BC COVID19
Saved by @trestrange

All you need to know about COVID19
FACTS NOT FEAR

Covid 19 is a disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. SARS-CoV-2 is one of 7 coronaviruses known to man. 1/n

 The pandemic is real. Excess deaths were observed in many countries. Not all countries were affected in the same way due to pre-existing immunity, the health status of the population and demographics (the proportion of elderly in the population) 2/n
https://t.co/65elPq3gp5
COVID 19 presents a high risk for the very few and negligible risk for the many.

The infection fatality rate in different age groups:
<19 y, IFR= 0.003%
20-49 y: IFR= 0.02%
50-69 y: 0.5%
>70y, IFR= 5.4%
3/n

https://t.co/r4Dj1YzgWs
Not everybody is susceptible to the virus. If reinfected, pre-existing immunity from related viruses gives protection from developing the disease or from developing serious symptoms.
4/n
“The evidence that a subset of people has a cross-reactive T cell repertoire through exposure to related coronaviruses is strong.“
5/n
https://t.co/wQzeAWkKg5
COVID 19 is less serious than the flu for kids and more serious than the flu for the elderly with comorbidities.
“our data indicate that children are at far greater risk of critical illness from influenza than from COVID-19” 6/n https://t.co/pHnVUzFBLR
During the incubation period for SARS-CoV-2, individuals are pre-symptomatic. They may transmit the virus. When it occurs, it is likely to lead to a milder presentation of the disease due to the low viral load. 7/n
The infectivity of cases lasts 8 days from the onset of symptoms. After that people are no longer infectious. 8/n https://t.co/ExM1lEQPCw
Asymptomatic are not the main drivers of disease. Assuming that the test is a true (+), they might be infected but they present no symptoms most likely due to built up immunity from prior viruses. Secondary transmission is minimal with a low viral load.9/n
https://t.co/0pkCNBhLaX
“In all the history of respiratory-born viruses of any type, asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks. The driver of outbreaks is always a symptomatic person.”- Fauci 10/n
COVID 19, like many other viral infections, may rarely be followed by long-term effects, however, for the vast majority of patients, COVID 19 is a mild self-limiting illness with no long-term sequelae. See sequelae of influenza here👇 11/n
https://t.co/xoE7xcFlpM
Long-lasting immunity to SARS-CoV-2 exists. Following infection with SARS-Cov-2 people are protected. If exposed again to the virus, they will not get seriously sick. No need to be concerned about reinfection. Relax! 12/n https://t.co/pGYFo1fU1t
Viral mutations are common to all viruses. Viruses tend to become less virulent and more transmissible over time until herd immunity is reached after which the virus is less transmissible as it becomes an endemic virus. 13/n https://t.co/WsfQjQyla0
Once we stop locking down and messing up nature, COVID 19 will settle into an endemic state where it becomes part of a cocktail of respiratory viruses that live with us. We must learn to live with it. Our species has done this before. We can do it once again. 14/n
Closing down schools harms children educational progress, psychosocial wellbeing and development. 15/n https://t.co/nwGwodCmW4
Children get mostly an asymptomatic or mild presentation. Transmission from children to adults is negligible and not a main driver of disease. 16/n
https://t.co/SJA7Y8ELRL
Opening schools does not lead to an increase in the transmission rate in the community 17/n https://t.co/AyivANLf2m
Teachers don’t have a higher prevalence of infection compared to other professions. 18/n https://t.co/y5JPN1Nysw
“If the COVID-19 hazard sets the new standard for health safety, the country will need to close its schools each year from November until April to guard against influenza.” Scott Atlas 19/n
https://t.co/iVcWnhnjSO
PCR test can not diagnose infectiousness. It can detect chunks of the virus but does not tell if the virus can replicate. Diagnosing a person with COVID 19 based on a (+) test without clinical symptoms is not in line with pre-covid medical practice. 20/n
https://t.co/xxQfQWbrNc
The science behind social distancing rules (the 2 m rule) is absent.
For high-risk individuals:
Avoid closed places and crowded indoor spaces.
Go to the beach, the park or to open markets.
Get some Vit D. 21/n
Masks are ‘safety blankets’.
There is no scientific evidence to support their use in the community.

Feel free to wear them if they make you feel safe. 22/n
https://t.co/WOodjPCt4L
“At present, there is no direct evidence (from studies on COVID19 and in healthy people in the community) on the effectiveness of universal masking of healthy people in the community to prevent infection with respiratory viruses, including COVID-19.” 23/n
https://t.co/zdAsllF1vv
Enforcing masks on children hampers their social development and reading social cues and non-verbal facial expression. It stunts oral expression. It creates a subservient generation who follows stupid rules that adults cannot justify logically. 24/n
https://t.co/CEnEJBTzF6
Transmission from contact with surfaces is not a big deal. Hypersanitization is not necessary and even counterproductive.
Washing hands is a good hygiene practice. Excessive use of sanitizing gels leads to skin irritations. 25/n
Lockdowns haven’t been shown to improve the final outcome of an epidemic. “we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.” 26/n
https://t.co/BkJsy2jdl1
Lockdowns harm. Economic destruction leads to more deaths. 27/n
https://t.co/L0L1T7UNw9
Health is not about the absence of disease or infirmity. Health consists of physical, mental and social well-being.
Health is about the subjective quality of life and not just the prolongation of life.
Life is about living and not just existing.
It's time to chose life.
28/28

More from Abir Ballan 😊

Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
Abir Ballan 😊
@abirballan
The corrupt Lebanese government put the country in lockdown to flatten the “revolution”. As a result of the worsening economic situation, many healthcare workers were laid off and now the Lebanese people are paying for it by being denied access to care. 1/n


Here’s what would reduce mortality in #Lebanon:
1) protecting the vulnerable
2) increasing healthcare capacity
3) supporting healthcare workers

All impossible to do in a country that is gasping for dear life. 2/n

And yet the #Lebanese people are being blamed for not following guidelines and not following the rules.
The Lebanese people are not to blame. Wearing masks, social distancing, lockdowns and stupid curfews don’t do anything. 3/n

It is those politicians who transferred their money to Swiss accounts, while #Lebanese citizens can no longer transfer university fees for their children studying abroad, who are to blame.
Stop shifting the blame to the people. 4/n

Public health practitioners like @firassabiad and @petra who have bought blindly into the narrative are reinforcing this displaced scapegoating.
Please be aware of the harm of supporting the government’s narrative. 5/n
GOVERNMENT
Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
Abir Ballan 😊
@abirballan
The ten points of the Nuremberg Code
1) The voluntary consent of the human subject is absolutely essential.

2) The experiment should be such as to yield fruitful results for the good of society, unprocurable by other methods or means of study, and not random and unnecessary in nature. 2/n

3) The experiment should be so designed and based on the results of animal experimentation and a knowledge of the natural history of the disease or other problem under study that the anticipated results will justify the performance of the experiment. 3/n

4) The experiment should be so conducted as to avoid all unnecessary physical and mental suffering and injury. 4/n

5) No experiment should be conducted where there is an a priori reason to believe that death or disabling injury will occur; except, perhaps, in those experiments where the experimental physicians also serve as subjects. 5/n
FOR LATER READ
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Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
Abir Ballan 😊
@abirballan
"If you then discovered that the majority of the committee members had financial interests in the drug being developed, how would you feel?" 1/n
@zoeharcombe @RosemaryFreiTO @simondolan @Francis_Hoar @BreesAnna @toadmeister @NeilClark66 @allisonpearson

#KBF
"The advice was stay home if you’re sick, wash your hands, protect the vulnerable, most people will have a mild illness, wearing face masks is “usually quite a bad idea“, & “big gatherings don’t have a big effect so we don’t want to disrupt people’s lives.” 2/n

"1) Organisations invested in vaccines make money from vaccines. If people acquire natural immunity, they have reduced or no need for a vaccine and thus the potential gain for the vaccine company is reduced." 3/n

"2) Locking people in their homes and other lockdown measures will reduce the number of people who acquire natural immunity." 4/n

"The notable exception was that @neil_ferguson resigned from the SAGE committee when it became known (on 5th May) that he had broken lockdown rules" 5/n
SOCIETY
Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
Abir Ballan 😊
@abirballan
A brief tutorial in health education to show you how sound health education models have been used for manipulation instead of creating health awareness during the COVID 19 pandemic. We'll uses masks as an example of a health behavior.
Are you ready to explore? 1/n

The Health Belief Model (HBM) consists of 5 components: perceived threat (lethality + Susceptibility),
perceived benefits,
perceived barriers and
cues to action.

Familiarise yourself with the definition of each concept in this table. 2/n
https://t.co/1tOz1cJFvc


Study this diagram to understand how the components are interrelated. 3/n
https://t.co/iUoaqNkgyP


Now let’s apply this to the COVID 19 pandemic.
Review this diagram to see how the HBM applies to the behaviour of mask-wearing.
“perceived susceptibility appeared to be the most significant factor determining compliance” 4/n
https://t.co/xF6uwUx12N


Part I: The HBM
Increase the perceived threat of a disease
1) increase perceived severity: Confusing the general public with CFR & IFR- 2 indicators that are an order of magnitude apart.
People understood wrongly that the fatality rate of C19 is
CATEGORY C19 , CETEVORY C19
Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
Abir Ballan 😊
@abirballan
"Obedience is the biggest threat to mankind"
"Disobedience keeps society free"
"The question is not why people rebel but why people don't rebel"
In socialist countries, "They obeyed laws that were

https://t.co/vZ06ujkt0F


https://t.co/kwzjkU6PEm


https://t.co/4DFOHkjW76


https://t.co/KdvyM3UYTo
SOCIETY

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1/ I am seeing more and more founder secondary in venture rounds (Secondary = founders selling some of their shares before some other shareholders are able). Series B-D. I see both as an investor and through entrepreneur circles.

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The Church of the East traces its origins to the christological position of the School of Antioch, which held that the human and divine and human essences (ουσία) of Christ were united in a single prosopon (πρόσωπον). ~ahc #jingjiao 2/


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