This is when you base all your decisions on the first information you receive
If I told you my service was $1000
Then you came back a week later and I said $500 you would think you were getting a deal
You can use this to sell your product to anyone
You overestimate the importance of the mainstream media
People make decisions based more on stories and news than real information
If people see there is a problem with public school
Then they will start homeschooling their children
You will believe something not because of what you believe but because you want to be part of the majority
This is dangerous
Avoid groupthink and speak up in situations where you feel pressured to agree with everyone else
You have the tendency to defend something just because you chose it
Think about IPhone users
They only see the good and avoid the negative sides
If you avoid this you can use it as an advantage to those who can’t
Don’t be a consumer, be a creator
You never look for both sides of a situation
If you believe that all ice cream is bad
You will only research for what supports your point
This leaves you looking ignorant...
Make sure you firm up your argument by getting both sides of the facts
When you go into a debate knowing the whole picture will put you in position to win
Start doing this today,
It will pay off in the long run
This is when you only consider the positive information and ignoring the negative information
Let’s say you are a smoker
You may ignore the negative side effects because you want the positive ones...
The same is only seeing the positive side of other decisions
It can lead to a lot of disappointment if you don’t avoid it
Don’t be ignorant, take everything into account
Take your head out of the sand
This is when you decide only off outcomes
Let’s say you made a decision based on your gut, and you are right
Then you start making all your decisions based on your gut
This will end in extreme failure
Pay attention to all the details and then make your choice
When you believe something will happen it will actually happen
This has been proven time and time again
The way you think is important
This bias can be used to your advantage if you just remember this:
Positive thoughts lead to positive outcomes
Control what you are consuming and make sure you surround yourself with
It all matters.
This is when you judge something based completely on surviving information
For example, 5 ways to become a millionaire
We all know that millions have failed on this path
But we take these 5 ways and think they will work for us...
Because we see only the survivors
Avoid falling for this sales tactic from now on
Every path is unique and different, you have to be willing to take your own journey
You'll be better off with this mindset shift
What if I asked you,
How bias are you?
You would probably say not as much as other people
This is when you are bias about being bias...
The best way to avoid this is realizing we all have some sort of bias
Once you admit that, you can overcome any bias you encounter, I promise
Your path to success requires you to understand and use bias to your advantage
for more self growth tips and how to eliminate toxic influences in your life.
More from Principles
A few weeks ago, I shared a thread—How to Win (without talent or luck)—that got a lot of attention.
One of the most popular insights I shared was the idea of operating in your Zone of Genius.
But I got a lot of questions about how to practically achieve that...
How to Win (without talent or luck):— Sahil Bloom (@SahilBloom) October 16, 2021
Your Zone of Genius is where your interests, passions and skills align.
Operating in it means you stop playing *their* games and start playing *yours*.
This thread shares my framework—built through personal struggle—for finding and operating in your Zone of Genius:
First, let's get one thing straight.
Everyone has a Zone of Genius.
"Genius" here is a relative term, not an absolute.
It's not about being top 1% at something—it's about the unique space where your relative strengths are accentuated (and relative weaknesses masked).
Furthermore, everyone’s Zone of Genius is different and unique to them as an individual.
The goal of a founder, startup, or organization, therefore, is to build a team with complementary—not conflicting—Zones of Genius.
This is where 1+1=3!
The Pain Paradox
Desire creates pain in our lives.
But living a life void of desire is equally, if not more, painful.
The Intensity Paradox
The more intensely you desire something, the harder it seems to attain.
If you don’t desire something with enough intensity, you never do what's required to attain it.
The Risk Paradox
We desire comfort, security, and safety.
But nothing we desire can be obtained without risk.
The More Paradox
We are driven by a desire for "more."
When we get it, it's not enough.
Let's change that.
Here are 15 of the best decision-making mental models I've found 🧵
The Inside-Outside View
We have a natural tendency to favour the inside view—our own independent solution to a problem that incorporates all of our hidden biases.
To make better decisions, we should favour the outside view—one that incorporates the best available data.
Ladder of Inference
Describes the thinking process we go through—often subconsciously—to get from a fact to a decision or action.
To make better decisions, we should move slowly and deliberately from the bottom of the ladder to the top of the ladder.
h/t (image) - @amrancz
Confidence Determines Speed vs. Quality
The more confidence you have in the importance of a problem and your understanding of its solution, the more you should focus on quality.
However, if you need to learn more, move fast and break things.
h/t - @BrandonMChu
@BrandonMChu Devil’s Advocate Position
The antidote to confirmation bias.
It involves forcing yourself to view a decision from the opposite viewpoint or finding people who disagree with you.
It forces you to create a more compelling argument.
Don't take my word for it:
The Paradox of Advice
Taking more advice leaves you less well-equipped.
Most advice sucks.
It's well-intentioned, but it's dangerous to use someone else's map of reality to navigate yours.
Winners learn to filter and selectively implement—take the signal, skip the noise.
The Feynman Technique
To learn anything:
Step 1: Identify a topic
Step 2: Try to explain it to a 5-year-old
Step 3: Study to fill in knowledge gaps
Step 4: Organize, convey, and review
True genius is the ability to simplify, not complicate.
Simple is beautiful.
Fundamental Attribution Error
Humans tend to:
(1) Attribute someone else's actions to their character—and not to their situation or context.
(2) Attribute our actions to our situation and context—and not to our character.
We cut ourselves a break, but hold others accountable.
Time is our most precious asset.
When you're young, you are a "time billionaire”—rich with time.
Too many people fail to realize the value of this asset until it is gone.
Treat time as your ultimate currency—it’s all you have and you can never get it back.
The most powerful razors I’ve found:
The Feynman Razor
Complexity and jargon are used to mask a lack of deep understanding.
If you can’t explain it to a 5-year-old, you don’t really understand it.
If someone uses a lot of complexity and jargon to explain something, they probably don’t understand it.
The Luck Razor
When choosing between two paths, choose the path that has a larger luck surface area.
Your actions put you in a position where luck is more likely to strike.
It’s hard to get lucky watching TV at home—it’s easy to get lucky when you’re engaging and learning.
The Arena Razor
When faced with two paths, choose the path that puts you in the arena.
It's easy to throw rocks from the sidelines.
It's scary and lonely in the arena—but it's where growth happens.
Once you're in the arena, never take advice from people on the sidelines.
The Optimist Razor
When choosing who to spend time with, prioritize spending more time with optimists.
Pessimists see closed doors. Optimists see open doors—and probably kick down the closed doors along the way.
Remember: Pessimists sound smart, optimists get rich.
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Imagine for a moment the most obscurantist, jargon-filled, po-mo article the politically correct academy might produce. Pure SJW nonsense. Got it? Chances are you're imagining something like the infamous "Feminist Glaciology" article from a few years back.https://t.co/NRaWNREBvR pic.twitter.com/qtSFBYY80S— Jeffrey Sachs (@JeffreyASachs) October 13, 2018
The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.
Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)
There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.
At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?
Known as Dakshin Badri, Thiru Narayanapuram is one of the four famous Swayambu Kshetrams, the other three being Srirangam, Kanchipuram and Tirupati.
The presiding diety is Cheluva Narayana Swamy/ Selva Pillai/ Rama Priyan.
Once, Sri Rama gave his aradhana murthi of Sri Ranganatha, to Raja Vibhishana on his request. So he was left without a murthi for his daily pujas. Brahma is said to have provided the murti of Selva Pillai to Rama who later passed this on to his sons, Lava and Kusa.
When Kusa’s daughter married a Yadava prince, this murthi moved to the lunar dynasty from solar.
It is said that the utsav murthi got the name Selva Pillai due to Sri Ramanuja.
Once, a Sultan took away this murthi and Sri Ramanuja went in its search to the Sultan’s palace.
Yahoo, who bought Tumblr years ago, used to have a huge adult presence on the early net. They allowed adult groups and what not.
However, people and bots (just like now) misused the service, and Yahoo were forced to make a choice. They made private the groups (and later closed them down and sold some of it to other companies) and then ended their chatrooms on yahoo messenger...
after a incident with one of the chatrooms vid cams. The damage was done, Yahoo Messenger lost a lot of people - and with the closing of the groups - backpage and Craigslist came more important.
Now backpage is no more and Craigslist is slowly passing away. Tumblr had a semi strong community, but once 2014 came around and both porn, and political bots exploded the quality started to go down,
Of course we’re collectively looking at career opportunities, however this is certainly not our philosophy and strategy. I hope to announce my future plans soon, be patient 😉 2/2
परन्तु पीपल के कोटर में रखा बालक भूख प्यास से तड़पने लगा। जब कुछ नहीं मिला तो वो कोटर में पड़े पीपल के गोदों (फल) को खाकर बड़ा होने लगा। कालान्तर में पीपल के फलों और पत्तों को खाकर बालक का जीवन किसी प्रकार सुरक्षित रहा।
एक दिन देवर्षि नारद वहां से गुजर रहे थे ।नारद ने पीपल के कोटर में बालक को देख कर उसका परिचय मांगा -
नारद बोले - बालक तुम कौन हो?
बालक - यही तो मैं भी जानना चहता हूँ ।
नारद - तुम्हारे जनक कौन हैं?
बालक - यही तो मैं भी जानना चाहता हूँ ।
तब नारद ने आँखें बन्द कर ध्यान लगाया ।
तत्पश्चात आश्चर्यचकित हो कर बालक को बताया कि 'हे बालक! तुम महान दानी महर्षि दधीचि के पुत्र हो । तुम्हारे पिता की अस्थियों का वज्रास्त्र बनाकर ही देवताओं ने असुरों पर विजय पायी थी।तुम्हारे पिता की मृत्यु मात्र 31 वर्ष की वय में ही हो गयी थी'।
बालक - मेरे पिता की अकाल मृत्यु का क्या कारण था?
नारद - तुम्हारे पिता पर शनिदेव की महादशा थी।
बालक - मेरे उपर आयी विपत्ति का कारण क्या था?
नारद - शनिदेव की महादशा।
इतना बताकर देवर्षि नारद ने पीपल के पत्तों और गोदों को खाकर बड़े हुए उस बालक का नाम पिप्पलाद रखा और उसे दीक्षित किया।