#SLE_IanDunt 30 minutes to the start of our "Evening with Ian Dunt". Information here: https://t.co/9bLxOtCr56
Log-in tickets from https://t.co/iKcwmQh7gZ. See you soon!
Export using groupage; each shipment is on a lorry containing many shipments. Wrong documentation on one of them stops the whole thing.
Safety regulation: complex and laborious
Documentation by custom brokers: not enough to go round
SBS: Health checks; documentation is hardest - export health certificate - relies on having enough vets - which we don't have
Fish rot very quickly. Form filling is very difficult.
E.g. one lorry stopped because one lorry was 1.5kg out in weight.
Also, can't get the health certificates done.
Importers in Europe are looking for other sources of goods; they may never go back to UK supply.
Covid reducing freight to about 10% of normal; when it gets back to normal rates, it's going to be chaos.
We shouldn't say "I told you so"; these are potential converts; convince them that they have been conned and betrayed.
Tories want a culture war; Starmer needs to avoid that. So he needs to suppress talk of rejoin right now. For now, build better relations step by step.
Aim to get back in by 2030.
Make the case that business is being strangled
Spirit: encourage people to feel European
A: Plenty of stuff that was missed out; it was the result of talking to experts!
A: nothing is inevitable. But we are now a separate territory to NI. Problem for Scottish independence: problems with Brexit shows what could happen of Scotland separates.
A: So many to choose from! How about: "reduction of red tape"? "No border in the Irish Sea?"; had signed a document that said the opposite!
A: I love the UK, one of the most diverse populations in the World. Would not say to give the anti-immigration people the satisfaction of succeeding.
A: Yes, London's resources mean it will stay as world number 1
A: Biden will continue to consider the UK as very important. Have lost some of the special relationship; done for insane reasons. Fawned over Trump; went down v badly with the Democrats.
A: Not many. Has quelled Euroscepticism in the rest of Europe. There are some EU policies that aren't good, e.g. CAP. But these are miniscule.
Britain was part of a movement to reduce the chance of war by working together.
A: 2016 campaign had no heart. Failed to see that the electoral dynamics were different. Must fight with heart!
A: Electoral reform; 2019; more votes for parties that wanted another referendum; FPTP causes grotesque, arbitrary outcomes. Need electoral reform more than anything else, particularly if Scotland leaves.
A: Not bad; wouldn't win though. Lib Dem position strange.
Needs an outcome of progressive internationalism.
A: Tinned foods etc. are OK. Fresh produce is the problem. But you can't stockpile them! Some drugs (medicines) could be problematic.
More from Brexit
On this, I think it’s highly unlikely to occur in the timeframe given. For several reasons, I don’t think it’s realistic for Scotland to secede, and then join the EU, in 9 years.
For that, thanks goes to Brexit.
A thread because why not...
Two important dates: March 2016 and January 1st 2021.
Firstly, prior to the 2014 referendum, the Nationalists proposed a date of March 2016 to secede.
Secondly, today - the end completion of Brexit five-and-a-half years after Cameron’s majority in 2015.
Brexit has demonstrated many things, primarily that splitting unions is not easy. The UKs membership of the EU was 47 years and by the end it was not at the heart of the EU. The Union has existed for over 300 as a unitary state.
Dividing a unitary state, like the UK, will not be easy. Frankly, it will make Brexit look simple. Questions of debt, currency, defence, and more will need to be resolved ... something not addressed with Brexit.
Starting with debt. Scotland will end up with its proportionate share of the UKs national debt. It’s not credible to suggest otherwise. Negotiating what is proportionate won’t be easy when both sides disagree.
It’s importance will be seen shortly.
For that, thanks goes to Brexit.
A thread because why not...
On the current trajectory, I think this is likely to be the map of Europe of 2030. pic.twitter.com/65i1A8CiP8
— Ben Judah (@b_judah) January 1, 2021
Two important dates: March 2016 and January 1st 2021.
Firstly, prior to the 2014 referendum, the Nationalists proposed a date of March 2016 to secede.
Secondly, today - the end completion of Brexit five-and-a-half years after Cameron’s majority in 2015.
Brexit has demonstrated many things, primarily that splitting unions is not easy. The UKs membership of the EU was 47 years and by the end it was not at the heart of the EU. The Union has existed for over 300 as a unitary state.
Dividing a unitary state, like the UK, will not be easy. Frankly, it will make Brexit look simple. Questions of debt, currency, defence, and more will need to be resolved ... something not addressed with Brexit.
Starting with debt. Scotland will end up with its proportionate share of the UKs national debt. It’s not credible to suggest otherwise. Negotiating what is proportionate won’t be easy when both sides disagree.
It’s importance will be seen shortly.
So. The hunt is on in Whitehall for #brexit dividends...to show some clear value in the freedoms given by Brexit.
As we report today one area being looked at is workers' rights...but it is politically difficult territory.
No cabinet decisions have been taken, but per sources, three potential areas been identified in Business Dept...
- the 48 Hour Week
- holiday pay/overtime calculations
- new EU rules on reporting hours worked...
All potentially possible post #brexit /2
The government says it has no intention of “lowering” workers’ rights....and notes that UK has actually gold-plated many EU regulations...BUT (think of government saying it won't "lower" animal welfare standards)...the devil will all be in the detail, if and when it comes /3
So the government likes to talk about ensuring workers’ rights are protected but ALSO making sure businesses has freedoms and flexibility to grow...so one man's reduction in rights is another freedom to get richer/work harder/be more prosperous. It depends how you sell it. /4
So take this 2017 story from The Sun on the cash bonanza that will be rained down on hardworking families by Brexiteers' (long standing) desire to scrap the 48-hour week. Overtime booooom..../5
https://t.co/QLqQ7rCzkv
As we report today one area being looked at is workers' rights...but it is politically difficult territory.
No cabinet decisions have been taken, but per sources, three potential areas been identified in Business Dept...
- the 48 Hour Week
- holiday pay/overtime calculations
- new EU rules on reporting hours worked...
All potentially possible post #brexit /2
The government says it has no intention of “lowering” workers’ rights....and notes that UK has actually gold-plated many EU regulations...BUT (think of government saying it won't "lower" animal welfare standards)...the devil will all be in the detail, if and when it comes /3
So the government likes to talk about ensuring workers’ rights are protected but ALSO making sure businesses has freedoms and flexibility to grow...so one man's reduction in rights is another freedom to get richer/work harder/be more prosperous. It depends how you sell it. /4
So take this 2017 story from The Sun on the cash bonanza that will be rained down on hardworking families by Brexiteers' (long standing) desire to scrap the 48-hour week. Overtime booooom..../5
https://t.co/QLqQ7rCzkv