Be careful not to get lured into stocks too soon just because the indexes are bouncing. If you recall, for months the Dow made new highs while virtually every breakout failed in just 1-3 days. Stock traders that took comfort in the Dow as a sign of market health got it wrong.
More from Mark Minervini
I don't know shit about 99% of the stock trading strategies out there... but I know everything about my strategy. And that's all I need to know. I realized long ago, you can't be good at everything. I'm an expert because I chose to specialize. pic.twitter.com/uG7gWwhsjs
— Mark Minervini (@markminervini) March 28, 2021
Positive signs on inflation include fertilizer prices peaking and trending downward. Used Car prices are also down (which led inflation). The recent price break on the $XLE - which emerged almost to the day the market topped, could be an indication that we are close to a low. pic.twitter.com/2MtcKjjmAz
— Mark Minervini (@markminervini) June 23, 2022
More from Markminervinilearnings
I don't know shit about 99% of the stock trading strategies out there... but I know everything about my strategy. And that's all I need to know. I realized long ago, you can't be good at everything. I'm an expert because I chose to specialize. pic.twitter.com/uG7gWwhsjs
— Mark Minervini (@markminervini) March 28, 2021
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Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020
