BC GENERICLEARNINGS
Saved by @SAnngeri

Mr. Vijay Kedia built a net worth of over Rs. 800 crores.

But you probably never read past that headline.

So I binged hours of interviews to learn his investing principles and strategies.

Here are 20 lessons on investing from @VijayKedia1 Sir:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

 Before I start, a quick disclaimer, please don't ape his portfolio.

As the entry price, horizon and risk appetite would be far different than yours.

Rather lets draw inspiration and try to learn his stock picking skills.

Now let's DIVE IN👇
1/ Started off as a trader:

- Soon, beginner’s luck started to fade out and loses started to mount, to an extent where his mother was about to sell her ornaments.

- Although he was able to dodge the situation.

- This incident taught him the biggest lesson to have a stop-loss.
2/ Punjab Tractors:

- In 1990, he made his first investment by putting in his 10-years savings of Rs 35,000 in this stock, based on a news trigger that tractor industry will witness a turnaround.

- It worked and fetched him 4-5 times which he calls it as a fluke.
3/ He believes that an investor must possess three qualities:

i. Knowledge,
ii. Courage, and
iii. Patience.
4/ Patience is a virtue:

- He picked 5% stake in Aegis Logistics at Rs.20.
- The stock didn't move the next year.
- Finding a gem isn’t enough, finding the courage to stick through without fear & disappointment is.
- Eventually, the stock rallied to Rs. 300.
5/ Stock investing should be simple:

- One cannot get a small company that is cheap and has prime return ratios too.

- Focus on the core qualities of the business model.

- Look at the underlying story of the stock and the industry.

- Management should be transparent.
6/ Framework for picking stocks: SMILE principle:

He chooses a small cap & mid cap companies which has the following ingredients:

• S: Small in size
• Mi: Management with medium experience
• L : Large in aspirations
• E: Extra large market potential
7/ S: Small in Size

-Small in size refers to the company’s market share to the total market size of the industry.

-Don't be under the wrong notion that small in size means with reference to market capitalization.
8/ Mi – Management with medium experience

- Management must be aggressive, transparent, and dedicated.
- He looks for management who would have gone through about 2-3 up & down cycles.
- Management should be motivated to grow the company and add value for all stakeholders.
9/ L – Large in aspirations

- For a company to grow from small to medium size, the management should have large aspirations.

- If management aims to become a billionaire only then the shareholder will become a millionaire.
10/ E: Extra large market potential

- For a company to grow from small size to medium or from medium to large, the market and the underlying asset should have that potential.
11/ Stay in a Sunrise industry at any cost, stay out of a Sunset industry at any cost:
12/ Prefer no debt / low debt companies:
13/ When does aspirations of a company take a hit: Part 1

Acronym CHANGE:

• C: Chamchas
• Ha: Health
14/ When does aspirations of a company take a hit: Part 2
Acronym CHANGE:

• NG: Next Generation
• E: Ego
15/ Don't get carried away with the market mood:

Neither be an optimistic during an uptrend nor be a pessimistic in a downtrend.

His investment mantra is to – ‘Buy like a bull, sit like a bear and watch like an eagle.
16/ Sizing makes you earn serious wealth.

- Finding the right companies is not enough if you don't own a substantial piece of it.

- He doesn't fear the quantity because his aspiration in future is to allocate is even bigger than what it is today.
17/ Snippet of his holdings:

For more details: https://t.co/OgbcIijTGq
18/ Market is a sea of opportunities

- Presents various types of risk rewards.

- Know your type and act accordingly.
19/ People who are living far below their means enjoy a freedom that people busy upgrading their lifestyles just can’t fathom. - NAVAL

- Don't fall in the trap of upgrading your lifestyle.

- Cut down your expenses on depreciating assets.
20/ Investing is a blessed business:

-One should be prepared to get immersed into this business of investing to reap the fruits out of it.
Apart from learning investing from @VijayKedia1 Sir, one can also enjoy his melodious songs on markets!

Do check out on youtube!
If you enjoyed this thread, here's another one which might be helpful:
https://t.co/2QuRVLNg2u
Source: Various articles and videos on youtube

Link for the videos which are used here as snippets:
https://t.co/gluNd3pmEa
https://t.co/OPNBoSpons
https://t.co/EMydTPqBZm
https://t.co/pPb8pyYUVr
https://t.co/R0ATlB76uH
Hope you discovered something new (because that's the point!)

If you did, share it with a friend

Hop back up to retweet the first tweet

See past threads here:

@AdityaTodmal
&
@niki_poojary

More from Nikita Poojary

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7 effective trading journal tools that you can use to make better decisions (instead of just maintaining a trading journal):🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

Lets start with the harsh truth.

80% of traders just maintain a trading journal and never evaluate.

Recording your trades on day-to-day basis is just maintaining a trade book which your broker can furnish anytime.

Hence this exercise of recording trades is simply futile.

Things to record in the Trading Journal:

1.Long/ Short
2. Symbol
3. Qty
4. Buy Date
5. Buy price
6. Sell Date
7. Sell price
8. Profit/Loss
9. SL
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11.RoI %
12.RoCE %
13.Days held
14.R/R
15.Set up used

Once all the records are in place you need to build an analytics tool.

Trade records on its own is just the raw data which needs to be processed to derive info out of it.

Record your 50 or 100 trades.

Thereafter, analyse the following:

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Covering one of the most unique set ups: Extended moves & Reversal plays

Time for a 🧵 to learn the above from @iManasArora

What qualifies for an extended move?

30-40% move in just 5-6 days is one example of extended move

How Manas used this info to book


Post that the plight of the


Example 2: Booking profits when the stock is extended from 10WMA

10WMA =


Another hack to identify extended move in a stock:

Too many green days!

Read
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Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
I have recd a lot of queries on exactly which video did Subasish Pani taught this set up..
Folks you can check his y'days video

Although, I have learnt this extended move set up from @iManasArora 🙌

Do follow him & check his timeline for such set ups!


I shorted the ATM CE's which Subasish Pani does, and hence I mentioned strike selection inspired by Mr. Pani!
SCREENERS
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
1000 days ago, I started learning about Support & Resistance.

Here are 10 pointers from Support and Resistance that'll get you started in the next 3 mins: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Understanding Support and Resistance:

• Support levels indicate where there will be a surplus of buyers.

• Resistance levels indicate where there will be a surplus of sellers.


• When the price moves up and then pulls back, the highest point reached before it pulled back is now resistance.

• When the price continues up again, the lowest point reached before it started back is now support.


2/ What is a Support:

• Support is the level at which demand is strong enough to absorb the supply.

• The price is likely to bounce back and moves up in the opposite direction.

• Support is a level where the demand from buyers is expected to be much higher than sellers.


3/ What is a Resistance:

• It is the opposite of a support level.

• It is a price point (ceiling) at which the stock price is not expected to rise any higher.

• Resistance is a price point at which there are more sellers than buyers in the market for a particular stock.
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@niki_poojary
Over the past month, we have shared 15 powerful threads:

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• Strategies (both directional & non-directional)
• Investing
• Free tools for traders
• Free technical analysis courses, etc.

Here they are all in one place!

1/ Top 26 threads from the past 26 weeks of year


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Why & how does rising Crude Oil hurt India?

A short thread 🧵

India is the 3rd largest consumer of Oil at 5.35 million barrels per day (MBPD) behind US (21.2mbpd) and China (15.1mbpd)

India imports nearly 85% of its total Crude oil consumption every year.

India's own production has been below 700,000 barrels per day for a long time.

India imports oil in the following share as per FY 21 numbers:

Iran 17%,
Saudi Arabia 16%,
UAE 14%,
USA 9%,
Qatar 8%,
Others 38%

India import share for Oil from Russia is under 2%, an insignificant number.

India imports about 290 Million tones of Oil in a year.

Assuming that Oil prices are at $75 (last year),
India's oil import bill is ~ $165bn

India exports refined petroleum products as well. At $75 oil price those exports would amount to $58bn

=Oil trade deficit of $105bn

Oil at:
$100, India's oil trade deficit (imports - exports) would be ~ $140bn

For every $10 rise in Crude Oil from say $100, India's oil trade deficit will rise by ~$15bn

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@GunduHuDuGa


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