Ok. We are 50 hours out from the first polls closing. Here's @NextIrishGE take on what to look out for on Tuesday night...… and beyond.

7PM EST (Midnight🇮🇪) Partial results from IN & KY will be joined by VT, SC, GA & VA.

Key here will be Georgia. It appears to be deadlocked, and if it goes blue it's game over for Trump. Atlanta Metro Area turnout will be key here.

In the Senate, watch GA and SC (both R-inc).
7.30PM EST (12.30AM🇮🇪)

Three states: NC, OH & WV. All Trump states in 2016, if Biden wins either NC or OH, it looks over for Trump. Both will report quickly, so likely calls will be made at some point.

Two Senate races here, but watch NC where R-inc Tillis looks to be behind.
8PM (1AM🇮🇪)

16 States + DC.

Florida will already have around 80% in at this stage, so a call could be made rapidly. Other swing states closing are PA and NH, but don't expect results from the former for some days.

Watch ME senate.
8.30PM (1.30AM🇮🇪)

Only Arkansas closing. Both Trump and R-inc Sen. Cotton expected to win easily.
9PM (2AM🇮🇪)

14 more states close, with close races in AZ, TX, NE-02, WI & MI. Only expect AZ and TX to declare on election night though.

On the senate side, close races in AZ, KS and MI will close.

We also should know if the Dems keep the house by then.
10PM (3AM🇮🇪)

Four more states will close, with IA being the primary focus.

A tight senate race in IA will be joined by MT that hour.
11PM (4AM🇮🇪)

At this point my weary head will be watching the returns from the West Coast: CA, OR, WA, HI & ID, with only the latter going R. *IF* it is anything like an 8 point lead nationwide and the south swings to Biden, this could be the pivotal moment.
1AM (6AM🇮🇪)

The two-hour wait for polls to close in Alaska will probably mean a trip to the leaba, but this could be a close result, with a tight senate race too. Unfortunately, we are unlikely to know how AK goes for some days.
And then... we wait. Barring a Biden landslide, we will probably be waiting until Thursday or later for final figures from MI, WI & PA, which if the south (TX, AZ, GA, NC & FL) all holds for Trump will mean the results from the Midwest will be crucial.

I hope you can join us!

More from Politics

THREAD:
Good afternoon, followers of frivolous election litigation. There's a last-minute entry in the competition for dumbest pre-inauguration lawsuit - a totally loony effort to apparently leave the entire USA without a government.

We'll start with the complaint in a minute.

But first, I want to give you a quick explanation for why I'm going to keep talking about these cases even after the inauguration.

They're part of an ongoing effort - one that's not well-coordinated but is widespread - to discredit our fundamental system of government.

It's a direct descendent, in more ways than one, of birtherism. And here's the thing about birtherism. It might have been a joke to a lot of people, but it was extremely pernicious. It obviously validated the racist "not good enough to be President" crowd. But that wasn't all.

Don't get me wrong, that was bad enough. Validating racism helped put the kind of shitbird who would tweet this from an official government account into power. But it didn't stop


(Also, if you agree with Pompeo about multiculturalism - the legendary melting pot - not being what this country is all about, you need to stop following me now. And maybe go somewhere and think about your life choices and what made you such a tool.)
Here we go. Tag 4 des Impeachments. Trumps Verteidigung.


Es wird argumentiert, dass Trump nur habe sicherstellen wollen, dass die Wahl fair abgelaufen sei. Die Verteidigung zeigt Clips einzelner Demokraten, die der Zertifizierung von Trumps Stimmen 2016 widersprechen. (Dass es 2016 keinen von Obama gesandten Mob aufs Kapitol gab?Egal!)

Die intellektuelle Unehrlichkeit ist so unfassbar, ich weiß kaum, wo ich hier überhaupt anfangen soll; so viele fucking Strohmänner auf einmal.

Die Verteidigung spielt random Clips, in denen Demokraten “fight” sagen, fast zehn Minuten lang. Weil Trump 20mal am 6. Januar “fight” gesagt hat. Dies ist kein Witz. Komisch, dass sonst die Folge nie war, dass ein Mob das Kapitol gestürmt hat und Pence hängen wollte


“Dieser Fall geht um politischen Hass” Ich mein, ja. “Die House Managers hassen Donald Trump.”

So close.

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