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Ezra Levin
@ezralevin 4 years, 4 months ago 378 views

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Get ready to shift how you think about congress. (quick thread bc Zeke’s asleep)...

For 10 years, it was a safe bet that congress would accomplish nothing. Congress was defined by dysfunction, gridlock, or outright white plutocracy under Trump.

But there’s a Dem trifecta for the first time in a decade now, so it's time to make new bets- and make them fast.

Usually congress moves slowly or not at all. Historically though, when a Dem trifecta comes, there is a brief window of opportunity - usually measured in months, not years - where legislative progress suddenly speeds up.

A quick trip through the last 100 years of this:

Wilson takes office with his Democratic trifecta in early 1913, and by the end of the year we get a progressive federal income tax and the creation of the Federal Reserve.

FDR takes office with his Democratic trifecta in early 1933, and that year we get the Public Works Administration, the Civilian Conservation Corps, banking reform, and massive economic recovery legislation.

LBJ starts his full term with his Democratic trifecta in 1965, and that year we get the Voting Rights Act, creation of Medicare and Medicaid, creation of the Dept of Housing and Urban Development, and federal support for education.

Obama takes office in 2009, and we get the stimulus, banking reform, national service legislation, and the Affordable Care Act within about a year.

Not to say the Biden trifecta success is inevitable. Carter & Clinton won trifectas but failed to translate them into generation-defining legislative reforms. Still, Carter got the Clean Water Act & anti-redlining in his first year, & Clinton got FMLA, gun reform, & NAFTA (...).

So things COULD start to move fast. And those things could be BIG. To help make this happen, Indivisible just published our new guide on how to take advantage of this Dem trifecta: https://t.co/IFJDGfYoHH

You made it to the end! And look at that, Z's still asleep (he sleeps with his hands up like that). /end

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... continue part two

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Ok I was wrong about theHouse. 2 years of legislative gridlock = not fun. Few bills passing.

Control of the House is useless when it comes to keeping Trump from declassifying all the SpyGate docs. Or stopping an Inspector General from releasing a report.

Trump still gets control of judicial appointments so we can expect another 100 judges over the next two years. This time there’ll be no McCain or Flake playing the Maverick role with their swing vote.

That new margin in the Senate is huge if another Supreme Court seat comes open.

So from the responses I’m getting, people seem to think if Trump declassifies the Spygate stuff now, nothing happens.

Are you under the impression federal prosecutors have to wait until CONGRESS finishes an investigation and makes criminal referrals before the DOJ can act?

There’s a federal grand jury on McCabe right now. Did Congress ever finish it’s investigation and make a referral to the DOJ against him?

No.

BUT INSPECTOR GENERAL HOROWITZ DID. On finishing his McCabe leak report.

Funny how nobody remembers that.

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Ok, it's high time to look at the REAL effects of Brexit. As the Tories implode & Labour sits on its hands, companies are executing contingency plans, shifting jobs & assets, slashing investments, or redomiciling (accounting exercise). Happening NOW, not in a fantasy future. 1/95

Barden Corporation is closing down its Plymouth factory after 51 years, putting 400 jobs at risk, as its parent company Schaeffler shifts production to various sites outside the UK due to Brexit.

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The allegations against RV are among the most horrifying I have read. It involves possessing and sharing images of rape of infants and plans to take action in the real world of that nature. I don't really recommend reading the details, but they are here.

These allegations were first brought to light by @jaredlholt who has an excellent thread. He warns people that they may want to avoid the end of the thread because it includes shots of the specific allegations. I make the same warning.

NEW: D.C. Police arrested Ruben Verastigui -- a former "senior digital strategist" for the Senate Republican Conference -- on charges of distribution of child pornography resulting from a time span that allegedly included his time at the SRC. How I confirmed ID in thread (1/?) pic.twitter.com/AcZ7c2sBKb
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First, party/policy mandates from elections are far from self-executing in our system. Work on mandates from Dahl to Ellis and Kirk on the history of the mandate to mine on its role in post-Nixon politics, to Peterson Grossback and Stimson all emphasize that this link is... 2/

Created deliberately and isn't always persuasive. Others have to convinced that the election meant a particular thing for it to work in a legislative context. I theorized in the immediate period of after the 2020 election that this was part of why Repubs signed on to ...3/

Trump's demonstrably false fraud nonsense - it derailed an emerging mandate news cycle. Winners of elections get what they get - institutional control - but can't expect much beyond that unless the perception of an election mandate takes hold. And it didn't. 4/

Let's turn to the legislation element of this. There's just an asymmetry in terms of passing a relief bill. Republicans are presumably less motivated to get some kind of deal passed. Democrats are more likely to want to do *something.* 5/

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