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Greenpanel Industries conducted their earnings con-call today at 4:00 pm

"One of the major MDF player in India"

Here are the key highlights of the call 😀👇

@varinder_bansal @nid_rockz

 - MDF segment has margin of 24% during the quarter. There was price hike during the quarter as some raw material prices also went up. Company is planning 200 bps improvement in margins
- The current quarter looks good so the company is planning for 100 percent to 110 percent capacity utilization for both plants.

- The company have divided forex loss in 2 parts: 7 crore in interest and 1 crore above EBITDA.
- Company have sold out some assets of subsidiaries and also faced operational loss which can be experienced again.

- Exports market: Anti dumping which was announced couple of weeks back has been confirmed by the government. This will improve the margins.
- Capex of 55 crore. One part of the capex is for increasing capacity by adding additional machinery at the existing plants. The second part of the capex is for reducing the cost of operation.
- Company has taken one price hike of 3% in December. Another price hike of 3.5% was taken in January.

- Company has witnessed larger growth in towns and cities and things are slow in urban areas specially in western states.
- Most of the players in this industry had optimum capacity utilization.

- Extent of industrial growth from company point of view is that it have grown above 25 percent in previous times and further it can growth above 15 percent next quarter
- Growth drivers: People have shifted from Unorganized to organized players.

- Non availability of containers for shipment is impacting imports.

- Company have sufficient space in Andhra Pradesh to do brownfield expansion
- No major expansion has been announced by any of the key players in MDF segment. Even if it is started now, it will be ready by 2023-2024. There will be sufficient time for company to utilize their current capacity.
- Apart from century no player is planning for Capex plans and the company looks forward to have stable pricing.

- Value added MDF contribution has gone up this quarter.
- Company have seen a great increase of 230 dealers in MDF and 50 in plywood.

- For next couple of years growth can be of 15 to 20% in MDF segment. In plywood in bad times 3 to 4% and in good period 6 to 8%.
- Company is more focused on MDF as margins and demand is better in this segment as compared to plywood.

- Net debt: 452 crore at end of current quarter, 400cr by 31 March 2021 and Around 200 crore by 2022.
- Exports were between 25 to 30 percent in FY 20 but have reduced significantly in current situation.

-There have been a change in the product mix for the company. There is a dip in plywood realization as people shifted to other alternative.
- On brown field expansion on Andhra Pradesh plant the company don't have any accurate number to quote in relation to expansion costs.

- After MDF full capacity expansion there will not be a lot of Marketing expenditure
- Margins is based on capacity utilization, product mix and export and import and a change in them will impact margins

- North plant margins are higher then south plant but if brought at equal levels south plant may out perform

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Cipla concall was today at 10:40 pm (late night)

Here are the key takeaways 😃

@unseenvalue @darshanvmehta1 @AlgoBoffin @iramneek

Introduction

- Company being the first one to launch Remdesivir and the whole portfolio for covid 19

- Company is no.2 in lung leadership. Will try to unlock the complex generics in US.

- Growing faster than the average market growth.


- Trying to bring respiratory technology in China and in Brazil.
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- would be doubling the revenue in US.

- The pipeline is nicely diversified , now the products are diversified into respiratory + injectable around 30%


Indian market: One india strategy
- To cosumerize the business.

- Generic business is no.1 in india.

- Brand is moving from generic business to consumer business.

- Goal is to keep beating market growth by expanding the depth in portfolio.
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Zurich axioms - A book on Risk taking, by Max Gunther

@safiranand @jposhaughnessy @Vivek_Investor @BalakrishnanR @Covel @shyamsek @_anshulkhare

#investing
#Bookthread 👇🧵


Switzerland, a country with no strategic or geographical advantage, became the world’s banker by learning how to manage risk and facing it head on.

Zurich axioms are simple rules in order to learn about betting to win.

The First Major Axiom:
ON RISK

- Life is an adventure. In order to experience life to its full potential one has to take meaningful risk.. All Investments are speculation. Some people accept it. some don’t.
Always play for meaningful stakes.


- An investment with a small stake would not incur significant loss but will not generate any significant gain too. It should also not be so huge that loss would bankrupt a person.

- Resist the allure of diversification. The more one diversifies, the smaller the speculation gets. Through diversification all the losses and gains are likely to cancel out and no sizable difference is made.
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HDFC Life Concall was today at 5.15 pm

Here are the key highlights of the Conference call 😀👇

@dmuthuk @datta_arvind @Vivek_Investor @connectgurmeet @Prakashplutus

Business Updates:

• Continue to see pickup in saving business.
• Growth is there both in volume of policy and increase in ticket size.
• Market share remained increasing at 27% and is increasing gradually.
• Solvency Ration remained at 202%.

• Bank Assurance Channel has grown 22%. Agency Channel continuous to gain growth. HDFC Bank remained growth drive.
• Company is continuously partnering with new channel partners.
• Risk Management has been constantly watched and remained on track.

• Product Mix across key channels shown is growth gradually.

New Scheme Launches: Company has yesterday launched new health plan with add on features.


Tax:
• Tax is now no longer a reason for the people to buy insurance, as customer perspective towards Insurance is improving.

Saving
• Savings have been coming back to the growth target.
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Warren Buffet & Charlie Munger's wisdom on

- LTCM
- Circle of Competence (Q by @MohnishPabrai )
- Buy & Hold Strategy

Berskhire Hathaway AGM: 1999

@suru27 @ParikPatelCFA @ashishkila @ravidharamshi77 @_kirand @gauravgsgs @blitzkreigm @PuneetK009 @_anshulkhare

🧵👇

#investing


1). On LTCM:

Munger: What was interesting was how talented they were and then also got in so much trouble. It also demonstrates general system of finance involving derivatives is irresponsible.

Warren: Here you had extremely experienced people operating with their own money.

• They went broke. Why do people risk losing something very important to gain something that’s totally unimportant? The added money has no utility whatsoever.

If almost impossible to go broke without borrowed money being in the equation. No gain is good enough when there is no gain to offset the risk of loss.


2. Estimating Company’s IV

Warren: Investment is process of putting money today to get more money back in the future. The question is how far in the future, how much money and what is the appropriate discount rate to take it back to the present day and determine how much to pay?
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Aarti Drugs conducted their earnings con-call today at 4:00 PM

"Target of 4500+ cr topiline till 2025"

@unseenvalue @darshanvmehta1 @sonalbhutra @Milind4profits

Here are the key highlights 😀👇

Business Updates:
• 66.87% of revenue came from Export Market.
• Around 66% of the growth is driven by volume.
• Formulation segment grow at 5%.
• Ramping up R&D facility both for API and formulation.
• CAPEX previously planned has been in inline.

Price in API:
• In September price has gone and has stabilize and after that the price is stable.
• As per current market scenario, mgmt expects 19-20% is doable, but its still not a new normal.

CAPEX:
• Current API capacity revenue of additional 25%.
• Brown Facility and new green facility will be the main growth driver for the next 3-5 years, in order to achieve revenue target of 4,500+ cr in next 4-5 year.
• 40cr will go in this Q.
• Green field start in next year

PLI:
• Company have applied for few products, and company expects one molecule to get but this will be announced in April. This product is for capital consumption (of around 60-65 cr), and 60-65 cr will external sales.
• This will have CAPEX of 120 crores.
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