Peter Lynch's 8 principles for beating the market

(Why listen? He averaged 29% yearly returns running a mutual fund!!!)

1/12

1. Know what you own

This one frequently gets a "yeah, yeah" from me, but it's embarrassing how many "They do THAT?" moments I have.

Here's a test for every company you own...can you explain in detail how they make money AND how that's different than their competitors?

2/12
2. It's futile to predict the economy and interest rates (so don't waste time trying)

As I'm writing this, we're all wondering what the Fed's going to do.

You could read this a week, a month, or 10 years from now, and this would be true.

3/12
3. You have plenty of time to identify and recognize exceptional companies

Lynch mentions $WMT as an example...even way back when he wrote about it, it was a 10-bagger even if you waited 10 years AFTER its IPO.

Today, we can look at $AMZN or $NFLX.

4/12
4. Avoid long shots

LOVE this one.

It's so easy to get enamored with a stock's potential to 10-bag (e.g. hot industry, huge TAM, etc.), but we have to bump that against its chances for success.

5/12
Lynch claims he was 0-for-25 in investing in companies that had no revenue but a great story.

Combined with #3, that can mean waiting to see if the company can reach critical mass on execution and then buying at a higher future price with a greater chance of success.

6/12
5. Good management is very important; good businesses matter more

Of course, great management (especially founder leaders) can help build great businesses.

I know I didn't flinch when Jeff Bezos decided to step away from $AMZN's day-to-day.

7/12
6. Be flexible and humble, and learn from mistakes

This is different than constantly changing strategies.

Lynch: "In this business, if you're good, you're right six times out of 10. You're never going to be right nine times out of 10."

There are lessons in the losers!

8/12
7. Before you make a purchase, you should be able to explain why you're buying

...to an 11-year-old in three sentences.

Lynch: "Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon."

Personal e.g.: My Greenlight Framework forces me to organize my thoughts simply.

9/12
8. There's always something to worry about.

Lynch's e.g.: investors made a killing in the 1950s despite the very new threat of nuclear war.

Buffett started investing DURING WWII.

Lynch: "In the stock market, the most important organ is the stomach. It's not the brain."

10/12
These lessons sound SO simple and obvious

In a sentence, he's saying...

Focus on patiently, humbly, consistently vetting and buying great companies.

But executing them is SO hard.

Revisiting this list from time to time helps me.

11/12
More from me...

https://t.co/atO9nThDj1

https://t.co/cufyjakuTR

12/12

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1/“What would need to be true for you to….X”

Why is this the most powerful question you can ask when attempting to reach an agreement with another human being or organization?

A thread, co-written by @deanmbrody:


2/ First, “X” could be lots of things. Examples: What would need to be true for you to

- “Feel it's in our best interest for me to be CMO"
- “Feel that we’re in a good place as a company”
- “Feel that we’re on the same page”
- “Feel that we both got what we wanted from this deal

3/ Normally, we aren’t that direct. Example from startup/VC land:

Founders leave VC meetings thinking that every VC will invest, but they rarely do.

Worse over, the founders don’t know what they need to do in order to be fundable.

4/ So why should you ask the magic Q?

To get clarity.

You want to know where you stand, and what it takes to get what you want in a way that also gets them what they want.

It also holds them (mentally) accountable once the thing they need becomes true.

5/ Staying in the context of soliciting investors, the question is “what would need to be true for you to want to invest (or partner with us on this journey, etc)?”

Multiple responses to this question are likely to deliver a positive result.