90 million active demat accounts in India.

Less than 1% understand Fibonacci retracement.

This mega thread will help you understand better—starting today:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/What is Fibonnaci (Fibo) retracement?:

•Fibo retracement levels help us to identify potential reversal area or identifying potential entry point after a pullback.

•It represents various levels of significance within a swing high and low.
2/How to plot the Fibo?

•Spot the recent swing high & swing low (usually a peak & a low) on a chart.

•Plot the Fibo on these points.

•You'll get 5 key levels of support & resistance (S/R) in between the peak & low.

•Key Fibonacci ratios: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, & 100%.
3/ Importance of retracement levels:

• The retracement level forecast can determine the level at which retracement is likely to occur.

• These retracement levels offer traders a favourable entry to open new trades in the direction of the trend.
4/ When to apply Fibo:

•Fibonacci analysis can be applied when there is a noticeable up-move or down-move in prices.

•Applying it in range bound markets would turn out to be a futile exercise.
5/ Best TF to use for Fibo:

•Though it can be used on any time frame, for better results apply it on a higher TF, anything beyond 30mins.

•Higher the TF you choose, higher would be the holding period for the trade.

•Best TF to choose: Know your type & trading style.
6/How I use Fibo Retracements?:

• I look at larger TF's only for positional trading/ investing.

• While choosing a stock to get an entry, then I will focus only on strong fundamental companies.

• Can be used to make investment decisions in sectoral MFs or Index BeES.
7/ Examples for buying: Stock

•Lets say, you always wanted to purchase few qty of #DMART, but were unable to do so due to a rapid run-up in the stock.

•So wait for the stock to retrace for a favourable entry.

•P.S.: Like any indicator, use this as a confirmation tool.
8/ Examples for buying: Index

• First use the Fibo tool and plot it on the swing low and pull it up till the swing high, thereafter the FIBO ratios will get plotted automatically.
9/ Example to find resistance/ enter fresh sell trades in Index:

• Use the Fibo tool and plot it on the swing high and pull it up till the swing low, thereafter the FIBO ratios will get plotted automatically.
10/ Relevance of the key ratios:

• 23.6% retracement is rather shallow & is appropriate for flag breakouts or brief pullbacks.

• 61.8% retracement level, aka the golden ratio is relatively deeper, but crucial.

• Retracements between 38.2% to 50%, is regarded as moderate.
11/How pro traders use Fibo to initiate investing:

• Few months ago, one of the super trader @bhatiamanu Sir, had tweeted that he would look to start investing near 13k levels on Nifty.

• This number was arrived from Fibo retracement (refer chart 2)
12/ How to identify weak sectors?

• Unlike Nifty, which didn't even retrace by 38.2%,there are sectors which have retraced > 38.2%

•In other words the correction was relatively deeper than Nifty.

• Those sectors are essentially underperformers:
i) NIFTYIT
ii) NIFTYPHARMA
13/Conclusion:

• A trader can consider taking entry basis Fibonacci retracement only when other conditions are also fulfilled:

i)Formation of a reversal pattern
ii)The pattern formation & the retracement level should form near the long term S/R.
iii)Always have a Stop loss.
14/Few key points to remember:

• This is just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to Fibo retracement.

• I encourage you to do some back testing of your own on different TF's and check the results before taking entries.

• Also remember nothing works in isolation.
If you enjoyed this thread, here's another one which might be helpful:

https://t.co/81q0VY7PF6
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अंगद को विदा करते समय राम रो पड़े थे ।हनुमान को विदा करने की शक्ति तो राम में थी ही नहीं ।


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एक दिन भरत ने हनुमान जी से कहा,"हे पवनपुत्र! सीता भाभी को राम भैया के साथ एकांत में रहने का भी अधिकार प्राप्त है ।क्या आपको उनके माथे पर सिन्दूर नहीं दिखता?इसलिए संध्या पश्चात आप राम भैया को कृप्या अकेला छोड़ दिया करें "।
ये सुनकर हनुमान आश्चर्यचकित रह गए और सीता माता के पास गए ।


माता से हनुमान ने पूछा,"माता आप अपने माथे पर सिन्दूर क्यों लगाती हैं।" यह सुनकर सीता माता बोलीं,"स्त्री अपने माथे पर सिन्दूर लगाती है तो उसके पति की आयु में वृद्धि होती है और वह स्वस्थ रहते हैं "। फिर हनुमान जी प्रभु राम के पास गए ।
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