A thread on $TSLA / $TSLAQ the stock in 2020:
Don’t retweet this, @gordonjohnson19 would not like the unit of #Gordon to trend. /2

/2 Some of you may ask: “What is a #Gordon?”
This used to be easy to answer. @gordonjohnson19 was famous for his bearish price target on $TSLA: $ 87. Prior to the 5/1 split. /3
/3 His price target (one #Gordon) translated into $17.40 post split. That price target was supposed to be the real value of the stock, those targets are usually for a twelve month timeframe: @Tesla the company ~ 1 #Gordon. /4
/4 One #Gordon wasn’t meant to tell us by how much the stock would rise every 10 days in 2020, but it ended up doing just that: $TSLA started the year at $86.05 or $430.25 pre split. It ended the year at $705.67, hence went up $619.62 ($3,098.10) or 35.6 #Gordon. /5
/5 So on average $TSLA added almost 1 #Gordon every 10 days. That’s despite falling to it’s annual relativ low on March 20th. /6
/6 At some time, @gordonjohnson19 must have gotten sick with people writing: “up two #Gordon for the day”. Instead of admitting defeat, he sneakily altered the value of his currency. A #newGordon replaced the trusted #Gordon, now valued at $40. /7
/7 He waited until October with this move. And still,.$TSLA the stock rose by ~ 6.4 #newGordon (~ 14.8 #Gordon) since that day. So: Please don’t make @gordonjohnson19 look like a fool at the turn of the year by retweeting this! /8
/8 And please don’t be like him: Whatever the real value of @Tesla the company, it’s more than a #Gordon or a #newGordon. Happy new year to all of $TSLA / $TSLAQ!
🍾
@threadreaderapp please unroll.

More from Trading

1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...

Yesterday was brutal for some people...

Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.

2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.

https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0

tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it

2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.

3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.

If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.

4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information

And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.

5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?

I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record

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So the cryptocurrency industry has basically two products, one which is relatively benign and doesn't have product market fit, and one which is malignant and does. The industry has a weird superposition of understanding this fact and (strategically?) not understanding it.


The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.

This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.

The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."

This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.
1/ Here’s a list of conversational frameworks I’ve picked up that have been helpful.

Please add your own.

2/ The Magic Question: "What would need to be true for you


3/ On evaluating where someone’s head is at regarding a topic they are being wishy-washy about or delaying.

“Gun to the head—what would you decide now?”

“Fast forward 6 months after your sabbatical--how would you decide: what criteria is most important to you?”

4/ Other Q’s re: decisions:

“Putting aside a list of pros/cons, what’s the *one* reason you’re doing this?” “Why is that the most important reason?”

“What’s end-game here?”

“What does success look like in a world where you pick that path?”

5/ When listening, after empathizing, and wanting to help them make their own decisions without imposing your world view:

“What would the best version of yourself do”?