When a consumer company advertises only on biz channels and not on GEC and mainstream channels, you should be alert about the management's intentions.

#investing

@Sanjay__Bakshi @katalystwealth Yes Sir. Extremely difficult to predict the top. Often top comes much before the best results. One needs to have some kind of strategy to exit. Maybe something like a multiple of replacement cost, P/B, historical upcycle margins, etc. But there is no exact science to predict top.

There is no doubt that many new age businesses will do fantastically well for quiet a while.

But, will they turn out to be good stocks, is up for debate.

One needs to see how much of the growth has already been built up in the current price.

Risk-reward 🤔

Accidents happens when one doesn't look at valuations.

A supposedly platform stock listed in 2019. OFS price was 320 Rs. High of 6396 made yesterday.

Mcap crossed 1 lac crore.

Company was affected by CoVid so will talk a bit on pre-CoVid nos.

1/3

Sales of 2300 cr in FY20. NP 730 cr. Company has a monopoly given by the govt. Business is good and many extensions taking place, which will take time to bear fruit, if at all. But valuation-wise it had gone bonkers.

2/3

Stock corrected 40%+ in 2 days. This is what can happen when one doesn't heed valuations. And ignores the risks to the business. And only looks at blue sky scenario.

A good company may not be a good investment, at any price.

3/3

@itsTarH Get 3 such mails daily. Even know the youtubers who have been doing this. Personally avoid their channels like plague

P.s. we will rather close the channel than do this. Stupidity of the highest order for sending these mails or WhatsApps. Unethical.

Videocon is in Upper Circuit today. This makes sense because the max amount you can lose is only 7.6 rupees.

Anatomy of pump

Read below thread & articles

https://t.co/Zw9TDgFH8M

https://t.co/oeNhoq9fnz

https://t.co/DDRo4pP8O3

All identical. Many more links on net

Clearly co PR or cartel planting this misleading narrative on massive scale thru media/twitterati

Beware

#ccd

How did the debt come down :

1) sale of stake held by co in Mindtree to LnT for ~ 2700 cr. This was actually done when VGS was still alive. just months b4 his unfortunate death

2) sale of real estate asset global village tech park to blackstone for approx EV 2000 - 2500 cr

3) CDE lost controlling stake in its subsidiary Sical Logistics as lenders invoked collateral shares. SCL had debt of 1500 cr which used 2 add 2 CDE consolidated debt

But no control = SL no longer subsidiary = it's debt can't show in consol debt of CDE. Just an accounting thing

So as you can see, most debt reduction has come from selliing prime non core assets. Not operating cash flows!

And another 1500 cr debt disappeared from book because they lost control of a subsidiary due to defauls

Malavika Hegde is in a tough spot and may be fighting hard to save CDE. There still are some other non core assets which can b sold to pay dues. But overall the CCD biz is struggling - unlike what the current narratives being planted by someone are saying

@TraderIndian

@nid_rockz So called popular handle