@ADuvsLife He's ignoring everything, essentially. In the short-term, we're already seeing delays at the ports, which has a very basic impact on getting stuff into distribution centres in the first place. Every DC has a limited number of loading bays for in & outbound ...

Trucks have defined delivery slots for drop-offs and pick-ups - think of it like a doctor's appointment list - they must be there in their 30-60 minute window, or else the haulier gets fined. And DCs operate 24/7. So if 10 trucks miss their slots because of a logjam at the ports

It's not just a case of squeezing them into another window - there *is* no spare slot (or hardly any). So you can't easily catch up. And once a delivery slot at the DC is missed, that has a knock-effect. A missed inbound delivery means outbound trucks leave without their stock

And stores don't receive their orders (which are placed on a just-in-time basis anyway - your average Tesco actually has a very small warehouse space, as almost all of its stock goes straight to shelves)

Now Tesco can mitigate this for tinned/dry food by forward-ordering stockpiles, but this is a squeeze to fit extra delivery trucks in, and there's only so much extra space in their DCs, so they can only forward-buy so much

December 14th

Dearest John,
I went to the door today and the postman delivered a partridge in a pear tree. What a delightful gift. I couldn't have been more surprised.
With dearest love and affection, Agnes

December 15th

Dearest John,
Today the postman brought your very sweet gift. Just imagine, two turtle doves.... I'm just delighted at your very thoughtful gift. They are just adorable.
All my love, Agnes

December 16th

Dear John,
Oh, aren't you the extravagant one! Now I must protest. I don't deserve such generosity. Three French hens. They are just darling but I must insist.... you're just too kind.
Love Agnes

December 17th

Today the postman delivered four calling birds. Now really! They are beautiful, but don't you think enough is enough? You're being too romantic.
Affectionately, Agnes

December 18th

Dearest John,
What a surprise! Today the postman delivered five golden rings. One for each finger. You're just impossible, but I love it. Frankly, John, all those squawking birds were beginning to get on my nerves.
All my love, Agnes

The real Xmas miracle is thinking Katherine Murphy is one of the nation’s best political writers, and that The Guardian is left-wing.
She’s not.
It’s not.
Confusing #ScottyFromHillsong with the PM shows how effectively the PMO spins stuff to the Gallery.

Like her colleagues on #Insiders, Murphy laps up the spin and regurgitates it as her special sauce insight.

It’s not insightful, it’s just stenographic repetition of a failing ideology.
It starts from the false premise that our game of mates system is a democracy.
It’s not.

Journalists love to separate base and superstructure as if the political sphere operates independently from the economy.
It doesn’t.
Capitalism requires a veneer of political democracy built on commodity fetishism to mask the economic inequality that is endemic.
Gallery is blind

to this glaring contradiction because they buy into the systemic lie that a formal equality of opportunity exists and that through application of the Protestant work ethic anybody can become a member of the wealthy elite.
They can’t.
Class inequalities are an essential feature

of capitalism and papering them over with idealist gibberish about democracy just perpetuates class divisions.
Journalists don’t see it because they are incapable of critical, independent, materialist analysis.
They cling to the Fourth Estate delusion of objectivity and balance

After a zoom meeting ended and the 'boss' people had left, the subordinates lingered back for a little casual banter. Nothing much, the same old "how-we-miss-office-and-how-the-old-normal-should-return" stuff. (1/10)

The most bubbly lady was uncharacteristically silent. She got talking after a little prodding.

"My kids have rebelled. I had introduced this idea of a reward system. We would never step out with the kids in the lockdown earlier. Now that things are getting better... (2/10)

… I promised them weekly longdrives if they behaved, cleaned up their rooms and did their homework. I also thought I could increase their pocketmoney, that there are no major expenditures since lockdown."

"Wow, that's good!" (3/10)

"The kids don't think. They've vetoed the whole idea and are raking more fights. They said they always deserved more pocketmoney!"

"They're right!" Said a perpetually single colleague in his late twenties. (4/10)

"No! Pocketmoney is based on how they behave. How regular they are with their homework, or how do they do household chores!"

"So, you paid them less for the same chores earlier?"

"Doing homework is their duty, chores are a way of roleplaying adulthood!" (5/10)

And the decade is near its end, already. As I reflect on the decade with so much of gratitude, listing down some of my learnings that has shaped my life!

#1 : Nothing is permanent. People, Feelings, Situations. We always think and believe we’ll hold on to things forever, but everything is fluid and transforms as it’s destined to be.

#2 : Things that we yearn for - Holidays, Homes, Cars bring momentary happiness. What makes you happy everyday is a purpose that you believe in, and seeing that purpose take shape.

#3 : There is no substitute for hard work. There is never any short cut. Short cuts give temporary results. Hard work builds the foundation.

#4: Unclosed Loops come back and haunt you. Years, sometimes decades later, but they do.

1) 💥THREAD ON ANTONY GREEN💥

Antony “Deep State” Green ...

... is very famous in Australia.

👉

@spyrosmakrid and his team listen to the community's feedback and offer, within a window of three years, two fantastic, insightful and impactful forecasting competitions, the M4 and M5. I am tired with all the "sceptics" that try to dismiss the competitions' results.
1/8

First, the ongoing discussion on error measures. It seems that everyone in the forecasting community has devised their own measures, and if someone is using another one then s/he is doomed. The real question is: does the chosen error measure fit the purpose of the exercise?
2/8

Second, the disbelief on the results especially from people that did not participate in the competitions. I have said that before, but skin in the game is important in forecasting (if you want to call your self a forecaster).
3/8

The fact that a method won a competition does not mean that it will win all future competitions. But, there are important lessons to be learnt. In the case of M3 and Theta: the value of information decomposition. In the case of M4 & M5: the value of cross-learning.
4/8

Such insights should be taken into account when designing future methods and algorithms. Since 2000, I have seen many new implementations of the Theta method that have improved on the original proposition. The same will surely be the case with the top methods of M4 & M5.
5/8

The ever-incredible @SWACEO from @scotwomensaid is about to give evidence to the Australian federal government’s inquiry into family, domestic and sexual violence on criminalising coercive control. I’m going to try and live-tweet.

Link to watch live: https://t.co/KpszEWL8C2

Chair Andrew Wallace is opening this evening’s proceedings and inviting Dr Scott to give evidence via teleconference.

Very awkward comment that the Chair wants Dr Scott to speak slowly because of her Scottish accent.

The Chair says in 3 months he hasn’t opened a newspaper with an article in it on criminalising coercive control. It’s a “hot button topic”.

While the Commonwealth won’t legislate in this area it could try and help find consistency in the legislation that is developed.

@gettleman only 1.9% of farmers in US are African Americans .. But you yap nonsense about India .. wonder when will you white pigs leave the lands you usurped from natives n return to Europe ? The world has had enough with you white arse h0les.. your entire history stinks

how many overseas bases have you decolonised ? Just last year the ICJ ruled against USA n UK but you white pigs refused to vacate Chagos , you made 1000s of Chagossians homeless for your military base...

USA has used Latin America like it's colony .. you killed people to just make profit out of bananas .. you converted ppl of bikini n Marshall islands to Shitianity but used them as guinea pigs for your radiation exposure tests .. your country should be punished

The reason why Republicans, namely Mitch McConnell @senatemajldr, will not consider the steps other first world countries have taken like monthly stimulus payments to their citizens, is because those are successful socialist based economies. We are a capitalist based society /1

in which our government isn't concerned about the welfare of their fellow citizen but moreover the welfare of their bank accounts. Being a member of congress in The United States is a business. They do not see people that need representing, they see products that need to be /2

utilized for profit. That's what we are is products of profitability to the Republicans. If we suddenly are all happy and getting along and well taken care of, they don't have the means to stir up drama and continue to milk donors for money. You see, it is our money, /3

not theirs, but they are certainly not going to let us have it. That wouldn't serve their profits or their partners. Corporate America is hand in pocket with the Republicans. The richest 1% got over a trillion dollars richer since February, Congress sold off stocks and bought /4

new ones that they knew would either do poorly of they kept them or do great if they bought them, based on the info they got about the pandemic. They know we all need help, they simply don't care. They know the virus has killed 305,000 American Citizens in the USA and /5

I talk with people I respect and wish to learn from.

I engage in discussion not to prove that I am right, but to test ideas and be open to learning how I may be wrong. Ideas are put through the crucible, refined, clarified, discarded.

Democracy was built on debate.
1/

1/

I try my best to be collegial, but also to appear to be. Twitter format doesn't always make it easy, and sometimes I fall short.

I sometimes worry that we are losing the art of discussion.

2 /

I think to our predecessors who without technology, would exchange and debate ideas across vast distances with lengthy, meticulously handwritten letters.

The act of forging ideas this way likely forced a thoughtfulness...

3 /

The cost of waiting a month for a reply only to have your idea misunderstood or easily refuted is quite high; this placed a premium on critical thinking - best to make your point well the first time.

It's easy to see how cordialities became so common in those eras.

4 /

Best not affront your pen pal after you spent several days composing your thoughts and weeks waiting to hear back.

Great ideas were forged this way. The enlightenment.

Twitter's format does influence how we communicate, how we think, and how we perceive each other.

5 /

I’ve been seeing tweets from women demanding not to be treated as sex objects so I figured an exposition on the subject matter may help us all. First, let’s remind ourselves what a sex object is. In simple terms, a sex object is a person who is regarded primarily...

1/12

in terms of their sexual attractiveness or availability.

When women post pictures that highlight their boobs and ass on social media, (which they do all the time) they primarily want men to see how sexually attractive they are. In other words they want men to see them...

2/12

as sex objects and that external validation in turn, boosts their self esteem.

It's called thirst trap because that's exactly the effect they want to achieve. They want men to thirst for them. On a conscious and subconscious level, they want you to see them as an...

3/12

object of sexual desire.

And contrary to what some would have you believe, it's absolutely normal for heterosexual men to see women they're attracted to as sex objects.

It has nothing to do with misogyny and this is proved by the fact that homosexual men see men they...

4/12

are sexually attracted to as sex objects. If heterosexual men are misogynists in this regard, then homosexual men are man-haters.

Go through the TL and you'll see tweets like "If you can't AFFORD EXPENSIVE women, stop trying to date them" They've made themselves into...

5/12

Nov 3rd was Election Day. There were 28 days left in the month.

Dec 17th is this coming Thursday.

28 days + "17" days = "45" days.

I'm sure it's just another coincidence.

When does it become mathematically impossible?

Who was 28th POTUS?

Why is it relevant?

(continued)...

@WendyRogersAZ We have an eyewitness testimony, an actual victim of Robert E. Lee's cruelty.

Wesley Norris speaks to us from the grave.

"My name is Wesley Norris"

"My name is Wesley Norris; I was born a slave on the plantation of George Parke Custis; after the death of Mr. Custis, Gen. Lee, who had been made executor of the estate, assumed control of the slaves, in number about seventy; it was the general impression among the slaves of Mr.

... Custis that on his death they should be forever free; in fact this statement had been made to them by Mr. C. years before; at his death we were informed by Gen. Lee that by the conditions of the will we must remain slaves for five years; I remained with Gen. Lee for about ...

.... seventeen months, when my sister Mary, a cousin of ours, and I determined to run away, which we did in the year 1859; we had already reached Westminster,

... Westminster, in Maryland, on our way to the North, when we were apprehended and thrown into prison, and Gen. Lee notified of our arrest; we remained in prison fifteen days, when we were sent back to Arlington; we were immediately taken before Gen. Lee, who demanded the reason

A thread - We are so humbled & proud of the guests who shared a bit of their lives with the world on #Amplifiedvoices in Season 1.

As we gear up for Season 2, Catch up, comment, share & support! The more these voices are heard, the further change can go! #cjreform

was featured in the 1st full episode (3) She shared her thoughts on how her family was affected by both harm & the system, her search for answers, what they thought justice should look like, her spirituality, & journey to healing &

Episode 4 follows Iran Nazario, of @PeaceCenterofCT through his turbulent childhood, subsequent immersion in gang membership & entanglement in the cj system. His inspiring journey to repurpose himself as a proponent of peace & understanding makes an impact

Episode 5 highlights @ksburgess, a mother, wife & outspoken advocate from MI. She bravely shares her family’s story of harm, both within her family & as a result of the criminal legal process that denied them the healing that they earnestly sought.

Episode 6 features @DavidLeegarlock’s meaningful story of forgiveness, rehabilitation, spirituality & redemption. David talks of years of physical, mental, & sexual abuse prior to taking the life of his abuser, going to prison, reentry, advocacy & more.

[THREAD]

1/ I was once in a position to find out from employees working in a regulatory agency which demographic groups cheat and lie the most in running their small businesses. These regulators (split pretty evenly between whites and non-whites) almost unanimously agreed that:

2/ Male business owners were more likely to engage in untruthful or dishonest behavior than female business owners.

Politically-liberal whites cheated a good deal less than blacks and conservative whites (who cheated at about the same rate).

3/ How did they know the political orientation of the owner? They told me that it was because certain areas in their jurisdiction were overwhelmingly liberal, and certain others were overwhelmingly conservative. They assumed political orientation based upon the business location.

4/ But everyone agreed that immigrant business owners were worse than Americans — much worse — and that:

Middle Easterners were usually untruthful.

But not as much as Chinese business owners.

And no one — and all of them made a big point of this — lied like the Indians.

5/ They told me that when they dealt with immigrant Indian businesses they safely operated under the assumption that there would be lying, falsifying, and cheating of all kinds. This was because none of them had ever run into an Indian business owner who didn't do these things.

At times it is good to review the Declaration of Independence. When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth

1, It's a shame that politicians, media & other misinformed fane seekers want to milk popularity through misinformation about Budiriro. This thread with facts and evidence will help ease & remove any doubt about who did what. Enough of this shared & crocodile tears

2, Firstly every council has a Development Control Department. Their job is simply to remove illegal structures. This is in the Urban Councils Act under Development Control Section. So if you build illegal structures the law forbids & the courts can judge in favour of council

3, The Budiriro homes are illegal structures as the housing cooperative sold land earmarked for a school & without any form or authorization. This is Events Housing Coop. They sold each stand for USD2,500 and pocketed the money. This is between 2017 & 2018, the buyers were misled

4, All in all @cohsunshinecity has close to 38 judgements which were over land invaded by housing cooperatives. This means thousands of homes are sitting on illegal land, illegally built meaning no approved plans. This means there is no wanted, sewer, roads and power

4, As it stands court applications were done in March 2017 & the courts took too long to order the immediate removal of these land barons. Judgement was pass in February 2019 & 9 months notice was issued to all sitting home owners to stop building & evacuate.