Yes, actually that's kind of the problem these days.

All the 🔥takes will be shown to be wrong once the voter file data & analysis like this one w the FULL RESULTS get done, which is why I'VE NOT PUBLISHED MY 🔥TAKE IN NYT yet

We'll have to decide if we want it fast, or right

There is ONE STORY in elections right now and its education. Its not rural vs urban, or Black and White, Latino and White

Its educated versus non-educated

And its global
1. I'll add that it's very imp that Ds understand, crystal clear, this fact (that edu is the divide that rules all other divides). After Parscale's success in 2020 the GOP will now double down on their efforts to come after non-college educated, non-white voters bc now they KNOW
2. they're gettable. The 2018 and 2020 cycle were "feelers." No doubt donors and strategists were skeptical. Now they have the analytic proof and the $ will be flowing. This is one reason that I decided that I had to get into electioneering myself. Someone is going to need to be
3. there talking to these voters from the Left (and talking to them with effective messaging- for ex they don't give two shits about insider trading corruption) or you'll see even more erosion in the D's vote share among non-college educated non-white voters, I'm sure of it. Its
4. total bullshit! Actually, its evil as fuck! The GOP wants nothing less than to screw these voters over. But they WILL use them to win elections- you better believe it. And where education comes into it is that exposure to college makes an individual far less likely to be
5. sensitive to anti-democratic messaging like limiting the speech of groups you don't like, support for curtailing freedom, and now, believe or not, attempting an anti-democratic coup. https://t.co/c1QRkQcmh1
6. This is bc the liberal arts curriculum exposes students to classes that teach them how government works, what the Bill of Rights does and how it works, history, and increasingly, classes that highlight multiculturalism, diversity, equality, etc. A conservative by today's
7. unfortunate definition of a conservative is right to look at the college curriculum and see it as hostile to conservatism. Note though, my use of the word unfortunate. That is bc modern conservatism made diversity, racial equality, gender equality partisan issues so now these
8. areas/issues are seen as Democratic Party indoctrination. Its a HUGE problem for the Republican Party that gender equality is no longer seen as a non-partisan objective. There is also an economic element to the education divide- obviously many people who lack college degrees
9. are more economically stressed than their degreed counterparts- but it is VERY important to understand this is not a pure correlation by a LONG SHOT. Many very economically well-off white men who lack college degrees are full MAGA. Not attending college, not
10. only bc they missed out on the course curriculum that might have given them the critical reasoning skills to understand why something like a Muslim ban is a bad idea, for example, also meant they never lived in a dorm where their roommate was Jewish, or Muslim! Maybe never
11. was exposed to Democrats (bc in rural America, you may never see one and thus, your perception of a Democrat relies entirely on the intentionally dehumanized version that is presented to you on right-wing media. I had students like this all the time. And they were on a very
12. small, conservative campus- nothing like one of the big state universities! Still, they'd tell me how eye opening being at CNU was- how much their impressions of different groups of people changed once they'd actually seen and met them. That's why we see in the data that even
13. some time in college matters to people's political behavior.

More from Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

1. SO MUCH more than that. What Barr & the GOP pulled off w the release of the Mueller Report was demonstrated mastery of the American media & the news cycle.

They manipulated both brilliantly.

The reason reporters are conditioned to report a stalled bill as "Congress failing


2. to pass a covid relief bill"- the norm of objectivity- has allowed the RNC/GOP/Trump to develop a system to manipulate the media into doing their dirty work. But never have we seen it orchestrated so deliberately & cleanly as it was to neutralize the Mueller Report. By his

3. "Letter to Congress" where he intentional mispresented the findings of the report on 2 crucial areas- the investigation's conclusions regarding the activities of the Trump campaign and Russia and whether or not the President's actions to damage/disrupt the investigation

4. constitutes obstruction of justice, Barr & the GOP team understood that if the report was released, the media would likely get out on its own this meaning: Trump campaign's contacts with Russia did not rise to criminal charges and that Trump can not be charges w obstruction

5. while being president. BUT, by sending out this letter that interprets the report for the media in advance (well in advance!) of the actual report- Barr can instead tell the media a different narrative, far more favorable to Trump. These, of course, go on to become the
1. Yes, Trump will claim to intend to target GOP senators up for reelection in '22 (like he did to Thune with Kristi Noem) if they don't join in @HawleyMO's sedition on Jan. 6, but the fact is, it's not clear whether Trump will be successful in ANY of those efforts & voting yes


2. to hedge off these threats will also create fissures & fractures for these incumbents among other elements of their party that could complicate their renominations. Indeed, what worries me the most about the potential for the country to slip into @anneapplebaum territory is

3. that what should be robust and intense push back from the party establishment against actually ending democracy- bc that's what Trump's request would do, if it was granted, is fairly muted. What we SHOULD be seeing from the mainstream of the party is threats to strip committee

4. assignments, chairs, privileges, even reelection funds, if anyone gets involved in this bullshit- in the House & the Senate, and the fact that you don't see it is more than a story of McConnell & McCarthy being afraid of Trump & his base. Its a story of receptivity, of the

5. level of receptivity the congressional and party leadership is dealing with both within the rank and file membership of the party and within its donor class, and THAT, my friends, is why you find me so concerned. That, and my decision to finally pull @anneapplebaum's book
1. Friends, yesterday we released a sample ad of what how @StrikePac will message against the GOP. Frustratingly, voters were never approached which the frame of the Rep Party's collapse into extremism in the 2020 cycle aside from work from outside groups like @ProjectLincoln,


2. @MeidasTouch, @votevets & other "super pacs" which are essentially grassroots funded organizations that are making use of the "super pac" designation to electioneer. Organizing as a super pac actually affords groups a great deal of flexibility to perform pro-democracy work

3. so despite the "ewww, yuck!" factor of that designation, not all SP's are, in fact, evil entities (other than the fact that so many of you I wholly support a fully publicly funded system w very strict limits & honestly, a 30 day electioneering window per cycle which would

4. decimate a multi-billion $ industry BUT do a great deal of work to save our democracy & that type of system, by the way, is BY FAR, the norm among western democracies. Ours is literally the Wild West of electioneering systems and if there is 1 "fix all" reform that would have

5. the greatest & most immediate impact on pulling our democracy back from the precipice of our democracy it would be a fully publicly funded, tightly regulated election/campaigning system. We don't have one of those right now & if we ever want to reach the majorities that could

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