BC BREXIT
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

@morty642 @vincent_rowlatt Thread

In 2017 the Blairites were working to lose the general election and in effect cause a Tory Landslide and Hard Brexit.

This demonstrates their priority was not stopping Brexit as they said it was in 2019.

They used Brexit to lose to remove

 @cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 2/10
.

Here is Keir Starmer admitting in March 2018 that reversing the manifesto commitment to (soft) Brexit, would 'Break Apart' the Labour party.

.

6 Months later he did just that.

.
https://t.co/lFL264eKHv
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 3/10

Sept 2018:

https://t.co/HZntaLy4tB
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt "An anti-Brexit party would win 150 fewer seats than a Leave party at a general election" Professor Christopher Hanretty, Head of politics, University of London.
.

"Labour splits erupt as Keir Starmer defies Jeremy Corbyn to insist Brexit 'can be stopped'
https://t.co/tUMTgujiMf
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 5/10

96% of the seats (52 of 54) that we lost to the Tories in 2019 voted leave.
.
https://t.co/NQjeCvcOMV
.
https://t.co/osEZzreN8V
.
"Labour is the party of remain, says Keir Starmer" Aug 2019
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 6/10
.
May 2020: "Starmer has told the Financial Times that his predecessor’s leadership was the ‘number one’ doorstep issue & attacked manifesto spending plans"
https://t.co/U1Rfxmfc71

Nov 2020: Keir Starmer will ‘order Labour MPs to back Brexit deal to win back North’ The Sun
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt Starmer's right wing Banker/Corporate backers:

Martin Taylor gave Starmer £95k for his leadership bid, Taylor also funded the 2016 chicken coup by donating £80k.

"Labour Tomorrow & Saving Labour" invested £449,860 to take down Corbyn back in 2016.
https://t.co/jYiHcfteTX
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
"Tony Blair says he wouldn’t want a left-wing Labour party to win an election"
https://t.co/8NnS8M8UCr
.
"Blairites raise £250,000 war chest to fight Corbyn"
https://t.co/eC08QaRmtI
.
"Tony Blair to earn £2 Million at JP Morgan"
https://t.co/caiZc5SSRW
.
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
"Tony Blair endorses Keir Starmer" (video)
https://t.co/f17g127Bq6

"Starmer whips MPs to ABSTAIN on Tory bill to legalise crimes, including murder, by intelligence operatives" (Oct 2020)
https://t.co/OK7yE2V2TC
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
"The bank...chaired by the former business secretary, Lord Mandelson, has been the prime adviser to the Government on at least six...bumper state asset sales"
.
https://t.co/sYubglG4CI
.
Mandelson: “I am working every day to bring down Jeremy Corbyn”
.
https://t.co/icfyb9EMRS
.
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
Keir Starmer is backed by 'Progress' which is funded by Peter Mandelson.

https://t.co/S6fEcCe8nW
.
https://t.co/DhXaUKTCSa
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
Here is an example from 2016 of "Centrists" blocking Corbyn's attempts to be anti-war when he was leader:
.
About 100 (Centrist, Labour) MPs were missing or abstained from vote to withdraw support for Saudi dictatorship's War in Yemen.
.
https://t.co/LooCSV2aT1
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt Keir Starmer was dropping manifesto commitments even *before* he won the leadership.

"Keir Starmer is the only candidate in either race to refuse to commit to Labour's manifesto housing policies"
https://t.co/OepVzrF4HS
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt .
"Why are the Labour Party turning their back on the Green Industrial Revolution?" DIEM 25
.
"JP Morgan is the largest global financier of fossil fuels"
.
"Tony Blair to earn £2m at JP Morgan"
.
"Tony Blair endorses Keir Starmer"
https://t.co/f17g127Bq6
.
https://t.co/MUfp3LExMV
@cool_grandad @morty642 @vincent_rowlatt Fact Check: Yes, Keir Starmer has broken or rowed back on a large proportion of his Labour Leadership Pledges already
https://t.co/bTePTH05jU

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The important difference between AstraZeneca's relationship with the UK and with the EU, and the reason it has fallen behind schedule on 50m vaccine doses promised to the EU, is that the UK agreed the deal with AZ a full three months before the EU did - which gave...

AZ an extra three months to sort out manufacturing and supply problems relating to the UK contract (there were plenty of problems). Here is the important timeline. In May AZ reached agreement with Oxford and the UK government to make and supply the vaccine. In fact Oxford...

had already started work on the supply chain. The following month AZ reached a preliminary agreement with Germany, the Netherlands, France and Italy, a group known as the Inclusive Vaccine Alliance, based on the agreement with the UK. The announcement was 13 June. BUT the EU...

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What is frustrating for AZ is that the extra talks with the European Commission led to no material changes to the contract, but wasted time on making arrangements to make the vaccine with partner sites. The yield at these partner sites has been lower than expected. The problem...
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The fuel injected Brexiter comments on the EU's vaccine problems miss many points.

1) no-one wanted to get out of the EU or the single market to protect ourselves better against a pandemic. See Brexit Tory controlled government policy 2016-2020 regarding the NHS and pandemic preparedness.

2) we could have, and, perhaps thanks to the need to genuflect to nationalists, or out of pragmatic needs, chosen to go our own way on procurement even within the EU.

3) none of this explains why it's good to be outside the single market, restricting our trade and making us poorer.

4) the implicit celebration of the vaccine nationalist cause, seemingly [but not actually] permitted by Brexit, ignores how this game plays out, namely:
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Fish thread.
Having read the Brexit deal, I believe B. Johnson misled the nation on Thurs when he said Britain could catch “all the fish that it wants ” in UK waters in 5 years’ time. The clear presumption in the text is that EU fleets will have similar access after 2026.1/12

The UK fish industry will have to pay a high price in EU import tariffs if that access is withdrawn. Overall… the deal falls far short of the exaggerated “sea of opportunity” promises made to UK fishermen. 2/12

The headline quota compromise - reducing EU catches in the UK 200 mile zone by 25% over five and a half years – is balanced enough. But different fishers will study the small-print with delight OR anger. Some EU quotas will be cut more than others. 3/12

Fisheries, we were told, would be a big Brexit winner. No it won’t. On this deal, the UK industry will certainly lose more from Brexit (no more frictionless access to the EU market) than it gains (incremental, extra quotas over the next 5 years). 4/12

First…the length of the deal. The 5 and 1/2 years of cuts in EU quotas/increases in UK quotas, are laid out in annexes to the main treaty. The last column says “2026 onwards” In other words, the presumption is there will be no further cuts in EU quotas after that date. 5/12
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George Riddell
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@GeorgeMRiddell
Been a lot of discussion recently around services trade in the deal between the UK and EU. Having read through the agreement over the past couple of days, my impressions👇

First off, services is definitely included. Question for service providers, is will it be enough?

1/N

My overall impression is that the EU has offered among the best in class for its FTAs similar to Canada and Japan.

But this access is a far cry from access to the Single Market and how is constructed as part of a trade agreement for the EU reflects that.

2/n


Unlike for goods trade, once you've got a product through all the customs and regulatory procedures into the EU, it can be sold anywhere in the EU, or its "entered circulation".

For services trade, that isn't the case. Its still done on a member state by member state level.

3/n

This is even true in the trade agreement itself where although the provisions set out in the Services and Investment chapter sounds awfully good - lots of principles about the freedom to establish and allowing the cross-border trade in services.

It's only when...

4/n

You get to the annexes and you realise both the EU and individual member states have put entry conditions across huge areas of different services sectors both now (existing measures) & in the future. Don't worry too much about the future reservations, it's the existing ones.

5/n
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Dr Anna Jerzewska
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@AnnaJerzewska
Been waiting for 👇 🚨

Important story on what a “tariff-free” deal means in practice and why it’s not enough for two economies as closely integrated.

Tariffs are removed on goods that meet rules of origin. This is a complex and nuanced area of customs.

/1


Important to remember that trade deals (FTAs) weren't designed with such a high degree of economic integration in mind.

So some of the standard RoO provisions will seem incredibly restrictive under the UK-EU deal.

/2

Minimal operations or insufficient processing is a standard part of an FTA. Most, if not all FTAs, include a provision on minimal processing – processing not considered sufficient to confer originating status even if rules of origin have been met.

/3

It is standard procedure not to apply cumulation when goods have only been subject to minimal processing.

To be able to cumulate origin and consider the final product of UK origin, the processing carried out in the UK needs to exceed minimal operations.

/4

The level of integration between the UK and the EU means that this will have significant consequences for a number of industries.

For example, in supply chains where goods are brought into the UK from the EU and reassembled, sorted or repackaged and re-exported to ROI.

/5
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