I'd like to say a few things in tribute to the brilliant musical director & vocal coach Kate Young, who died far too young last week. Even fellow musical theatre folk may not know what a trail-blazing talent she was, so here's my story of Kate (thread)/1
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A business like Universal which controls more than 1/3rd of all published music globally is selling for less than 6x FY20 Sales.
Why are Indian businesses like Saregama / Tips selling for 11x, 20x their sales?
If I include all of the revenue generated by entire firm, its selling for ~4.5x FY20 Sales
Universal Listing Market Cap ~ 40 Billion USD
FY 20 Revenues ~ 8.87 B USD or 7.4B EUR
Catalogue of Music includes every international artist you can possibly name
Either Universal is grossly undervalued or Saregama/Tips are grossly overvalued.
https://t.co/aHzWSYtcUt
Homework for all the interested participants here:
— Intrinsic Compounding (@soicfinance) June 27, 2021
Q1.Why 20% and not 50%+ Margins for UMG
Q2. Differences in dynamics between Western&Indian cos?
Q3. Trends in West vs Trends in India in the industry.
Research and find the answers. My job is done \U0001f601\U0001f64f
https://t.co/v0EMoCuYKX
If you see the ebitda of universal music its low 20% compared to our saregama 30% or tips 50%. So when you compare earnings saregama is 40x and tips is 30x and universal music is 30x. Also these type of companies are less( low or no capex with excellent and growinh cashflows)
— Srikanth V (@mynameisnani75) June 27, 2021
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Russia hasn't been a willing partner in this treaty for almost 3 decades. We should have ended the pretense long ago.
Naturally, Rand Paul is telling anyone who will listen to him that Trump is making a HUGE MISTAKE here.
Arms control agreements are good when you have willing partners. Lightens the load on our military.
— John Noonan (@noonanjo) October 20, 2018
Russia hasnt been a willing partner in years. There will be gnashing of teeth from people who do arms control advocacy full time, but this is right movehttps://t.co/WmQE43ERCB
Rand is just like his dad, Ron. 100% isolationist.
They've never grasped that 100% isolationist is not 'America First' when you examine it. It really means 'America Alone'.
The consistent grousing of pursuing military alliances with allies - like Trump is doing now with Saudi Arabia.
So of course Rand has also spent the last 2 days loudly calling for Trump to kill the arms deal with Saudi Arabia and end our alliance with them.
What Obama was engineering with his foreign policy was de facto isolationism: pull all the troops out of the ME, abandon the region to Iranian control as a client state of Russia.
Obama wasn't building an alliance with Iran; he was facilitating abandoning the ME to Iran.
Obama wouldn't even leave behind a token security force, so of course what happened was the rise of ISIS. He also pumped billions of dollars into the Iranian coffers, which the Mullah's used to fund destabilizing activity [wars/terrorism] & criminal enterprises all over the globe