BC BABA
Saved by @AnmolNarula11

1/

$BABA in their most recent investor presentation reported the China cloud market size in 2020 at $32B of which they have a market share of ~30% which equated to $11B in revenues FY21.

Now here’s where it gets pretty crazy …

 2/

They estimate the China cloud market size in 2025 to be $154B which is a 37% CAGR.

If $BABA maintain ~30% market share that will be $46B in revenues from the cloud business in FY25. Over 4x the current revenue for Alibaba cloud.
3/

Western cloud businesses like AWS and Azure are valued at ~15x sales or more by most analysts.

An equivalent multiple to $BABA cloud in 2025 would give a value of $693b which is over double the current market cap for Alibaba.
4/

If we put a 50% discount on the cloud business in FY25 for regulatory concerns and use a 7x sales multiple .. we still get to the current market cap in value.

Cloud is only ~9% of LTM revenues for $BABA, yet the FY25 value of cloud is potentially equal to the market cap.

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The article is from April 2021, but it shows how $BABA is sharing their economies of scale benefits with customers (merchants) and sellers.
Why wouldn't a shareholder be happier and happier when Alibaba is pleasing everyone in the

"Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang said in a call with investors this week that ongoing technological improvements and upgrades have enabled the company to expand its portfolio of sophisticated services, offering them for free or at lower costs than before to merchants and partners."

Through these decisions, $BABA is leveraging its scale to bring efficiency and lower costs for merchants and sellers, which in return will bring more sellers/merchants and buyers. Also, Alibaba is giving up profits today for longer period of profits in the future.
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$DADA and $JD

$DADA's goal is to empower stores to have the ability to deliver everything to their customers within an hour on-demand. $JD owns 51% of $DADA. Here is a thread on the things you need to know as a $DADA or $JD investor.

Let's get started 👇👇


1. The Chinese E-commerce Market – Growth
The China E-commerce market has grown rapidly over the past decade and is poised to continue to grow for the coming decades.


2. China E-commerce as a % of total sales
Despite strong growth, Chinese E-commerce share has only taken up 24.9% of the total retail sales in consumer goods in 2020. There is still great potential in the coming 5-10 years in Chinese E-commerce.


3. The 3 phrases of E-commerce in China
The first phrase of E-commerce is when products are delivered in days, the second phrase delivered under 24 hours, and the third phrase, ‘on-demand’, products are being delivered within an hour. China is currently entering the third phase.


4. On-Demand Delivery Orders
China has experienced rapid growth in total on-demand delivery orders over the past couple years. As of 2019, there are more than 18 billion total on-demand orders delivered, a growth of 36.93%.
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Charlie Munger has a net worth of $2.5 billion

He owns 50k shares of Daily Journal $DJCO, a 3.6% stake valued at $18M

Daily Journal has a portfolio worth $259M, which includes $72M worth of $BABA stock

If $BABA or $DJCO went to zero the total loss to Munger would be negligible
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