1. @GavinWilliamson @NickGibbUK @educationgovuk @Ofstednews @BorisJohnson @RishiSunak @DominicRaab @MattHancock @michaelgove #edutwitter #education #emergencycurriculum #MakeSchoolsSafe Dear UK, we in the government, the DfE & Ofsted apologise for our mistakes. We will attempt to

2. now learn from them. We failed to plan ahead for education, we failed to protect our citizens and we failed to implement safety measures in schools to mitigate the risks. We failed over & over again. We will now truly make education, health & wellbeing a national priority by
3. fully investing in safety measures for workplaces and schools. We know that no where is in fact 'COVID SECURE' but we will fund measures to ensure places have increased security and safety measures. Schools will have: smaller class sizes, rotas, blended learning, improved
4. ventilation systems (yes, COVID-19 is airborne), masks/PPE for all staff and masks for children aged 6+ & required 2 metre social distancing. They will have at least the same safety measures as required for all other indoor settings. We will listen to your concerns & include
5. education staff in one of the priority groups for vaccination. We will support and furlough parents (1 adult per household) to ensure you can support your children with their wellbeing and with learning. We understand this is a national emergency and we will support you.
6. We will introduce a reduced, emergency education provision: a mixture of recorded sessions on Oak Academy + education TV, online learning eg via BBC Bitesize + some live teaching, some worksheets & independent tasks, some outdoor activities + more space to focus on wellbeing,
7. creativity, enjoyment and activities to improve mental health. We will support schools, staff, headteachers, parents and families. We understand children will be at differing levels. And this is absolutely OK. Children are individuals. We will adapt curriculum going forward
8. and work with educational professionals to make it more suitable for the 21st century, for young people, for greener jobs for the future; and more flexible and adaptable for future pandemics. We would like to be honest and give people time to plan. Schools will not reopen
9. to most children before the Easter holidays. They may not reopen then. They may not reopen until September, when we hope to have most of the population FULLY vaccinated. We can assure you, they will not reopen to most, until we have fully implemented safety measues
10. to mitigate against the risks to children, school staff, families and communities. Safety measures will of course help us all to stay safe, save lives and protect the NHS. Exams will be adapted for next year too. We understand that pupils on a 2 year GCSE/A-level/BTEC course
11. will have missed learning this year. We will look at teacher assessments, moderated internally and then externally by examiners & moderators. We will not increase teacher workload to do this but will instead significantly increase PPA time, and increase teacher numbers.
12. We will speak to, cooperate with and listen to experts in their field. For education, this includes teachers from all sectors, as well as headteachers and unions. Again, we are sorry for all the distress our last minute decisions have caused. We will do better. We must.
@HoppySaul @katybeeee @parents4safere1 @Parents_Utd
@cyclingkev @NEUNorthWest @NEUnion @neupresident @NEUStockport @StockportNeu @MaryBoustedNEU
Dear Gavin Williamson. #deargavinwilliamson @nasuwt @Keir_Starmer @RichardBurgon @zarahsultana @UKLabour @DavidRutley @EdwardJDavey @CarolineLucas

More from Government

Oh my Goodness!!!

I might have a panic attack due to excitement!!

Read this thread to the end...I just had an epiphany and my mind is blown. Actually, more than blown. More like OBLITERATED! This is the thing! This is the thing that will blow the entire thing out of the water!


Has this man been concealing his true identity?

Is this man a supposed 'dead' Seal Team Six soldier?

Witness protection to be kept safe until the right moment when all will be revealed?!

Who ELSE is alive that may have faked their death/gone into witness protection?


Were "golden tickets" inside the envelopes??


Are these "golden tickets" going to lead to their ultimate undoing?

Review crumbs on the board re: 'gold'.


#SEALTeam6 Trump re-tweeted this.
🧵⬇️1. Fb is LifeLog, LifeLog is Darpa, and DARPA is a Enterprise Run by CIA... Well... Past President... Big Tech, Big Pharma, MSM, HOLLYWOOD, DC...

Past Presidents....Zuckerberg, Gates...
All C_A... the Family business.... The company...


2. Past Presidents....Zuckerberg, Gates...
All C_A... the Family business.... The company...The Farm.... all C_A assets... most of them related by blood, business, or marriage...


3. "The individual is handicapped by coming face-to-face with a conspiracy so monstrous he cannot believe it exists. The American mind simply has not come to a realization of the evil which has been introduced into our midst." - J. Edgar Hoover


4. diff. names & faces.... Monsters that lurk in the Shadows. Swamp, Deep State, Establishment, Globalist Elite Cabal...

Shall we go back...How far back...


5. I know these monsters... it's when I try to explain them to others is when I run into a problem.This is why I'm better at retweeting and compiling. I never know where to start... Everytime I try to thread, i end up w/ a messy monstrous web.I'm better at helping others thread.
Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

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