy’s is gold.

The catalysts are:
◻️ The release of a new summer salad
◻️ The @Wendys Twitter account, which has mastered “meta pragmatic roasting” (which is effective with younger people)
◻️ The fact it literally sells chicken tendies

OP:

Here’s a more fundamentals-driven analysis of Wendy’s

https://t.co/A2k19S9M7J

😂😂😂

\u201cThe name of the company is Wendy\u2019s International $WEN. It is a cutting edge high tech firm out of rural Ohio that is awaiting imminent patent approval on the next generation of summer salads that have both huge military and civilian applications.\u201d pic.twitter.com/qmk4hkKL3N
— u/1ronyman (@1ronyman1) June 8, 2021

Further Wendy’s analysis from @CliffordAsness !!

Charlie Mungerilal
@CMungerilal

Bhai, ye @Arunstockguru se umeed nahi thi. I am disappointed 😔. Unfollowed.

Never followed actually 🤣

Here is is! pic.twitter.com/p2LoWalfgc
— Ankit (@ankittanand) March 7, 2022

Sir Metafool
@passivefool

@TraderIndian

Money Theory
@money_theory

Videocon is in Upper Circuit today. This makes sense because the max amount you can lose is only 7.6 rupees.

@EricTopol @NBA @StephenKissler @yhgrad B.1.1.7 reveals clearly that SARS-CoV-2 is reverting to its original pre-outbreak condition, i.e. adapted to transgenic hACE2 mice (either Baric's BALB/c ones or others used at WIV labs during chimeric bat coronavirus experiments aimed at developing a pan betacoronavirus vaccine)

@NBA @StephenKissler @yhgrad 1. From Day 1, SARS-COV-2 was very well adapted to humans .....and transgenic hACE2 Mice

1. From Day 1, SARS-COV-2 was very well adapted to humans .....and transgenic hACE2 Mice
"we generated a mouse model expressing hACE2 by using CRISPR/Cas9 knockin technology. In comparison with wild-type C57BL/6 mice, both young & aged hACE2 mice sustained high viral loads... pic.twitter.com/j94XtSkscj
— Billy Bostickson \U0001f3f4\U0001f441&\U0001f441 \U0001f193 (@BillyBostickson) January 30, 2021

@NBA @StephenKissler @yhgrad 2. High Probability of serial passaging in Transgenic Mice expressing hACE2 in genesis of SARS-COV-2

1. High Probability of serial passaging in Transgenic Mice expressing hACE2 in genesis of SARS-COV-2!
2 papers:
Human\u2013viral molecular mimicryhttps://t.co/irfH0Zgrve
Molecular Mimicryhttps://t.co/yLQoUtfS6s https://t.co/lsCv2iMEQz
— Billy Bostickson \U0001f3f4\U0001f441&\U0001f441 \U0001f193 (@BillyBostickson) January 2, 2021

@NBA @StephenKissler @yhgrad B.1.1.7 has an unusually large number of genetic changes, ... found to date in mouse-adapted SARS-CoV2 and is also seen in ferret infections.
https://t.co/9Z4oJmkcKj

@NBA @StephenKissler @yhgrad We adapted a clinical isolate of SARS-CoV-2 by serial passaging in the ... Thus, this mouse-adapted strain and associated challenge model should be ... (B) SARS-CoV-2 genomic RNA loads in mouse lung homogenates at P0 to P6.
https://t.co/I90OOCJg7o