BC GOVERNMENT
Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

THREAD: It’s #ImpeachmentDay and I’ve got money on my mind.

We learned yesterday that Trump’s largest lender, Deutsche Bank, is done doing business with him.

Before he took office, no U.S. major bank was willing to do business with him.

 And in the last 48 hours, we’ve seen scores of major companies respond to last week’s riots & the refusal to certify the free & fair election (all fueled by Trump himself), cut off political donations, and some terminating business/payment processing for the Trump Campaign.
The PGA cancelling the upcoming championship at Trump Bedminster was another major blow to Trump’s bottom line & brand.

None of this would have happened if Trump was simply ending his term like any normal President.
Two weeks ago he was considered the Replican party “king maker” whose influence would be looming for the foreseeable future.

Last Wednesday changed everything and that’s part of what this impeachment hearing is all about.
Unlike the first impeachment which was Republicans vs Democrats, Trump is in his own lane- along with some lawmakers who pushed misinformation, tried to block certification and welcomed the “Stop The Steal” movement to DC.
That group of lawmakers is shrinking and those still standing on the side of Trump are losing money and power.

It’s been reported Mitch McConnell has not spoken with Trump, has no intention to & we know of several Republicans who plan to vote to impeach.
President Trump has always banked on the “value of the Trump brand” and all of the above is DEVASTATING to the value of that brand.

If he is impeached, that value will plummet even further and that means MONEY - money Trump needs.
Over the last 4yrs we’ve seen the RNC, corporations, industry advocacy groups, foreign governments, lobbyists, wealthy individuals...all looking to curry favors from this administration...
...spending millions of dollars at Trump properties: conferences, events, long term pricey room bookings, new memberships to Mar-A-Lago at inflated rates. And of course, the millions of dollars the U.S. government has paid Trump properties while he stayed at them.
Some of that would naturally go away when he left office, but it will be decimated if he is impeached.

During his last impeachment hearing, there was enough lack of information for Trump’s “big money backers” to look the other way.

But not this time.
As the days pass, more videos, more reporting...more ties between the riots and Trump himself surface.

His hard core base stormed the Capitol and now many are WANTED by the FBI.

The businesses he hooked up with the biggest tax cut in history have made it clear, they are OUT.
And when was the last time we heard from his big money fans?

4 years ago today, Tom Barrack was preparing to host the inauguration, 1 week before the election Tom hosted a $150k per head lunch in honor of Ivanka.

Is he out defending Trump today? SILENCE
And where has Mnuchin and Kushner been while all of this was happening?
Steve was headed to the Middle East.
Jared was coming home.
Doing what EXACTLY? Still unclear.
It’s well-known they want to shore up overseas relationships so they can raise $ for their post-admin investing goals.

Their appeal to foreign $ will be crushed if their calling cards read “advisor to/cabinet member of impeached president who incited riots on the US Capitol.”
One large Trump backer close to Mnuchin told me last night that Steve is deflated and angry that he stuck with Trump this long and has destroyed so much in just a week. He sees this as significantly worse that the first impeachment.
When he loses the “value of his political brand” which impeachment guarantees, he’s left with businesses in leisure and hospitality. None were thriving before he took office. COVID has crushed those industries and the events leading to this hearing has further damaged his brand.
WHY DOES THIS MATTER SO MUCH?

Because Trump did something almost NO business person does.
He PERSONALLY guaranteed all the money he owes Deutsche Bank.
That means unless President Trump pays up (and how will he?), Deutsche Bank can take possession of all of his personal assets: Trump Tower, Trump Hotel in DC, Mar-a-Lago etc....
After welcoming rioters, Ivanka won’t be getting her clothing line back in stores, and won’t be scoring coveted licenses from China after a dinner with Xi-Jin-Ping.

All of the above has many in the business community especially worried about the week ahead.
President Trump has an enormous amount of access to information and still has power.

He owes hundreds of millions of dollars...
...I spoke to a former administration official last night and a bank CEO...both had the same takeaway.

“Trump is in a desperate political and financial situation. He can’t solve the political one. What would he be willing to do/give up to solve the financial one?”

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@ed_birkett
UK Energy White Paper is here.

I'll tweet the key points here👇

1/

Link to press

UK commits to an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) from 1 January 2021.

Seems like a win for @beisgovuk, as @hmtreasury was known to be keen on a carbon tax

2/

Exploring the RAB model for new nuclear, as per @emilygosden article in @thetimes this

From press release, doesn't look like that many big new measures. Not surprising, as next year we're expecting:
▶️ Heat & Buildings Strat
▶️ Industrial Decarb Strat
▶️ Hydrogen Strat
▶️ Net Zero Strat
▶️ Transport Decarb Plan

And

A couple of hours later, and the White Paper is now here.

Powering Out Net Zero Future.

Details to follow
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Liv Coleman
Liv Coleman
@LivColemanFL
The Manatee-Sarasota area has many connections to the horrific scene of insurrection in Washington DC yesterday. Want to see? Buckle up for this thread: /1

The Manatee GOP expressed support for Josh Hawley’s objections to certification of the electoral college vote. /2


Josh Hawley’s home-state newspaper says Hawley has blood on his hands for a “Capitol coup attempt.” This is who the Manatee GOP cheered on.

Florida GOP Vice Chair & Sarasota County Commissioner Christian Ziegler was at the protest, as described in this @HeraldTribune article.

The protest was led by the same people connected to Ziegler who were filming outside the Vern Buchanan town hall at the Van Wezel in Sarasota in 2017, namely Dustin Stockton. Stockton was also part of Steve Bannon's border wall group. /5

https://t.co/NbOxVqbtO4
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Kavita Krishnan
Kavita Krishnan
@kavita_krishnan
My account in @thewire_in of meeting Muskan and Rashid, victims of a series of violent acts by the Bajrang Dal, and by a range of UP government authorities including the police, shelter home and hospital.

Advised by @SartajAlamIndia Muskan was taken to Bijnor, where she got an ultrasound done at a private clinic. The report shows that there are “retained products of conception” (foetal matter left over after a miscarriage or abortion) in her uterus.

The hospital denies causing Muskan to miscarry – but their denial rings false. They declared no miscarriage had occurred – which is now proven to be a lie. Most shockingly, in actions that befit a Mengele, they did not prescribe any antibiotics to Muskan after the miscarriage.

See how calm, confident Muskan is in the face of Bajrang Dal thugs: asked on camera if her father or “guardian” has given her permission to marry Rashid, she replies, “I am an adult, I am 22, I have married him of my own choice five months ago.”

Muskan told me: “I am an adult, know my own mind, was living on my own when I met Rashid. I knew he was Muslim. We loved each other. I converted to Islam of my own accord, & we married. My mother does not know him, she has just parroted whatever the Bajrang Dal men asked her to.”
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Helen Pluckrose
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@HPluckrose
Here is the full document. I am going to go through it now.

Yep. This is also a point strongly made in @andrewdoyle_com's new book on Free Speech which I am halfway through and am pretty sure I will be recommending as a primer for the alarming number of people who seem confused about what free speech is & why it is good.


Well, good! Conservatives have not been great at this historically so I must give credit where it is due. I really wish this were a left-wing government taking this progressive stance.

(Areo has a piece forthcoming on why supporting FoS is inherently progressive, btw)


Yes, sadly this is true. I currently have half a dozen cases where people are being penalised for trying to express unorthodox views in the academy.


However, I should also say that one case in which I helped a student prepare for an ethical review when she had already been made aware her views were problematic (she wanted to treat people as individuals) was a resounding success & she passed it. So there is still hope.
GOVERNMENT
Phil Burg \U0001f380
Phil Burg 🎀
@phil_sec_mel
Talking with Georgie about the horrible crime committed against Brittany Higgins.

I hope Brittany finds some justice, somehow.

Here's the thing: nothing that matters will change.

A thread:

Two side notes:
* Content warning for trauma and sexual assault
* I initially drafted this and was going to delete it because it's too cynical and very bleak, but it's also the truth and Georgie asked me to be brave and post it.

A Royal Commission has changed nothing.
Paris Street's revelation about St Kevin's changed nothing.
Grace Tame's bravery has changed nothing.
The Pell case has changed nothing.
The Wilson case has changed nothing.
The Redress Scheme has changed nothing.

Georgie burning two careers to jail a serial child rapist has changed nothing.
The National Apology has changed nothing.
The hundreds, if not thousands, of people who report sexual assaults each year have changed nothing.

Because the rules don't apply to the people at the top.

If you're at the top, it doesn't really matter if you're a politician, a political staffer, a journalist, a senior police officer, an ADF officer, a bishop, a business tycoon, or anything else.
If you're in the club, you're in the club.
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