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Amrit Kummer
@maqstik 4 years, 4 months ago 452 views

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We continue to hear that several $ZIL holders are unable to withdraw their tokens from certain exchanges and their withdrawal transactions seem to have errored out as incorrect nonce.

A thread on status update. 👇

1/ This has only affected a few exchanges, while there are others, where withdrawals are getting processed as expected. Also, given that the network is processing transactions as usual, we understand the frustration of some feeling stuck while others can interact on-chain.

2/ PROBLEM: We have spoken to some of these affected exchanges to better understand the issue at hand. It appears that those exchanges issued several consecutive withdrawal transactions which are expected to include an increasing counter called nonce.

3/ However, if any of the intermediate transactions gets rejected for some reasons, then all the subsequent ones get rejected too as the nonce will no longer be consecutive. We therefore believe that nonces were not correctly handled which led to withdrawals getting affected.

4/ SOLUTION: The solution to the problem is in fact quite simple. All the failed withdrawals can be considered by the exchanges to have been rejected by the network and they can re-issue a new transaction with the correct nonce.

5/ We have been told by some exchanges that they have started to slowly resend transactions programmatically and even in some cases manually (depending on the number of failed transactions).

6/ To this end, we are also helping out the affected exchanges wherever we can with different SDKs to better handle nonces when a batch of withdrawal transactions needs to be sent out to the network.

7/ These SDKs can be integrated in the exchange infrastructure to rectify the issue at hand as well as prevent this from happening in the future. We believe that several exchanges are on top of it and we hope that this issue gets resolved on their end very soon.

8/ We reiterate that funds are all safe and if your withdrawal transaction ID on https://t.co/XMQ6iGrqOs shows a nonce-related error, then you can safely consider that withdrawal to have failed and wait for your exchange to resend a new withdrawal transaction.

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Robot James
@therobotjames

In my 20 years of trading I have noticed this cycle play out again and again with traders that "make it":

1. Overconfidently reach for returns
2. Get humbled by the market
3. Simplify + concentrate on clear, high probability edges.

1/n

Nearly everyone starts with a lack of respect for how hard it is to consistently make money trading.

That leads them to pass over high-probability sources of returns in favor of more marginal ideas.

Or they overcomplicate the trading of a good edge.

2/n

Here's an example...

It is 2015. You look at a simple strategy.

You hold an equal dollar exposure to:
- Cap Weighted US Stocks (VTI)
- 20+ Yr US Treasury Bonds (TLT)
- Gold (GLD)

And rebalance each month.

(I've extended back a bit with mutual fund prices.)

3/n

It made money consistently with a few blips.

You'd have 4x your money from 1997 to 2015.

It makes sense. It's harnessing two big sources of risk premia (equity + duration).

It diversifies across 3 macro assets that tend to outperform in different econ environments

4/n

But, naturally, you turn your mind to how you could do better...

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"A trend once established, is more likely to continue than it is to reverse"

A thread on Trend (Market structure)-

A trend is a path of least resistance, basically the side where the smart money is betting upon.

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Why do we use trend?

In an uptrend, the sum of the rallies will always be greater than the sum of the declines.

In a downtrend, the sum of the declines will always be greater than the sum of the rallies.

How to Find the trend?

There are 3 methods which one can use-

1. Swing points method.
2. Moving averages.
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Thread: Parabolic SAR Indicator

Parabolic SAR (PSAR) indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder.

#PSAR #Indicators #Definedge

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Let us think about creating an indicator that shows the trend.

Using the indicator, we can identify & ride the trend using the trailing stop-loss method.

For trailing the stop in uptrend, indicator needs to be placed below the candle. Similarly, it should be placed above the candle for trailing in a downtrend. We will plot it using ‘dots’.

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If Low of the candle > Stop-loss level in bull market = Trend remains bullish.

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Imagine you are driving a car on highway; you would like to accelerate if the road is clear. You will slow down if the road is bumpy.

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Complete Backtest and Indicator link

🧵 A Thread 🧵

𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽:
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[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
🔸 Less theta decay compared to weekly options
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🔸 Indicator Link
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🔸 https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
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Charlie Hebdo doesn’t come up as a cautionary tale now but rather 'why cant we be like that'?
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